La escuela de los momiosLASK v Rapid Wien
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
LASK (Local)
Predicción 49.77%2.01momio equitativo
EV -2.94%
Ventaja -1.51%
Kelly -3.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.04%49.83%49.76%51.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.721.861.871.9558.14%53.73%53.48%51.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Rapid Wien (Visitante)
Predicción 24.94%4.01momio equitativo
EV +2.25%
Ventaja +0.549%
Kelly +0.725%
Crecimiento +0.016%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.24%24.88%25.07%26.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.353.633.554.1029.85%27.52%28.17%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.29%3.95momio equitativo
EV -1.38%
Ventaja -0.353%
Kelly -0.475%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.20%25.29%25.18%26.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.583.553.9030.30%27.95%28.17%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.86%EV -5.43%E -2.86%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV +2.25%E +0.549%K +0.725%G +0.016% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.57%EV -4.41%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-04 18:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -10.41%E -5.78%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -0.245%E -0.061%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.44%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-04 18:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.07%EV -6.43%E -3.42%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -2.74%E -0.702%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -7.70%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-04 18:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.07%EV -6.43%E -3.42%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -2.74%E -0.702%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -7.70%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-04 18:14 |
| 1xBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.49%EV -5.43%E -2.86%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.92%EV -3.99%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.60%EV -1.38%E -0.353%K -0.475%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-04 18:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.84%EV -2.94%E -1.51%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.06%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.09%EV -7.70%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-04 15:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.92%E -3.70%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -3.91%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-04 18:05 |
| Bovada | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.23%EV -6.92%E -3.70%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -5.17%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 18:18 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.92%E -4.28%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.49%E -3.28%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-04 18:20 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.92%E -4.28%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.49%E -3.28%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-04 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.92%E -4.28%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.49%E -3.28%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-04 18:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.92%E -4.28%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.49%E -3.28%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-04 18:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -6.43%E -3.42%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.17%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 18:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.55%EV -6.92%E -3.70%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-04 18:25 |
| Suprabets | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -8.91%E -4.87%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -11.49%E -3.28%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-04 18:14 |
| Sky Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -10.41%E -5.78%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -14.02%E -4.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
| Betsson | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.43%E -3.42%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.44%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 17:44 |
| NordicBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.43%E -3.42%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.44%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 17:44 |
| SportsBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.35%EV -14.39%E -8.37%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.41%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.24%EV -16.55%E -5.02%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-05-04 18:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.56%EV -6.92%E -3.70%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -6.44%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-04 18:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -5.43%E -2.86%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -3.91%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-04 17:55 |
| Betway | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -8.91%E -4.87%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -3.91%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-04 18:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -6.92%E -3.70%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -14.02%E -4.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-04 18:25 |
| BetRivers | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.04%EV -4.43%E -2.31%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -11.47%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -10.23%E -2.88%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-04 18:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.04%EV -4.43%E -2.31%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -11.47%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -10.23%E -2.88%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-04 18:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.04%EV -4.43%E -2.31%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -11.47%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -10.23%E -2.88%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-04 18:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.04%EV -4.43%E -2.31%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -11.47%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -10.23%E -2.88%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-04 18:25 |
| Casumo | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.04%EV -4.43%E -2.31%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -11.47%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -10.23%E -2.88%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-04 18:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.04%EV -4.43%E -2.31%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -11.47%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -10.23%E -2.88%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-04 18:25 |
| Unibet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.04%EV -4.43%E -2.31%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -11.47%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -10.23%E -2.88%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-04 18:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.04%EV -4.43%E -2.31%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -11.47%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -10.23%E -2.88%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-04 18:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.04%EV -4.43%E -2.31%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -11.47%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -10.23%E -2.88%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-04 18:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.82%EV -10.91%E -6.09%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.26%EV -11.97%E -3.39%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 24.91%EV -9.47%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-04 18:07 |
| Bet Right | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -6.43%E -3.42%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -7.70%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-04 17:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -5.93%E -3.14%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -11.49%E -3.28%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-04 18:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -5.93%E -3.14%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -11.49%E -3.28%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-04 18:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.87%EV -9.41%E -5.17%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -5.17%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-04 18:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -6.43%E -3.42%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.49%E -3.28%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-04 18:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -6.43%E -3.42%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.49%E -3.28%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-04 18:25 |
| Neds | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -8.91%E -4.87%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -14.02%E -4.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-04 18:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -8.91%E -4.87%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -14.02%E -4.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-04 18:15 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -8.91%E -4.87%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -14.02%E -4.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-04 18:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -8.91%E -4.87%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -14.02%E -4.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-04 18:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.46%EV -13.89%E -8.03%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.94%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.59%EV -10.23%E -2.88%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-04 18:09 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.91%E -4.87%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -15.21%E -4.47%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-04 17:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -8.91%E -4.87%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -15.21%E -4.47%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -14.02%E -4.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-04 18:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.64%EV -12.90%E -7.37%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -15.21%E -4.47%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -11.49%E -3.28%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-04 17:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.36%EV -11.40%E -6.41%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -16.46%E -4.91%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-04 18:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.58% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 1.0% | 2026-05-04 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.58% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 1.0% | 2026-05-04 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.58% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 1.0% | 2026-05-04 18:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.58% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 1.0% | 2026-05-04 18:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.26% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.31% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43% | 2.1% | 2026-05-04 18:20 |