Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

LASK v Rapid Wien

Kickoff: 2026-10-11 15:00 UTC

Final: LASK 0–2 Rapid Wien

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

LASK (Local)

Prediction 48.80%2.05fair odd
EV -4.34%
Edge -2.22%
Kelly -4.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.01%48.77%48.85%50.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.881.871.9656.18%53.30%53.48%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rapid Wien (Visit)

Prediction 27.13%3.69fair odd
EV -0.158%
Edge -0.043%
Kelly -0.059%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.99%27.07%27.06%28.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.383.403.6832.26%29.54%29.41%27.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.07%4.16fair odd
EV -3.74%
Edge -0.935%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.14%24.16%24.08%25.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.783.804.0028.57%26.43%26.32%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: LASK (Local): 48.80%; Rapid Wien (Visit): 27.13%; Draw: 24.07%. For Rapid Wien (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.69. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.68, with an expected value of -0.158%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.29%EV -4.34%E -2.22%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.25%EV -0.158%E -0.043%K -0.059%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.46%EV -4.94%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-11 14:50
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.72%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -6.40%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -3.74%E -0.935%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 14:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-11 14:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-11 14:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -3.74%E -0.935%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-11 14:54
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -3.74%E -0.935%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 14:54
BetMGM🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -5.81%E -3.01%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-11 14:54
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.69%EV -6.30%E -3.28%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 14:49
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -6.30%E -3.28%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -13.37%E -3.71%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-11 14:45
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -6.30%E -3.28%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -13.37%E -3.71%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-11 14:44
Bet Right🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.79%EV -6.30%E -3.28%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -13.18%E -4.12%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-11 14:55
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-11 14:35
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.94%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.40%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 14:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-11 14:44
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -13.37%E -3.71%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-11 14:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -13.37%E -3.71%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-11 14:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -13.37%E -3.71%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-11 14:55
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-11 14:50
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -13.18%E -4.12%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -13.37%E -3.71%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-11 14:29
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.18%EV -7.27%E -3.83%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -15.89%E -5.13%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-11 14:49
Fanatics🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.31%EV -7.76%E -4.11%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-11 14:39
Betway🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -8.25%E -4.39%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-11 14:44
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -8.25%E -4.39%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -9.11%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -12.16%E -3.33%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-11 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -8.74%E -4.67%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -2.33%E -0.647%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-11 14:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.84%EV -8.74%E -4.67%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 10:29
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.84%EV -8.74%E -4.67%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 10:29
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.84%EV -8.74%E -4.67%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 10:29
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.84%EV -8.74%E -4.67%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 10:29
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.84%EV -8.74%E -4.67%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 10:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.84%EV -8.74%E -4.67%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 10:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.84%EV -8.74%E -4.67%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 10:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.84%EV -8.74%E -4.67%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 10:29
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -8.74%E -4.67%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-11 14:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.77%EV -8.74%E -4.67%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -9.11%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-11 14:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.15%EV -9.22%E -4.96%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -4.94%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-11 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.71%E -5.25%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -13.18%E -4.12%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-11 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.71%E -5.25%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -13.18%E -4.12%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-11 14:44
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.71%E -5.25%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -13.18%E -4.12%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-11 14:45
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.71%E -5.25%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -13.18%E -4.12%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-11 14:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.71%EV -10.20%E -5.54%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -13.18%E -4.12%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.28%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-11 14:45
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.82%EV -11.66%E -6.44%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -6.40%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.05%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-11 10:29
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.55%EV -12.15%E -6.75%K -15.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -15.77%E -4.51%K -6.31%G +0.000%14.4%2026-10-11 14:35
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.06%EV -12.15%E -6.75%K -15.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -15.89%E -5.13%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -13.37%E -3.71%K -5.14%G +0.000%15.6%2026-10-11 14:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.01%EV -12.64%E -7.06%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.16%EV -12.37%E -3.83%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 23.84%EV -11.44%E -3.11%K -4.27%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-11 14:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 48.99%EV -12.64%E -7.06%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -12.16%E -3.33%K -4.59%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-11 14:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.69%EV -13.13%E -7.38%K -16.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.40%EV -9.11%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-11 10:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.69%EV -13.13%E -7.38%K -16.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.40%EV -9.11%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-11 10:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.69%EV -13.13%E -7.38%K -16.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.40%EV -9.11%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-11 10:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.69%EV -13.13%E -7.38%K -16.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.40%EV -9.11%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-11 10:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.77%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%1.0%2026-10-11 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.77%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%1.0%2026-10-11 14:55
Matchbook◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.77%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%1.0%2026-10-11 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.60%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08%1.3%2026-10-11 14:50
Smarkets◎1.98I 50.51%NM 49.60%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.85%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.55%1.8%2026-10-11 14:55