Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

LASK v Rapid Wien

Início: 2026-10-11 15:00 UTC

Final: LASK 0–2 Rapid Wien

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

LASK (Local)

Previsão 48.80%2.05odd justa
EV -4.34%
Vantagem -2.22%
Kelly -4.53%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.96

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.01%48.77%48.85%50.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.781.881.871.9656.18%53.30%53.48%51.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Rapid Wien (Visitante)

Previsão 27.13%3.69odd justa
EV -0.158%
Vantagem -0.043%
Kelly -0.059%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.68

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.99%27.07%27.06%28.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.383.403.6832.26%29.54%29.41%27.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.07%4.16odd justa
EV -3.74%
Vantagem -0.935%
Kelly -1.25%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.14%24.16%24.08%25.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.503.783.804.0028.57%26.43%26.32%25.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: LASK (Local): 48.80%; Rapid Wien (Visitante): 27.13%; Empate: 24.07%. Para Rapid Wien (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.69. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.68, com valor esperado de -0.158%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.29%EV -4.34%E -2.22%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.25%EV -0.158%E -0.043%K -0.059%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.46%EV -4.94%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-11 14:50
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.72%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -6.40%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -3.74%E -0.935%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 14:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-11 14:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-11 14:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -3.74%E -0.935%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-11 14:54
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -3.74%E -0.935%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 14:54
BetMGM🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -5.81%E -3.01%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-11 14:54
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.69%EV -6.30%E -3.28%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 14:49
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -6.30%E -3.28%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -13.37%E -3.71%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-11 14:45
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -6.30%E -3.28%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -13.37%E -3.71%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-11 14:44
Bet Right🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.79%EV -6.30%E -3.28%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -13.18%E -4.12%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-11 14:55
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-11 14:35
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.94%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.40%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 14:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-11 14:44
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -13.37%E -3.71%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-11 14:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -13.37%E -3.71%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-11 14:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -13.37%E -3.71%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-11 14:55
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-11 14:50
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -13.18%E -4.12%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -13.37%E -3.71%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-11 14:29
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.18%EV -7.27%E -3.83%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -15.89%E -5.13%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-11 14:49
Fanatics🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.31%EV -7.76%E -4.11%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-11 14:39
Betway🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -8.25%E -4.39%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-11 14:44
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -8.25%E -4.39%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -9.11%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -12.16%E -3.33%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-11 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -8.74%E -4.67%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -2.33%E -0.647%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-11 14:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.84%EV -8.74%E -4.67%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 10:29
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.84%EV -8.74%E -4.67%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 10:29
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.84%EV -8.74%E -4.67%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 10:29
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.84%EV -8.74%E -4.67%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 10:29
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.84%EV -8.74%E -4.67%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 10:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.84%EV -8.74%E -4.67%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 10:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.84%EV -8.74%E -4.67%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 10:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.84%EV -8.74%E -4.67%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 10:29
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -8.74%E -4.67%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-11 14:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.77%EV -8.74%E -4.67%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -9.11%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-11 14:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.15%EV -9.22%E -4.96%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -4.94%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-11 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.71%E -5.25%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -13.18%E -4.12%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-11 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.71%E -5.25%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -13.18%E -4.12%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-11 14:44
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.71%E -5.25%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -13.18%E -4.12%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-11 14:45
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.71%E -5.25%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -13.18%E -4.12%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-11 14:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.71%EV -10.20%E -5.54%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -13.18%E -4.12%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.28%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-11 14:45
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.82%EV -11.66%E -6.44%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -6.40%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.05%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-11 10:29
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.55%EV -12.15%E -6.75%K -15.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -15.77%E -4.51%K -6.31%G +0.000%14.4%2026-10-11 14:35
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.06%EV -12.15%E -6.75%K -15.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -15.89%E -5.13%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -13.37%E -3.71%K -5.14%G +0.000%15.6%2026-10-11 14:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.01%EV -12.64%E -7.06%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.16%EV -12.37%E -3.83%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 23.84%EV -11.44%E -3.11%K -4.27%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-11 14:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 48.99%EV -12.64%E -7.06%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -12.16%E -3.33%K -4.59%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-11 14:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.69%EV -13.13%E -7.38%K -16.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.40%EV -9.11%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-11 10:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.69%EV -13.13%E -7.38%K -16.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.40%EV -9.11%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-11 10:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.69%EV -13.13%E -7.38%K -16.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.40%EV -9.11%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-11 10:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.69%EV -13.13%E -7.38%K -16.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.40%EV -9.11%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-11 10:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.77%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%1.0%2026-10-11 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.77%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%1.0%2026-10-11 14:55
Matchbook◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.77%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%1.0%2026-10-11 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.60%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08%1.3%2026-10-11 14:50
Smarkets◎1.98I 50.51%NM 49.60%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.85%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.55%1.8%2026-10-11 14:55