Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.65
assuming max odds 5.91
assuming max odds 3.95
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: LASK (Local): 57.25%; Hartberg (Visit): 18.32%; Draw: 24.43%. For Hartberg (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.46. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.91, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.27%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.11%EV -6.69%E -4.10%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.91I 16.92%NM 16.30%EV +8.27%E +1.40%K +1.68%G +0.139% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.58%EV -4.23%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-13 18:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.55%EV -6.11%E -3.73%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 5.84I 17.12%NM 16.44%EV +6.99%E +1.20%K +1.44%G +0.101% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.01%EV -6.18%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-13 18:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.29%EV -8.98%E -5.65%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV +4.42%E +0.776%K +0.941%G +0.042% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.17%EV -4.71%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-13 18:23 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.04%EV -5.54%E -3.36%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.41%EV +0.760%E +0.138%K +0.169%G +0.001% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.55%EV -4.71%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-13 18:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.04%EV -5.54%E -3.36%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.41%EV +0.760%E +0.138%K +0.169%G +0.001% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.55%EV -4.71%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-13 18:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -5.54%E -3.36%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.45%EV -1.07%E -0.198%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -9.60%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-13 18:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -5.54%E -3.36%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.45%EV -1.07%E -0.198%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -9.60%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-13 18:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.08%EV -6.11%E -3.73%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.80%EV -1.99%E -0.372%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.11%EV -3.49%E -0.884%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-13 18:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.01%EV -7.26%E -4.48%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -3.82%E -0.728%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -4.71%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-13 18:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.73%EV -7.26%E -4.48%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -4.74%E -0.911%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -5.94%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-13 18:23 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -5.54%E -3.36%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -8.40%E -1.68%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -4.71%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-13 18:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -5.54%E -3.36%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -8.40%E -1.68%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -8.38%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-13 18:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.28%EV -7.83%E -4.86%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.40%E -1.68%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.16%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-13 18:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -8.40%E -5.25%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -8.40%E -1.68%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -12.04%E -3.35%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-13 18:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -7.26%E -4.48%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -8.40%E -1.68%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -14.49%E -4.14%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-13 18:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -7.83%E -4.86%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -8.40%E -1.68%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -14.49%E -4.14%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-13 18:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -7.83%E -4.86%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -8.40%E -1.68%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -14.49%E -4.14%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-13 18:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -7.83%E -4.86%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -8.40%E -1.68%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -14.49%E -4.14%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-13 18:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.45%EV -11.27%E -7.27%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -8.40%E -1.68%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -12.04%E -3.35%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-13 18:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.25%EV -14.13%E -9.42%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -8.40%E -1.68%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.27%EV -12.04%E -3.35%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-13 18:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.89%EV -7.83%E -4.86%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.69%EV -10.23%E -2.09%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -8.38%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-13 18:25 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.33%EV -6.11%E -3.73%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.52%EV -10.23%E -2.09%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.15%EV -15.22%E -4.39%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-13 17:51 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 58.98%EV -18.71%E -13.17%K -44.54%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.09%EV -10.23%E -2.09%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.93%EV -14.49%E -4.14%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-03-13 18:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.13%EV -5.54%E -3.36%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -12.98%E -2.73%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.16%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-13 18:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.11%E -3.73%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -12.98%E -2.73%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.38%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-09 07:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.11%E -3.73%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -12.98%E -2.73%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.38%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-09 07:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.11%E -3.73%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -12.98%E -2.73%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.38%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-09 07:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.11%E -3.73%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -12.98%E -2.73%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.38%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-09 07:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.11%E -3.73%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -12.98%E -2.73%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.38%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-09 07:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.11%E -3.73%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -12.98%E -2.73%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.38%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-09 07:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.11%E -3.73%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -12.98%E -2.73%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.38%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-09 07:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.11%E -3.73%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -12.98%E -2.73%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.38%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-09 08:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.11%E -3.73%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -12.98%E -2.73%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.38%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-09 08:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.91%EV -10.12%E -6.45%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.81%EV -12.98%E -2.73%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.28%EV -10.09%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-13 18:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.92%EV -11.27%E -7.27%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.57%EV -12.98%E -2.73%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.51%EV -12.04%E -3.35%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-13 18:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.10%EV -7.26%E -4.48%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -13.90%E -2.96%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -9.60%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-09 07:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.10%EV -7.26%E -4.48%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -13.90%E -2.96%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -9.60%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-09 07:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.10%EV -7.26%E -4.48%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -13.90%E -2.96%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -9.60%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-09 07:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.10%EV -7.26%E -4.48%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -13.90%E -2.96%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -9.60%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-09 08:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -8.40%E -5.25%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -15.73%E -3.42%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -4.71%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-13 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -8.40%E -5.25%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -15.73%E -3.42%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -12.04%E -3.35%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-13 18:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -8.40%E -5.25%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -15.73%E -3.42%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -12.04%E -3.35%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-13 18:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -8.40%E -5.25%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -15.73%E -3.42%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -12.04%E -3.35%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-13 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -8.40%E -5.25%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -15.73%E -3.42%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -12.04%E -3.35%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-13 18:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.58%EV -11.27%E -7.27%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.06%EV -15.73%E -3.42%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -12.04%E -3.35%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-13 18:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.30%EV -10.69%E -6.85%K -19.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.96%EV -19.39%E -4.41%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -9.60%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-13 18:09 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.81% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-03-13 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.81% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-03-13 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.81% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-03-13 18:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.39% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.41% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.20% | 3.3% | 2026-03-13 18:15 |