La escuela de los momios

LASK v Hartberg

Inicio: 2026-03-13 18:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

LASK (Local)

Predicción 57.25%1.75momio equitativo
EV -5.54%
Ventaja -3.36%
Kelly -8.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.33%57.26%57.12%59.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.421.611.621.6570.42%62.04%61.73%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Hartberg (Visitante)

Predicción 18.32%5.46momio equitativo
EV +8.27%
Ventaja +1.40%
Kelly +1.68%
Crecimiento +0.139%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.30%18.24%18.47%19.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.404.954.835.9122.73%20.22%20.73%16.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.43%4.09momio equitativo
EV -3.49%
Ventaja -0.884%
Kelly -1.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.34%24.50%24.41%26.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.473.713.733.9528.82%26.94%26.85%25.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.63I 61.35%NM 59.11%EV -6.69%E -4.10%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.91I 16.92%NM 16.30%EV +8.27%E +1.40%K +1.68%G +0.139%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.58%EV -4.23%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-13 18:15
1xBet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.55%EV -6.11%E -3.73%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.84I 17.12%NM 16.44%EV +6.99%E +1.20%K +1.44%G +0.101%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.01%EV -6.18%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 18:24
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 59.29%EV -8.98%E -5.65%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV +4.42%E +0.776%K +0.941%G +0.042%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.17%EV -4.71%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 18:23
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.04%EV -5.54%E -3.36%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.41%EV +0.760%E +0.138%K +0.169%G +0.001%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.55%EV -4.71%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-13 18:14
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.04%EV -5.54%E -3.36%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.41%EV +0.760%E +0.138%K +0.169%G +0.001%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.55%EV -4.71%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-13 18:14
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -5.54%E -3.36%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.45%EV -1.07%E -0.198%K -0.244%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -9.60%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 18:04
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -5.54%E -3.36%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.45%EV -1.07%E -0.198%K -0.244%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -9.60%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 18:05
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.08%EV -6.11%E -3.73%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.80%EV -1.99%E -0.372%K -0.457%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.11%EV -3.49%E -0.884%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-13 18:25
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.01%EV -7.26%E -4.48%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -3.82%E -0.728%K -0.899%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -4.71%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-13 18:20
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 57.73%EV -7.26%E -4.48%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -4.74%E -0.911%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -5.94%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 18:23
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -5.54%E -3.36%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -8.40%E -1.68%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -4.71%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 18:09
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -5.54%E -3.36%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -8.40%E -1.68%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -8.38%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 18:05
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.28%EV -7.83%E -4.86%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.40%E -1.68%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.16%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-13 18:14
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -8.40%E -5.25%K -14.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -8.40%E -1.68%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -12.04%E -3.35%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-13 18:04
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -7.26%E -4.48%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -8.40%E -1.68%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -14.49%E -4.14%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-13 18:10
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -7.83%E -4.86%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -8.40%E -1.68%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -14.49%E -4.14%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-13 18:05
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -7.83%E -4.86%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -8.40%E -1.68%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -14.49%E -4.14%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-13 18:05
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -7.83%E -4.86%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -8.40%E -1.68%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -14.49%E -4.14%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-13 18:05
Sky Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 57.45%EV -11.27%E -7.27%K -20.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -8.40%E -1.68%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -12.04%E -3.35%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-13 18:25
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 58.25%EV -14.13%E -9.42%K -28.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -8.40%E -1.68%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.27%EV -12.04%E -3.35%K -4.63%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-13 18:24
Bet Right1.61I 62.11%NM 56.89%EV -7.83%E -4.86%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.69%EV -10.23%E -2.09%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -8.38%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-13 18:25
Suprabets1.64I 60.98%NM 55.33%EV -6.11%E -3.73%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.52%EV -10.23%E -2.09%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.15%EV -15.22%E -4.39%K -6.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-13 17:51
PMU (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 58.98%EV -18.71%E -13.17%K -44.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.09%EV -10.23%E -2.09%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.93%EV -14.49%E -4.14%K -5.80%G +0.000%19.4%2026-03-13 18:25
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.13%EV -5.54%E -3.36%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -12.98%E -2.73%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.16%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-13 18:10
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.11%E -3.73%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -12.98%E -2.73%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.38%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-09 07:55
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.11%E -3.73%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -12.98%E -2.73%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.38%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-09 07:54
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.11%E -3.73%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -12.98%E -2.73%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.38%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-09 07:54
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.11%E -3.73%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -12.98%E -2.73%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.38%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-09 07:54
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.11%E -3.73%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -12.98%E -2.73%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.38%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-09 07:55
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.11%E -3.73%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -12.98%E -2.73%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.38%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-09 07:55
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.11%E -3.73%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -12.98%E -2.73%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.38%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-09 07:54
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.11%E -3.73%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -12.98%E -2.73%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.38%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-09 08:00
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.11%E -3.73%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -12.98%E -2.73%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.38%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-09 08:00
Betclic (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.91%EV -10.12%E -6.45%K -17.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.81%EV -12.98%E -2.73%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.28%EV -10.09%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-13 18:19
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 56.92%EV -11.27%E -7.27%K -20.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.57%EV -12.98%E -2.73%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.51%EV -12.04%E -3.35%K -4.63%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-13 18:05
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.10%EV -7.26%E -4.48%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -13.90%E -2.96%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -9.60%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-09 07:55
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.10%EV -7.26%E -4.48%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -13.90%E -2.96%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -9.60%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-09 07:55
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 56.10%EV -7.26%E -4.48%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -13.90%E -2.96%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -9.60%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-09 07:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.10%EV -7.26%E -4.48%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -13.90%E -2.96%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -9.60%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-09 08:00
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -8.40%E -5.25%K -14.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -15.73%E -3.42%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -4.71%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-13 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -8.40%E -5.25%K -14.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -15.73%E -3.42%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -12.04%E -3.35%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-13 18:04
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -8.40%E -5.25%K -14.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -15.73%E -3.42%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -12.04%E -3.35%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-13 18:04
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -8.40%E -5.25%K -14.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -15.73%E -3.42%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -12.04%E -3.35%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-13 18:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -8.40%E -5.25%K -14.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -15.73%E -3.42%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -12.04%E -3.35%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-13 18:05
Parions Sport (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 56.58%EV -11.27%E -7.27%K -20.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.06%EV -15.73%E -3.42%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -12.04%E -3.35%K -4.63%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-13 18:10
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.30%EV -10.69%E -6.85%K -19.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.96%EV -19.39%E -4.41%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -9.60%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-13 18:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.81%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-03-13 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.81%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-03-13 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.81%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-03-13 18:25
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 59.39%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.41%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.20%3.3%2026-03-13 18:15