Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.55
assuming max odds 6.10
assuming max odds 4.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: LASK (Local): 61.47%; Grazer AK (Visit): 16.80%; Draw: 21.73%. For Grazer AK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.95. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.47%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.61%EV -7.79%E -5.19%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.64%EV +2.47%E +0.405%K +0.485%G +0.012% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.74%EV -0.046%E -0.010%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-31 17:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.61%EV -7.79%E -5.19%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.64%EV +2.47%E +0.405%K +0.485%G +0.012% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.74%EV -0.046%E -0.010%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-31 17:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.15%EV -6.56%E -4.32%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 6.02I 16.61%NM 15.94%EV +1.13%E +0.188%K +0.225%G +0.003% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 20.91%EV -0.263%E -0.057%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-31 17:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -6.56%E -4.32%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -0.887%E -0.150%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -9.82%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-31 17:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -6.56%E -4.32%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -0.887%E -0.150%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -9.82%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-31 17:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.69%EV -9.02%E -6.10%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.73%EV -0.887%E -0.150%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -6.56%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-31 17:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.80%EV -4.72%E -3.04%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 5.83I 17.15%NM 16.43%EV -2.06%E -0.354%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.77%EV -4.39%E -0.998%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-31 17:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.57%EV -9.64%E -6.56%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -2.57%E -0.443%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -0.046%E -0.010%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-31 17:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.57%EV -7.18%E -4.75%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -3.41%E -0.592%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -2.22%E -0.493%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-31 17:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.81%EV -6.56%E -4.32%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.34%EV -3.41%E -0.592%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -6.56%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-31 17:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.54%EV -6.56%E -4.32%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -5.93%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -6.56%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-31 17:18 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.29%EV -5.95%E -3.89%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -7.61%E -1.38%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -5.91%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-31 17:18 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.89%EV -5.33%E -3.46%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -7.61%E -1.38%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -7.65%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-31 17:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -5.95%E -3.89%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -7.61%E -1.38%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-31 17:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.20%EV -6.56%E -4.32%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -7.61%E -1.38%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -7.65%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-31 17:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.56%EV -5.95%E -3.89%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -7.61%E -1.38%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-31 17:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -9.02%E -6.10%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -7.61%E -1.38%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -2.22%E -0.493%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-31 17:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.79%E -5.19%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -7.61%E -1.38%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-31 17:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.79%E -5.19%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -7.61%E -1.38%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-31 17:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.79%E -5.19%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -7.61%E -1.38%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-31 17:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.79%E -5.19%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -7.61%E -1.38%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-31 17:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.87%EV -7.18%E -4.75%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -7.61%E -1.38%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-31 17:14 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.67%EV -9.02%E -6.10%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.60%EV -7.61%E -1.38%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-31 17:13 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -7.79%E -5.19%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.90%EV -9.29%E -1.72%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-31 17:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.94%EV -11.48%E -7.97%K -26.09%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.56%EV -10.97%E -2.07%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.50%EV -15.26%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-31 17:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.76%EV -4.72%E -3.04%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -11.81%E -2.25%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-31 17:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.76%EV -4.72%E -3.04%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -11.81%E -2.25%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-31 17:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.76%EV -4.72%E -3.04%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -11.81%E -2.25%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-31 17:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.76%EV -4.72%E -3.04%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -11.81%E -2.25%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-31 17:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.76%EV -4.72%E -3.04%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -11.81%E -2.25%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-31 17:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.76%EV -4.72%E -3.04%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -11.81%E -2.25%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-31 17:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.76%EV -4.72%E -3.04%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -11.81%E -2.25%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-31 17:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.76%EV -4.72%E -3.04%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -11.81%E -2.25%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-31 17:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.76%EV -4.72%E -3.04%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -11.81%E -2.25%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-31 17:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.22%EV -7.79%E -5.19%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -11.81%E -2.25%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-31 17:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.85%EV -11.48%E -7.97%K -26.09%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.69%EV -11.81%E -2.25%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%EV -15.26%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-31 17:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.80%EV -6.56%E -4.32%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.48%EV -12.65%E -2.43%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-31 17:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.80%EV -6.56%E -4.32%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.48%EV -12.65%E -2.43%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-31 17:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.96%EV -7.18%E -4.75%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.41%EV -12.65%E -2.43%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-31 17:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -7.79%E -5.19%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.90%EV -14.33%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%EV -6.56%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-31 17:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.88%EV -9.64%E -6.56%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.55%EV -14.33%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.57%EV -9.82%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-31 17:18 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.55%EV -10.87%E -7.49%K -24.15%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.22%EV -14.33%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.23%EV -14.17%E -3.59%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-31 17:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -9.02%E -6.10%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -16.01%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-31 17:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.79%E -5.19%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.01%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-31 17:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.79%E -5.19%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.01%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-31 17:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.79%E -5.19%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.01%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-31 17:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.79%E -5.19%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.01%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-31 17:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.79%E -5.19%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.01%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-31 17:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.85%EV -9.64%E -6.56%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -16.01%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.56%EV -15.26%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-07-31 17:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -11.48%E -7.97%K -26.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -16.01%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-07-31 17:20 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.0% | 2026-07-31 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.0% | 2026-07-31 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.0% | 2026-07-31 17:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.0% | 2026-07-31 17:24 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.0% | 2026-07-31 17:25 |
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