The School of Odds

LASK v Grazer AK

2026-07-31 17:30 — Austrian Football Bundesliga

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (5 in analysis)

Option 1: LASK (Local)

Odds
1.5066.67%Min
1.5763.73%Mean
1.5863.29%Median
1.6460.98%Max
Consensus probabilities
56.26%1.777Min
58.71%1.703Max
57.86%1.728Mean
57.56%1.737Median
57.80%1.730IQM
57.98%1.725Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.64 under the IQM model: 57.80%

EV -5.20%Edge -3.17%Kelly -8.13%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Grazer AK (Visit)

Odds
4.3023.26%Min
4.8820.48%Mean
5.0020.00%Median
5.2519.05%Max
Consensus probabilities
17.88%5.594Min
19.63%5.095Max
18.19%5.497Mean
18.19%5.498Median
18.19%5.498IQM
18.15%5.509Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 5.25 under the IQM model: 18.19%

EV -4.51%Edge -0.860%Kelly -1.06%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
3.5028.57%Min
3.7626.59%Mean
3.7526.67%Median
4.0025.00%Max
Consensus probabilities
23.34%4.285Min
24.60%4.065Max
23.95%4.176Mean
24.25%4.123Median
24.01%4.165IQM
23.87%4.190Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.00 under the IQM model: 24.01%

EV -3.97%Edge -0.992%Kelly -1.32%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLASK (Local) ▼Grazer AK (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet1.64I 60.98% NM 57.26%EV -5.20% E -3.17% K -8.13% G +0.000%5.17I 19.34% NM 18.16%EV -5.97% E -1.15% K -1.43% G +0.000%3.82I 26.18% NM 24.58%EV -8.29% E -2.17% K -2.94% G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 02:15
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73% NM 58.36%EV -6.36% E -3.92% K -10.25% G +0.000%5.25I 19.05% NM 18.01%EV -4.51% E -0.860% K -1.06% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.63%EV -3.97% E -0.992% K -1.32% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-02 04:53
Fanatics1.62I 61.73% NM 57.13%EV -6.36% E -3.92% K -10.25% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 18.51%EV -9.06% E -1.81% K -2.27% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.36%EV -8.77% E -2.31% K -3.13% G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-02 07:54
Coolbet1.60I 62.50% NM 58.66%EV -7.51% E -4.70% K -12.52% G +0.000%5.25I 19.05% NM 17.88%EV -4.51% E -0.860% K -1.06% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.46%EV -3.97% E -0.992% K -1.32% G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-03 07:35
FanDuel1.59I 62.89% NM 58.71%EV -8.09% E -5.09% K -13.71% G +0.000%5.20I 19.23% NM 17.95%EV -5.42% E -1.04% K -1.29% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.34%EV -3.97% E -0.992% K -1.32% G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-02 04:58
Codere (IT)1.58I 63.29% NM 57.56%EV -8.67% E -5.49% K -14.95% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 18.19%EV -9.06% E -1.81% K -2.27% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 24.25%EV -9.97% E -2.66% K -3.63% G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-04 06:35
SportsBet1.53I 65.36% NM 57.91%EV -11.56% E -7.56% K -21.81% G +0.000%4.80I 20.83% NM 18.46%EV -12.70% E -2.65% K -3.34% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 23.63%EV -9.97% E -2.66% K -3.63% G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-02 04:54
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36% NM 57.24%EV -11.56% E -7.56% K -21.81% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 18.44%EV -13.61% E -2.86% K -3.63% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 24.33%EV -13.57% E -3.77% K -5.22% G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-04 19:55
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36% NM 56.27%EV -11.56% E -7.56% K -21.81% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 19.13%EV -18.15% E -4.03% K -5.19% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 24.60%EV -15.97% E -4.56% K -6.39% G +0.000%16.2%2026-07-02 04:54
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79% NM 57.01%EV -12.14% E -7.99% K -23.34% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 19.26%EV -18.15% E -4.03% K -5.19% G +0.000%3.65I 27.40% NM 23.74%EV -12.37% E -3.39% K -4.67% G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-04 07:05
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67% NM 56.26%EV -13.29% E -8.86% K -26.59% G +0.000%4.30I 23.26% NM 19.63%EV -21.79% E -5.07% K -6.60% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 24.11%EV -15.97% E -4.56% K -6.39% G +0.000%18.5%2026-07-04 07:05
Betclic (FR)1.49I 67.11% NM 56.84%EV -13.87% E -9.31% K -28.31% G +0.000%4.55I 21.98% NM 18.61%EV -17.25% E -3.79% K -4.86% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 24.55%EV -17.17% E -4.98% K -7.01% G +0.000%18.1%2026-07-04 05:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLASK (Local)Grazer AK (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-07-02 07:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-07-02 07:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-07-02 07:45