Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

LASK v Austria Wien

Kickoff: 2026-04-05 12:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

LASK (Local)

Prediction 44.99%2.22fair odd
EV -3.28%
Edge -1.53%
Kelly -2.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.84%45.02%44.91%46.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.052.052.1552.63%48.78%48.78%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Austria Wien (Visit)

Prediction 27.22%3.67fair odd
EV +2.06%
Edge +0.550%
Kelly +0.751%
Growth +0.015%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.72%27.15%27.19%28.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.343.283.7532.26%29.92%30.49%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.80%3.60fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.292%
Kelly -0.407%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.54%27.83%27.89%28.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.193.323.353.5631.35%30.16%29.85%28.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: LASK (Local): 44.99%; Austria Wien (Visit): 27.22%; Draw: 27.80%. For Austria Wien (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.67. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.06%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.49%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.72%EV +2.06%E +0.550%K +0.751%G +0.015%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.79%EV -6.88%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-05 12:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.49%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.72%EV +2.06%E +0.550%K +0.751%G +0.015%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.79%EV -6.88%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-05 12:05
Pinnacle🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.47%EV -4.18%E -1.96%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.46%EV -0.385%E -0.105%K -0.145%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.07%EV -4.10%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 12:20
1xBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.43%E -3.09%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.94%EV -3.11%E -0.873%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.94%EV -1.04%E -0.292%K -0.407%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 12:25
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -3.38%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.96%EV -5.49%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 11:45
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -9.13%E -4.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -3.38%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.88%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 12:19
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.32%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -6.88%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 10:35
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.43%E -3.09%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -6.10%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -6.88%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 12:19
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.10%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.49%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 12:02
Suprabets🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 44.81%EV -8.68%E -4.28%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 26.68%EV -7.19%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 28.52%EV -11.33%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 12:04
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -2.71%E -0.774%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 11:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -2.71%E -0.774%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 11:54
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.88%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 11:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.43%E -3.09%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.49%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 11:54
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.27%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 11:35
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.27%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 12:25
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 11:55
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 11:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 11:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 11:54
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -10.03%E -5.01%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.49%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 11:54
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -9.13%E -4.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-05 12:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.96%EV -12.73%E -6.56%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -10.18%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -8.27%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-05 12:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.32%EV -11.38%E -5.78%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.22%EV -10.73%E -3.27%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -9.66%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 12:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -6.43%E -3.09%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.88%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-01 00:05
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -6.43%E -3.09%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.88%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-01 00:05
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -6.43%E -3.09%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.88%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-01 00:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -6.43%E -3.09%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.88%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-01 00:05
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -6.43%E -3.09%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.88%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-01 00:05
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -6.43%E -3.09%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.88%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-01 00:04
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -6.43%E -3.09%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.88%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-01 00:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -6.43%E -3.09%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.88%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-01 00:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -6.43%E -3.09%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.88%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-01 00:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.29%EV -7.33%E -3.56%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -8.27%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-01 00:04
LeoVegas🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.29%EV -7.33%E -3.56%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -8.27%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-01 00:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.29%EV -7.33%E -3.56%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -8.27%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-01 00:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.29%EV -7.33%E -3.56%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -8.27%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-01 00:04
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -10.03%E -5.01%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -5.49%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-05 11:54
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -12.28%E -6.30%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -8.27%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 11:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -12.91%E -4.03%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-05 05:34
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -12.91%E -4.03%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-05 05:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -12.91%E -4.03%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-05 05:34
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -12.91%E -4.03%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-05 05:35
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.07%EV -12.28%E -6.30%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -12.91%E -4.03%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-05 12:04
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.09%EV -14.53%E -7.65%K -16.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -12.91%E -4.03%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -8.27%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-05 11:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 44.94%EV -11.83%E -6.03%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.96%EV -14.27%E -4.53%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -9.66%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-05 11:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -10.03%E -5.01%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -15.63%E -5.04%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-02 05:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.1%2026-04-05 12:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.1%2026-04-05 12:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.1%2026-04-05 12:10
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.1%2026-04-05 12:05
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.83%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.15%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.02%2.0%2026-04-05 12:15