La escuela de los momios

LASK v Austria Wien

Inicio: 2026-04-05 12:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

LASK (Local)

Predicción 44.99%2.22momio equitativo
EV -3.28%
Ventaja -1.53%
Kelly -2.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.84%45.02%44.91%46.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.902.052.052.1552.63%48.78%48.78%46.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Austria Wien (Visitante)

Predicción 27.22%3.67momio equitativo
EV +2.06%
Ventaja +0.550%
Kelly +0.751%
Crecimiento +0.015%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.72%27.15%27.19%28.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.343.283.7532.26%29.92%30.49%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.80%3.60momio equitativo
EV -1.04%
Ventaja -0.292%
Kelly -0.407%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.54%27.83%27.89%28.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.193.323.353.5631.35%30.16%29.85%28.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 45.49%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.72%EV +2.06%E +0.550%K +0.751%G +0.015%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.79%EV -6.88%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-05 12:05
BetOnline.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 45.49%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.72%EV +2.06%E +0.550%K +0.751%G +0.015%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.79%EV -6.88%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-05 12:05
Pinnacle2.13I 46.95%NM 45.47%EV -4.18%E -1.96%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.46%EV -0.385%E -0.105%K -0.145%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.07%EV -4.10%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 12:20
1xBet2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.43%E -3.09%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.94%EV -3.11%E -0.873%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.94%EV -1.04%E -0.292%K -0.407%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 12:25
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -3.38%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.96%EV -5.49%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 11:45
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -9.13%E -4.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -3.38%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.88%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 12:19
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.32%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -6.88%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 10:35
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.43%E -3.09%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -6.10%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -6.88%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 12:19
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.10%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.49%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 12:02
Suprabets2.03I 49.26%NM 44.81%EV -8.68%E -4.28%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 26.68%EV -7.19%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 28.52%EV -11.33%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 12:04
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -2.71%E -0.774%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 11:54
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -2.71%E -0.774%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 11:54
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.88%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 11:55
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.43%E -3.09%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.49%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 11:54
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.27%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 11:35
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.27%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 12:25
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 11:55
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 11:54
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 11:54
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 11:54
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -10.03%E -5.01%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.49%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 11:54
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -9.13%E -4.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-05 12:25
Unibet (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.96%EV -12.73%E -6.56%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -10.18%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -8.27%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-05 12:04
Betclic (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.32%EV -11.38%E -5.78%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.22%EV -10.73%E -3.27%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -9.66%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 12:14
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -6.43%E -3.09%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.88%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-01 00:05
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -6.43%E -3.09%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.88%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-01 00:05
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -6.43%E -3.09%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.88%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-01 00:05
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -6.43%E -3.09%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.88%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-01 00:05
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -6.43%E -3.09%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.88%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-01 00:05
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -6.43%E -3.09%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.88%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-01 00:04
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -6.43%E -3.09%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.88%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-01 00:05
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -6.43%E -3.09%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.88%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-01 00:04
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -6.43%E -3.09%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.88%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-01 00:04
Virgin Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 44.29%EV -7.33%E -3.56%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -8.27%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-01 00:04
LeoVegas2.06I 48.54%NM 44.29%EV -7.33%E -3.56%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -8.27%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-01 00:05
LiveScore Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 44.29%EV -7.33%E -3.56%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -8.27%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-01 00:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.29%EV -7.33%E -3.56%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -8.27%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-01 00:04
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -10.03%E -5.01%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -5.49%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-05 11:54
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -12.28%E -6.30%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -8.27%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 11:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -12.91%E -4.03%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-05 05:34
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -12.91%E -4.03%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-05 05:34
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -12.91%E -4.03%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-05 05:34
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -12.91%E -4.03%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-05 05:35
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 45.07%EV -12.28%E -6.30%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -12.91%E -4.03%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-05 12:04
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 46.09%EV -14.53%E -7.65%K -16.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -12.91%E -4.03%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -8.27%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-05 11:54
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.94%EV -11.83%E -6.03%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.96%EV -14.27%E -4.53%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -9.66%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-05 11:55
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -10.03%E -5.01%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -15.63%E -5.04%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-02 05:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.1%2026-04-05 12:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.1%2026-04-05 12:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.1%2026-04-05 12:10
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.1%2026-04-05 12:05
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.83%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.15%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.02%2.0%2026-04-05 12:15