Язык:Русский
Hartberg v Sturm Graz
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Hartberg (Хозяева)
Прогноз 20.68%4.84справедливый коэффициент
EV +9.60%
Преимущество +1.81%
Kelly +2.23%
Рост +0.214%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.30
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
17.33%20.55%20.77%22.91%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.004.654.505.3025.00%21.51%22.22%18.87%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Sturm Graz (Гости)
Прогноз 54.61%1.83справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.34%
Преимущество -1.89%
Kelly -4.34%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.77
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
52.61%54.68%54.58%58.50%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.511.651.671.7766.23%60.44%59.88%56.50%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 24.71%4.05справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.16%
Преимущество -0.290%
Kelly -0.387%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.52%24.77%24.64%26.29%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.353.713.754.0029.85%26.98%26.67%25.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Hartberg (Хозяева): 20.68%; Sturm Graz (Гости): 54.61%; Ничья: 24.71%. Для исхода «Hartberg (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.84. 15 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 5.30, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +9.60%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (48 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39%EV +9.60%E +1.81%K +2.23%G +0.214% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.35%EV -13.71%E -8.68%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -6.10%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-04 01:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV +9.60%E +1.81%K +2.23%G +0.214% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -14.26%E -9.08%K -25.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.10%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-04 01:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV +9.60%E +1.81%K +2.23%G +0.214% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -14.26%E -9.08%K -25.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.10%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-04 01:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV +9.60%E +1.81%K +2.23%G +0.214% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -14.26%E -9.08%K -25.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.10%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-04 01:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV +9.60%E +1.81%K +2.23%G +0.214% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -14.26%E -9.08%K -25.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.10%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-04 01:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV +9.60%E +1.81%K +2.23%G +0.214% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -14.26%E -9.08%K -25.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.10%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-04 01:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV +9.60%E +1.81%K +2.23%G +0.214% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -14.26%E -9.08%K -25.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.10%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-04 01:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV +9.60%E +1.81%K +2.23%G +0.214% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -14.26%E -9.08%K -25.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.10%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-04 01:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV +9.60%E +1.81%K +2.23%G +0.214% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -14.26%E -9.08%K -25.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.10%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-04 01:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.48%EV +7.53%E +1.45%K +1.79%G +0.135% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.28%EV -14.81%E -9.49%K -26.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-04 01:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.48%EV +7.53%E +1.45%K +1.79%G +0.135% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.28%EV -14.81%E -9.49%K -26.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-04 01:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.48%EV +7.53%E +1.45%K +1.79%G +0.135% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.28%EV -14.81%E -9.49%K -26.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-04 01:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.54%EV +3.40%E +0.679%K +0.849%G +0.029% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.09%EV -17.54%E -11.61%K -34.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-04 01:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.69%EV +1.53%E +0.312%K +0.392%G +0.006% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.61%EV -3.34%E -1.89%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.71%EV -7.09%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-08 17:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV +1.33%E +0.271%K +0.340%G +0.005% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.12%EV -7.71%E -4.56%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 17:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -0.740%E -0.154%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -8.80%E -5.27%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.10%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 16:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -1.77%E -0.374%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -8.25%E -4.91%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -4.87%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-07 21:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -4.88%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.07%EV -6.62%E -3.87%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -4.87%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 16:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -4.88%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -7.16%E -4.21%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.10%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 16:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -4.88%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.34%EV -8.80%E -5.27%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 17:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.56I 21.93%NM 20.54%EV -5.70%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.14%EV -5.52%E -3.19%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.57%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 17:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -6.94%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.97%EV -7.16%E -4.21%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -4.87%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 16:38 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -6.94%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.16%E -4.21%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 05:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -6.94%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.16%E -4.21%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 05:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -6.94%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.16%E -4.21%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 05:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -6.94%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.16%E -4.21%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 05:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -6.94%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.20%EV -9.35%E -5.63%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-07 21:05 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -6.94%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.81%EV -7.71%E -4.56%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-08 17:06 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -7.98%E -1.79%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -6.07%E -3.53%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.57%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 17:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -7.98%E -1.79%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -6.07%E -3.53%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.57%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 17:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -9.01%E -2.05%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.02%EV -7.71%E -4.56%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -3.63%E -0.931%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 16:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -9.01%E -2.05%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -6.62%E -3.87%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 16:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -9.01%E -2.05%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -8.80%E -5.27%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -9.81%E -2.69%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-08 16:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.01%EV -9.01%E -2.05%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.70%EV -10.44%E -6.36%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.29%EV -17.22%E -5.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-08 17:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -10.46%E -2.42%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.28%EV -8.80%E -5.27%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.17%EV -15.99%E -4.70%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 17:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -11.08%E -2.58%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.40%EV -6.62%E -3.87%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-08 16:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -11.08%E -2.58%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.86%EV -9.35%E -5.63%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -6.10%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-08 16:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.83%EV -11.08%E -2.58%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 52.99%EV -7.71%E -4.56%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 26.18%EV -15.49%E -4.53%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-08 17:03 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.41%EV -11.08%E -2.58%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.86%EV -12.62%E -7.89%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -12.28%E -3.46%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-08 17:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -13.15%E -3.13%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -4.98%E -2.86%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -1.16%E -0.290%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 17:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -13.15%E -3.13%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -4.98%E -2.86%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -1.16%E -0.290%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 17:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -13.15%E -3.13%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.61%EV -6.07%E -3.53%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-08 17:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -13.15%E -3.13%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.38%EV -9.89%E -5.99%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -8.57%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-08 08:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -13.15%E -3.13%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.38%EV -9.89%E -5.99%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -8.57%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-07 21:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -13.15%E -3.13%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.38%EV -9.89%E -5.99%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -8.57%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-07 21:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -13.15%E -3.13%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.53%EV -10.44%E -6.36%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17%EV -8.57%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-08 16:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -13.15%E -3.13%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.47%EV -11.53%E -7.12%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.51%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-05 15:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -17.28%E -4.32%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -5.52%E -3.19%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.10%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 17:04 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (4)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.27% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.27% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 17:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.27% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 17:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.90% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.23% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.87% | 1.7% | 2026-08-08 17:20 |