Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Hartberg v Sturm Graz

Inizio: 2026-08-08 17:30 UTC

Finale: Hartberg 0–2 Sturm Graz

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

48 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Hartberg (Casa)

Previsione 20.68%4.84quota equa
EV +9.60%
Vantaggio +1.81%
Kelly +2.23%
Crescita +0.214%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.33%20.55%20.77%22.91%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.654.505.3025.00%21.51%22.22%18.87%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Sturm Graz (Trasferta)

Previsione 54.61%1.83quota equa
EV -3.34%
Vantaggio -1.89%
Kelly -4.34%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.77

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.61%54.68%54.58%58.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.511.651.671.7766.23%60.44%59.88%56.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 24.71%4.05quota equa
EV -1.16%
Vantaggio -0.290%
Kelly -0.387%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.52%24.77%24.64%26.29%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.353.713.754.0029.85%26.98%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Hartberg (Casa): 20.68%; Sturm Graz (Trasferta): 54.61%; Pareggio: 24.71%. Per Hartberg (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.84. 15 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 5.30, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +9.60%.

Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39%EV +9.60%E +1.81%K +2.23%G +0.214%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.35%EV -13.71%E -8.68%K -23.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -6.10%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-04 01:24
TABtouch🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV +9.60%E +1.81%K +2.23%G +0.214%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -14.26%E -9.08%K -25.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.10%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-04 01:24
Casumo🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV +9.60%E +1.81%K +2.23%G +0.214%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -14.26%E -9.08%K -25.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.10%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-04 01:24
Grosvenor🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV +9.60%E +1.81%K +2.23%G +0.214%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -14.26%E -9.08%K -25.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.10%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-04 01:24
Unibet (NL)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV +9.60%E +1.81%K +2.23%G +0.214%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -14.26%E -9.08%K -25.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.10%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-04 01:24
BetRivers🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV +9.60%E +1.81%K +2.23%G +0.214%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -14.26%E -9.08%K -25.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.10%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-04 01:25
Unibet (SE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV +9.60%E +1.81%K +2.23%G +0.214%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -14.26%E -9.08%K -25.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.10%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-04 01:25
Svenska Spel🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV +9.60%E +1.81%K +2.23%G +0.214%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -14.26%E -9.08%K -25.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.10%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-04 01:24
ATG (SE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV +9.60%E +1.81%K +2.23%G +0.214%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -14.26%E -9.08%K -25.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.10%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-04 01:24
LiveScore Bet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.48%EV +7.53%E +1.45%K +1.79%G +0.135%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.28%EV -14.81%E -9.49%K -26.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-04 01:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.48%EV +7.53%E +1.45%K +1.79%G +0.135%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.28%EV -14.81%E -9.49%K -26.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-04 01:24
Virgin Bet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.48%EV +7.53%E +1.45%K +1.79%G +0.135%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.28%EV -14.81%E -9.49%K -26.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-04 01:25
PMU (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.54%EV +3.40%E +0.679%K +0.849%G +0.029%1.51I 66.23%NM 58.09%EV -17.54%E -11.61%K -34.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-04 01:25
Pinnacle🎯4.91I 20.37%NM 19.69%EV +1.53%E +0.312%K +0.392%G +0.006%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.61%EV -3.34%E -1.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.71%EV -7.09%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-08 17:15
FanDuel🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV +1.33%E +0.271%K +0.340%G +0.005%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.12%EV -7.71%E -4.56%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 17:24
Tipico (DE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -0.740%E -0.154%K -0.195%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -8.80%E -5.27%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.10%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 16:39
Coolbet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -1.77%E -0.374%K -0.473%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -8.25%E -4.91%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -4.87%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 21:05
DraftKings🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -4.88%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.07%EV -6.62%E -3.87%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -4.87%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 16:39
Unibet (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -4.88%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -7.16%E -4.21%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.10%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 16:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -4.88%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.34%EV -8.80%E -5.27%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 17:24
1xBet🎯4.56I 21.93%NM 20.54%EV -5.70%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.14%EV -5.52%E -3.19%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.57%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 17:05
Bovada🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -6.94%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.97%EV -7.16%E -4.21%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -4.87%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 16:38
888sport🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -6.94%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.16%E -4.21%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 05:30
888sport (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -6.94%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.16%E -4.21%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 05:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -6.94%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.16%E -4.21%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 05:30
William Hill🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -6.94%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.16%E -4.21%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 05:35
Bet Right🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -6.94%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.20%EV -9.35%E -5.63%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-07 21:05
Suprabets🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -6.94%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 53.81%EV -7.71%E -4.56%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 17:06
NordicBet🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -7.98%E -1.79%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -6.07%E -3.53%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.57%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 17:15
Betsson🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -7.98%E -1.79%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -6.07%E -3.53%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.57%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 17:15
BetMGM🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -9.01%E -2.05%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.02%EV -7.71%E -4.56%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -3.63%E -0.931%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 16:40
theScore Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -9.01%E -2.05%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -6.62%E -3.87%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 16:14
Codere (IT)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -9.01%E -2.05%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -8.80%E -5.27%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -9.81%E -2.69%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 16:14
SportsBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.01%EV -9.01%E -2.05%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 53.70%EV -10.44%E -6.36%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.29%EV -17.22%E -5.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-08 17:24
Sky Bet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -10.46%E -2.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.28%EV -8.80%E -5.27%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.17%EV -15.99%E -4.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 17:25
Fanatics🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -11.08%E -2.58%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.40%EV -6.62%E -3.87%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 16:54
Winamax (DE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -11.08%E -2.58%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.86%EV -9.35%E -5.63%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -6.10%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 16:14
Betclic (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.83%EV -11.08%E -2.58%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 52.99%EV -7.71%E -4.56%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.18%EV -15.49%E -4.53%K -6.40%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-08 17:03
Unibet (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.41%EV -11.08%E -2.58%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 54.86%EV -12.62%E -7.89%K -21.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -12.28%E -3.46%K -4.82%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-08 17:04
LowVig.ag🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -13.15%E -3.13%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -4.98%E -2.86%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -1.16%E -0.290%K -0.387%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 17:04
BetOnline.ag🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -13.15%E -3.13%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -4.98%E -2.86%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -1.16%E -0.290%K -0.387%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 17:04
PlayUp🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -13.15%E -3.13%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.61%EV -6.07%E -3.53%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-08 17:05
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -13.15%E -3.13%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.38%EV -9.89%E -5.99%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -8.57%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-08 08:15
Neds🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -13.15%E -3.13%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.38%EV -9.89%E -5.99%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -8.57%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-07 21:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -13.15%E -3.13%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.38%EV -9.89%E -5.99%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -8.57%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-07 21:00
Winamax (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -13.15%E -3.13%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.53%EV -10.44%E -6.36%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17%EV -8.57%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 16:15
BoyleSports🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -13.15%E -3.13%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.47%EV -11.53%E -7.12%K -18.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.51%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-05 15:19
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -17.28%E -4.32%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -5.52%E -3.19%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.10%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 17:04
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.27%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%1.1%2026-08-08 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.27%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%1.1%2026-08-08 17:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.27%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%1.1%2026-08-08 17:20
Smarkets◎5.20I 19.23%NM 18.90%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.23%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.87%1.7%2026-08-08 17:20