La escuela de los momiosHartberg v Sturm Graz
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Hartberg (Local)
Predicción 21.91%4.56momio equitativo
EV -0.538%
Ventaja -0.118%
Kelly -0.152%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.54
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.88%21.95%21.91%23.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.704.064.004.5427.03%24.61%25.00%22.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Sturm Graz (Visitante)
Predicción 53.05%1.88momio equitativo
EV -1.85%
Ventaja -0.999%
Kelly -2.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.52%53.00%53.04%54.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.761.751.8560.61%56.87%57.14%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.04%3.99momio equitativo
EV -2.10%
Ventaja -0.538%
Kelly -0.723%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.91
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.33%25.05%25.05%27.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.613.603.9132.26%27.73%27.78%25.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.09%EV -0.538%E -0.118%K -0.152%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.41%EV -6.62%E -3.76%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.49%EV -2.10%E -0.538%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-09 17:24 |
| Coolbet | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.11%EV -1.19%E -0.265%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.49%EV -5.56%E -3.13%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -6.11%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 21:59 |
| Betsson | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -2.51%E -0.564%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -8.75%E -5.08%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 03:00 |
| NordicBet | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -2.51%E -0.564%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -8.75%E -5.08%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 02:59 |
| 1xBet | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.21%EV -3.17%E -0.716%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -7.15%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.21%EV -6.86%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 03:09 |
| FanDuel | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.60%E -0.819%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -9.28%E -5.42%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -4.86%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| DraftKings | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -5.80%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.26%EV -6.09%E -3.44%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -4.86%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 15:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -5.80%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.26%EV -6.09%E -3.44%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -4.86%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 15:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -5.80%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.26%EV -6.09%E -3.44%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -4.86%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 15:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -6.89%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.81%EV -5.56%E -3.13%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -6.11%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Bovada | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.13%EV -6.62%E -3.76%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -4.86%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 15:02 |
| Betway | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -7.15%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.11%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 02:59 |
| Bet Right | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.15%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.87%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-08 18:15 |
| 888sport | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.15%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.87%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 15:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.15%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.87%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 15:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.15%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.87%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 15:09 |
| William Hill | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.15%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.87%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 15:10 |
| PlayUp | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -9.81%E -5.77%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.87%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-10 03:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.95%EV -9.08%E -2.19%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.96%EV -8.75%E -5.08%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.09%EV -9.11%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-10 03:07 |
| BetMGM | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -10.18%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.13%EV -7.68%E -4.42%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.86%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 18:14 |
| theScore Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -10.18%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.17%EV -6.09%E -3.44%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -8.61%E -2.36%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| Suprabets | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.78%EV -10.18%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.14%EV -10.87%E -6.47%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 25.08%EV -10.87%E -3.05%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-09 15:25 |
| Sky Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -12.37%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -9.81%E -5.77%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -12.37%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-08 18:14 |
| BoyleSports | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -12.37%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -9.81%E -5.77%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -12.37%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-07 21:30 |
| SportsBet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -12.37%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.93%EV -11.93%E -7.19%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -12.37%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-08 18:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -12.37%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.08%EV -12.46%E -7.55%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.02%EV -12.37%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-10 03:04 |
| Unibet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -14.56%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -1.85%E -0.999%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -11.12%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-08 14:39 |
| Grosvenor | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -14.56%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -1.85%E -0.999%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -11.12%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-08 14:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -14.56%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -1.85%E -0.999%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -11.12%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-08 14:40 |
| BetRivers | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -14.56%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -1.85%E -0.999%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -11.12%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-08 14:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -14.56%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -1.85%E -0.999%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -11.12%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-08 14:40 |
| TABtouch | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -14.56%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -1.85%E -0.999%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -11.12%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-08 14:39 |
| Casumo | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -14.56%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -1.85%E -0.999%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -11.12%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-08 14:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -14.56%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -1.85%E -0.999%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -11.12%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-08 14:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -14.56%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -1.85%E -0.999%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -11.12%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-08 14:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -14.56%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.59%EV -9.81%E -5.77%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -8.61%E -2.36%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Neds | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -14.56%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -9.81%E -5.77%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -9.87%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-08 18:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -14.56%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -9.81%E -5.77%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -9.87%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-08 18:14 |
| Coral | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -14.56%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -9.81%E -5.77%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -9.87%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-08 18:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -14.56%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -9.81%E -5.77%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -9.87%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-08 18:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -16.75%E -4.41%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.16%EV -3.97%E -2.19%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -12.37%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-08 14:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -16.75%E -4.41%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.16%EV -3.97%E -2.19%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -12.37%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-08 14:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -16.75%E -4.41%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.16%EV -3.97%E -2.19%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -12.37%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-08 14:39 |
| LeoVegas | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -16.75%E -4.41%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.16%EV -3.97%E -2.19%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -12.37%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-08 14:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.09%EV -17.84%E -4.76%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.17%EV -11.93%E -7.19%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.74%EV -12.37%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.85%EV -17.84%E -4.76%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.52%EV -8.22%E -4.75%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -22.38%E -7.22%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-10 00:14 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -18.94%E -5.12%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.31%EV -7.15%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.89%EV -14.87%E -4.37%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-08 14:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.42% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.45% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.13% | 2.0% | 2026-05-10 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.42% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.45% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.13% | 2.0% | 2026-05-10 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.42% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.45% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.13% | 2.0% | 2026-05-10 03:09 |
| Smarkets | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.24% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 03:05 |