مدرسة الاحتمالات

Hartberg v Sturm Graz

البداية: 2026-05-10 15:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Hartberg 2–4 Sturm Graz

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

47 شركة مراهنات (14 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Hartberg (المضيف)

التنبؤ 21.91%4.56السعر العادل
EV -0.538%
الأفضلية -0.118%
Kelly -0.152%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.54

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.88%21.95%21.91%23.89%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.704.064.004.5427.03%24.61%25.00%22.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Sturm Graz (الضيف)

التنبؤ 53.05%1.88السعر العادل
EV -1.85%
الأفضلية -0.999%
Kelly -2.18%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
49.52%53.00%53.04%54.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.651.761.751.8560.61%56.87%57.14%54.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.04%3.99السعر العادل
EV -2.10%
الأفضلية -0.538%
Kelly -0.723%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.91

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.33%25.05%25.05%27.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.613.603.9132.26%27.73%27.78%25.58%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (47 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle4.54I 22.03%NM 21.09%EV -0.538%E -0.118%K -0.152%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.41%EV -6.62%E -3.76%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.49%EV -2.10%E -0.538%K -0.723%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-09 17:24
Coolbet4.51I 22.17%NM 21.11%EV -1.19%E -0.265%K -0.340%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.49%EV -5.56%E -3.13%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -6.11%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 21:59
Betsson4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -2.51%E -0.564%K -0.727%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -8.75%E -5.08%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 03:00
NordicBet4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -2.51%E -0.564%K -0.727%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -8.75%E -5.08%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 02:59
1xBet4.42I 22.62%NM 21.21%EV -3.17%E -0.716%K -0.926%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -7.15%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.21%EV -6.86%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 03:09
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.60%E -0.819%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -9.28%E -5.42%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -4.86%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 18:20
DraftKings4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -5.80%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.26%EV -6.09%E -3.44%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -4.86%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 15:05
BetOnline.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -5.80%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.26%EV -6.09%E -3.44%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -4.86%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 15:04
LowVig.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -5.80%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.26%EV -6.09%E -3.44%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -4.86%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 15:05
Unibet (UK)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -6.89%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.81%EV -5.56%E -3.13%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -6.11%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 11:09
Bovada4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.13%EV -6.62%E -3.76%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -4.86%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 15:02
Betway4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -7.15%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.11%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 02:59
Bet Right4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.15%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.87%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 18:15
888sport4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.15%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.87%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 15:09
Mr Green (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.15%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.87%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 15:10
888sport (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.15%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.87%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 15:09
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.15%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.87%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 15:10
PlayUp4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -9.81%E -5.77%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.87%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-10 03:00
Betclic (FR)4.15I 24.10%NM 21.95%EV -9.08%E -2.19%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.96%EV -8.75%E -5.08%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.09%EV -9.11%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 03:07
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -10.18%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.13%EV -7.68%E -4.42%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.86%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 18:14
theScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -10.18%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.17%EV -6.09%E -3.44%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -8.61%E -2.36%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 13:35
Suprabets4.10I 24.39%NM 21.78%EV -10.18%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.14%EV -10.87%E -6.47%K -15.98%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 25.08%EV -10.87%E -3.05%K -4.24%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 15:25
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -12.37%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -9.81%E -5.77%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -12.37%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-08 18:14
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -12.37%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -9.81%E -5.77%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -12.37%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-07 21:30
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -12.37%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 52.93%EV -11.93%E -7.19%K -18.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -12.37%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-08 18:14
Unibet (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -12.37%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 53.08%EV -12.46%E -7.55%K -19.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.02%EV -12.37%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-10 03:04
Unibet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -14.56%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -1.85%E -0.999%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -11.12%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 14:39
Grosvenor3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -14.56%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -1.85%E -0.999%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -11.12%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 14:39
Unibet (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -14.56%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -1.85%E -0.999%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -11.12%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 14:40
BetRivers3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -14.56%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -1.85%E -0.999%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -11.12%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 14:40
Unibet (NL)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -14.56%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -1.85%E -0.999%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -11.12%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 14:40
TABtouch3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -14.56%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -1.85%E -0.999%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -11.12%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 14:39
Casumo3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -14.56%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -1.85%E -0.999%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -11.12%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 14:39
ATG (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -14.56%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -1.85%E -0.999%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -11.12%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 14:39
Svenska Spel3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -14.56%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -1.85%E -0.999%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -11.12%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 14:40
Winamax (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -14.56%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.59%EV -9.81%E -5.77%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -8.61%E -2.36%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-09 11:09
Neds3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -14.56%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -9.81%E -5.77%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -9.87%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-08 18:14
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -14.56%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -9.81%E -5.77%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -9.87%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-08 18:14
Coral3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -14.56%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -9.81%E -5.77%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -9.87%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-08 18:09
Ladbrokes (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -14.56%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -9.81%E -5.77%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -9.87%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-08 18:15
LiveScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -16.75%E -4.41%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.16%EV -3.97%E -2.19%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -12.37%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-08 14:39
Virgin Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -16.75%E -4.41%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.16%EV -3.97%E -2.19%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -12.37%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-08 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -16.75%E -4.41%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.16%EV -3.97%E -2.19%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -12.37%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-08 14:39
LeoVegas3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -16.75%E -4.41%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.16%EV -3.97%E -2.19%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -12.37%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-08 14:39
Winamax (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.09%EV -17.84%E -4.76%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 52.17%EV -11.93%E -7.19%K -18.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.74%EV -12.37%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-09 11:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.85%EV -17.84%E -4.76%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.52%EV -8.22%E -4.75%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -22.38%E -7.22%K -10.66%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-10 00:14
PMU (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -18.94%E -5.12%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.31%EV -7.15%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.89%EV -14.87%E -4.37%K -6.20%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-08 14:39
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.42%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.45%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.13%2.0%2026-05-10 03:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.42%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.45%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.13%2.0%2026-05-10 03:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.42%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.45%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.13%2.0%2026-05-10 03:09
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.24%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%9.0%2026-05-10 03:05