Language:English
Grazer AK v WSG Tirol
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Grazer AK (Local)
Prediction 41.71%2.40fair odd
EV -1.15%
Edge -0.483%
Kelly -0.836%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.18%41.62%41.74%43.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.202.202.3747.62%45.40%45.45%42.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
WSG Tirol (Visit)
Prediction 27.54%3.63fair odd
EV -0.573%
Edge -0.159%
Kelly -0.219%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.24%27.72%27.55%29.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.253.253.6133.90%30.81%30.77%27.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.75%3.25fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -0.601%
Kelly -0.876%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.19
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.02%30.66%30.71%31.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.023.053.1936.36%33.09%32.79%31.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Grazer AK (Local): 41.71%; WSG Tirol (Visit): 27.54%; Draw: 30.75%. For WSG Tirol (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.63. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.61, with an expected value of -0.573%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.18%EV -1.15%E -0.483%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.60%EV -8.28%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 14:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.87%EV -3.65%E -1.58%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.94%EV -1.12%E -0.313%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.20%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-02 14:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%EV -5.73%E -2.54%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -3.60%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.55%EV -8.37%E -2.81%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 14:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%EV -5.73%E -2.54%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -3.60%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.55%EV -8.37%E -2.81%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 14:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -6.15%E -2.73%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 14:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.15%E -2.73%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.60%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 14:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -6.15%E -2.73%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 14:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.15%E -2.73%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 14:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.15%E -2.73%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 14:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.00%EV -6.98%E -3.13%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -16.00%E -5.24%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -3.15%E -0.999%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 04:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.00%EV -6.98%E -3.13%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -16.00%E -5.24%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -3.15%E -0.999%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 04:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.00%EV -6.98%E -3.13%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -16.00%E -5.24%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -3.15%E -0.999%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 04:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.00%EV -6.98%E -3.13%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -16.00%E -5.24%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -3.15%E -0.999%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 04:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.00%EV -6.98%E -3.13%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -16.00%E -5.24%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -3.15%E -0.999%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 04:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.00%EV -6.98%E -3.13%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -16.00%E -5.24%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -3.15%E -0.999%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 04:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.00%EV -6.98%E -3.13%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -16.00%E -5.24%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -3.15%E -0.999%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 04:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.00%EV -6.98%E -3.13%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -16.00%E -5.24%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -3.15%E -0.999%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 04:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.00%EV -6.98%E -3.13%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -16.00%E -5.24%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -3.15%E -0.999%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 04:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.27%EV -7.40%E -3.33%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.61%EV -0.573%E -0.159%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.12%EV -1.92%E -0.601%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-02 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -7.40%E -3.33%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -8.37%E -2.81%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 14:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -7.40%E -3.33%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -8.37%E -2.81%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 14:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -8.24%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -3.15%E -0.999%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 14:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.24%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 14:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -8.24%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 14:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -8.24%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 14:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.24%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 14:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.24%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 14:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.24%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 14:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.24%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 14:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -8.24%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -16.00%E -5.24%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 04:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -8.24%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -16.00%E -5.24%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 04:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -8.24%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -16.00%E -5.24%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 04:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -8.24%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -16.00%E -5.24%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 04:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.24%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -14.62%E -4.72%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-02 14:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.24%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -14.62%E -4.72%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-02 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.24%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -14.62%E -4.72%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-02 14:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.24%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -14.62%E -4.72%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-02 14:25 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -10.32%E -4.80%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.24%EV -4.43%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 14:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -10.32%E -4.80%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 14:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.96%EV -10.32%E -4.80%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-02 14:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -10.32%E -4.80%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.87%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-02 14:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -10.32%E -4.80%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.87%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-02 14:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -10.32%E -4.80%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -13.91%E -4.97%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-02 14:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.16%EV -11.57%E -5.46%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 27.33%EV -9.94%E -3.04%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 30.51%EV -9.91%E -3.38%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-02 14:37 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.23%EV -11.57%E -5.46%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.63%EV -18.75%E -6.36%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-02 04:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.59%EV -12.41%E -5.91%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -9.30%E -3.15%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-02 14:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.85%EV -12.41%E -5.91%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -14.62%E -4.72%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.79%EV -9.30%E -3.15%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-02 14:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.32%EV -12.41%E -5.91%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.12%EV -11.87%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.56%EV -15.45%E -5.62%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-02 14:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.97%EV -12.41%E -5.91%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.75%EV -14.62%E -4.72%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.28%EV -15.45%E -5.62%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-02 14:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.10% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27% | 1.5% | 2026-05-02 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.10% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27% | 1.5% | 2026-05-02 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.10% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27% | 1.5% | 2026-05-02 14:44 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.10% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27% | 1.5% | 2026-05-02 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.16% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.80% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.05% | 2.2% | 2026-05-02 14:40 |