La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Grazer AK v WSG Tirol
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Grazer AK (Local)
Predicción 41.71%2.40momio equitativo
EV -1.15%
Ventaja -0.483%
Kelly -0.836%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.37
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.18%41.62%41.74%43.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.202.202.3747.62%45.40%45.45%42.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
WSG Tirol (Visitante)
Predicción 27.54%3.63momio equitativo
EV -0.573%
Ventaja -0.159%
Kelly -0.219%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.24%27.72%27.55%29.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.953.253.253.6133.90%30.81%30.77%27.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.75%3.25momio equitativo
EV -1.92%
Ventaja -0.601%
Kelly -0.876%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.19
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.02%30.66%30.71%31.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.023.053.1936.36%33.09%32.79%31.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.18%EV -1.15%E -0.483%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.60%EV -8.28%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 14:34 |
| Pinnacle | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.87%EV -3.65%E -1.58%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.94%EV -1.12%E -0.313%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.20%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-02 14:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%EV -5.73%E -2.54%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -3.60%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.55%EV -8.37%E -2.81%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 14:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%EV -5.73%E -2.54%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -3.60%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.55%EV -8.37%E -2.81%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 14:25 |
| DraftKings | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -6.15%E -2.73%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 14:25 |
| FanDuel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.15%E -2.73%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.60%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 14:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -6.15%E -2.73%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 14:40 |
| Bovada | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.15%E -2.73%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 14:49 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.15%E -2.73%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 14:25 |
| Unibet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.00%EV -6.98%E -3.13%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -16.00%E -5.24%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -3.15%E -0.999%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 04:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.00%EV -6.98%E -3.13%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -16.00%E -5.24%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -3.15%E -0.999%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 04:25 |
| BetRivers | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.00%EV -6.98%E -3.13%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -16.00%E -5.24%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -3.15%E -0.999%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 04:24 |
| Casumo | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.00%EV -6.98%E -3.13%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -16.00%E -5.24%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -3.15%E -0.999%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 04:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.00%EV -6.98%E -3.13%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -16.00%E -5.24%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -3.15%E -0.999%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 04:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.00%EV -6.98%E -3.13%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -16.00%E -5.24%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -3.15%E -0.999%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 04:24 |
| Grosvenor | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.00%EV -6.98%E -3.13%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -16.00%E -5.24%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -3.15%E -0.999%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 04:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.00%EV -6.98%E -3.13%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -16.00%E -5.24%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -3.15%E -0.999%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 04:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.00%EV -6.98%E -3.13%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -16.00%E -5.24%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -3.15%E -0.999%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 04:25 |
| 1xBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.27%EV -7.40%E -3.33%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.61%EV -0.573%E -0.159%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.12%EV -1.92%E -0.601%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-02 14:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -7.40%E -3.33%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -8.37%E -2.81%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 14:25 |
| Betsson | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -7.40%E -3.33%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -8.37%E -2.81%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 14:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -8.24%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -3.15%E -0.999%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 14:30 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.24%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 14:25 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -8.24%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 14:35 |
| Bet Right | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -8.24%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 14:25 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.24%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 14:30 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.24%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 14:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.24%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 14:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.24%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 14:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -8.24%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -16.00%E -5.24%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 04:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -8.24%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -16.00%E -5.24%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 04:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -8.24%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -16.00%E -5.24%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 04:25 |
| LeoVegas | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -8.24%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -16.00%E -5.24%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 04:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.24%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -14.62%E -4.72%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-02 14:30 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.24%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -14.62%E -4.72%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-02 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.24%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -14.62%E -4.72%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-02 14:25 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.24%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -14.62%E -4.72%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-02 14:25 |
| Suprabets | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -10.32%E -4.80%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.24%EV -4.43%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 14:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -10.32%E -4.80%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 14:35 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.96%EV -10.32%E -4.80%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-02 14:55 |
| betfred_uk | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -10.32%E -4.80%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.87%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-02 14:30 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -10.32%E -4.80%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.87%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-02 14:20 |
| Sky Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -10.32%E -4.80%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -13.91%E -4.97%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-02 14:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.16%EV -11.57%E -5.46%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 27.33%EV -9.94%E -3.04%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 30.51%EV -9.91%E -3.38%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-02 14:37 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.23%EV -11.57%E -5.46%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.63%EV -18.75%E -6.36%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-02 04:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.59%EV -12.41%E -5.91%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -9.30%E -3.15%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-02 14:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.85%EV -12.41%E -5.91%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -14.62%E -4.72%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.79%EV -9.30%E -3.15%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-02 14:35 |
| SportsBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.32%EV -12.41%E -5.91%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.12%EV -11.87%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.56%EV -15.45%E -5.62%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-02 14:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.97%EV -12.41%E -5.91%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.75%EV -14.62%E -4.72%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.28%EV -15.45%E -5.62%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-02 14:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.10% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27% | 1.5% | 2026-05-02 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.10% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27% | 1.5% | 2026-05-02 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.10% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27% | 1.5% | 2026-05-02 14:44 |
| Matchbook | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.10% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27% | 1.5% | 2026-05-02 14:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.16% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.80% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.05% | 2.2% | 2026-05-02 14:40 |