Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Grazer AK v Wolfsberger AC

2026-08-29 15:00 UTC — Austrian Football Bundesliga

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Grazer AK (Local)

Prediction 27.73%3.61fair odd
EV -3.78%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -1.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.41%27.79%27.74%28.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.263.303.4733.33%30.72%30.30%28.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wolfsberger AC (Visit)

Prediction 46.07%2.17fair odd
EV -5.55%
Edge -2.71%
Kelly -5.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.14%46.14%46.14%47.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.972.002.0552.63%50.64%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.20%3.82fair odd
EV -1.76%
Edge -0.470%
Kelly -0.641%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.88%26.07%26.12%26.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.283.503.503.7530.49%28.55%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Grazer AK (Local): 27.73%; Wolfsberger AC (Visit): 46.07%; Draw: 26.20%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.82. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.75, with an expected value of -1.76%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.47I 28.82%NM 27.41%EV -3.78%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.39%EV -5.55%E -2.71%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.20%EV -4.91%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 21:50
1xBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -6.93%E -3.43%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 19:00
Bovada🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.85%E -3.93%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -4.38%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 22:22
DraftKings🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -7.11%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.29%EV -7.85%E -3.93%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.00%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 19:35
Betr (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.13%EV -5.55%E -2.71%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -1.76%E -0.470%K -0.641%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 19:00
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -6.93%E -3.43%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -1.76%E -0.470%K -0.641%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 18:59
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -10.15%E -5.21%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -3.07%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 18:58
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -10.15%E -5.21%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -3.07%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 19:29
Unibet (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.85%E -3.93%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 19:00
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.85%E -3.93%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 19:00
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.85%E -3.93%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 18:59
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.85%E -3.93%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 18:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.85%E -3.93%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 19:00
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -10.15%E -5.21%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 19:00
Bet Right🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -9.88%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.31%EV -8.77%E -4.43%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 18:59
Codere (IT)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.88%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.85%E -3.93%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 19:00
Suprabets🎯3.21I 31.15%NM 27.57%EV -10.99%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.09%EV -11.54%E -6.01%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 26.34%EV -11.98%E -3.57%K -5.08%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-22 18:56
betfred_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.27%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -10.15%E -5.21%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-22 18:59
SportsBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.11%EV -12.65%E -4.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.60%EV -12.46%E -6.56%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-22 18:59
Betclic (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.84%EV -12.65%E -4.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.43%EV -11.08%E -5.74%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.73%EV -14.08%E -4.29%K -6.17%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-22 18:59
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -15.43%E -5.06%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.32%EV -10.61%E -5.47%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-22 18:59
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -16.81%E -5.60%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -12.00%E -6.28%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -13.55%E -4.11%K -5.89%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-22 19:00
Winamax (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.67%EV -16.81%E -5.60%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 45.27%EV -12.46%E -6.56%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.06%EV -13.55%E -4.11%K -5.89%G +0.000%16.3%2026-08-22 18:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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