Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Grazer AK v Wolfsberger AC

Kickoff: 2026-08-29 15:00 UTC

Final: Grazer AK 0–0 Wolfsberger AC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Grazer AK (Local)

Prediction 36.19%2.76fair odd
EV -4.10%
Edge -1.55%
Kelly -2.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.99%36.18%36.18%36.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.532.552.6541.67%39.55%39.22%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wolfsberger AC (Visit)

Prediction 36.35%2.75fair odd
EV -0.751%
Edge -0.275%
Kelly -0.434%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.95%36.34%36.39%37.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.502.502.7342.55%39.95%40.00%36.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.46%3.64fair odd
EV -1.16%
Edge -0.322%
Kelly -0.445%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.96%27.48%27.43%29.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.183.373.353.6031.45%29.64%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Grazer AK (Local): 36.19%; Wolfsberger AC (Visit): 36.35%; Draw: 27.46%. For Wolfsberger AC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.75. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.73, with an expected value of -0.751%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -4.10%E -1.55%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 14:35
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -4.10%E -1.55%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 08:48
Pinnacle🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.95%EV -5.18%E -1.98%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.46%EV -0.751%E -0.275%K -0.434%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.58%EV -3.63%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-29 14:55
1xBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.67%EV -5.18%E -1.98%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.72%EV -2.21%E -0.820%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.61%EV -4.45%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 14:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.02%EV -5.18%E -1.98%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -1.84%E -0.682%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 14:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.02%EV -5.18%E -1.98%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -1.84%E -0.682%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 14:55
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.91%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -3.66%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 14:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.91%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -3.90%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 09:21
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.91%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -3.90%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 09:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.91%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 14:14
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.91%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 14:12
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -5.91%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.39%E -2.85%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 14:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.72%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -1.16%E -0.322%K -0.445%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 08:10
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.72%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -1.16%E -0.322%K -0.445%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 08:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.72%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -1.16%E -0.322%K -0.445%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 08:10
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.72%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -1.16%E -0.322%K -0.445%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 08:10
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.72%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -1.16%E -0.322%K -0.445%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 08:10
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.72%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -1.16%E -0.322%K -0.445%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 08:10
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.72%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -1.16%E -0.322%K -0.445%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 08:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.72%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -1.16%E -0.322%K -0.445%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 08:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.72%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -1.16%E -0.322%K -0.445%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 08:10
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.72%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.90%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 09:20
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -7.72%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 14:14
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -7.72%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -9.39%E -2.85%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 14:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -7.72%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.99%EV -7.72%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.97%EV -14.57%E -6.20%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -9.39%E -2.85%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-29 14:40
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.84%EV -8.80%E -3.49%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -3.66%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.13%EV -9.39%E -2.85%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 14:50
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.84%EV -8.80%E -3.49%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -3.66%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.13%EV -9.39%E -2.85%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 14:50
Suprabets🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.07%EV -8.80%E -3.49%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 35.79%EV -7.66%E -3.02%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.14%EV -11.32%E -3.50%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 14:46
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.53%E -3.81%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 14:50
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.53%E -3.81%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.39%E -2.85%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 11:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -9.53%E -3.81%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -8.02%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 14:15
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.53%E -3.81%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 14:50
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.53%E -3.81%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 14:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.53%E -3.81%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 14:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.53%E -3.81%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -9.53%E -3.81%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -9.39%E -2.85%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 14:45
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -9.53%E -3.81%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -12.75%E -5.31%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.14%E -3.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-29 14:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -9.53%E -3.81%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -12.75%E -5.31%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.14%E -3.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-29 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -9.53%E -3.81%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -12.75%E -5.31%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.14%E -3.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-29 14:10
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -9.53%E -3.81%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -12.75%E -5.31%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.14%E -3.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-29 14:10
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -11.34%E -4.63%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.39%E -2.85%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 14:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -11.34%E -4.63%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -9.39%E -2.85%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 14:15
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -11.34%E -4.63%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-29 14:14
Betclic (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.65%EV -12.06%E -4.96%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 35.34%EV -8.39%E -3.33%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.01%EV -12.69%E -3.99%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-29 14:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.55%EV -12.06%E -4.96%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.32%EV -13.48%E -5.66%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 08:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.55%EV -12.06%E -4.96%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.32%EV -13.48%E -5.66%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 08:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.55%EV -12.06%E -4.96%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.32%EV -13.48%E -5.66%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 08:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.55%EV -12.06%E -4.96%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.32%EV -13.48%E -5.66%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 08:10
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.52%EV -13.15%E -5.48%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.52%EV -12.75%E -5.31%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-29 14:19
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.24%EV -13.15%E -5.48%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.01%EV -14.57%E -6.20%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.76%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-29 14:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.83%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.76%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-08-29 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.83%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.76%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-08-29 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.83%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.76%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-08-29 14:55
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 36.78%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.46%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.5%2026-08-29 14:55
Smarkets2.68I 37.31%NM 36.59%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.79%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.62%2.0%2026-08-29 14:55