Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Grazer AK v Wolfsberger AC

Início: 2026-08-29 15:00 UTC

Final: Grazer AK 0–0 Wolfsberger AC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Grazer AK (Local)

Previsão 36.19%2.76odd justa
EV -4.10%
Vantagem -1.55%
Kelly -2.48%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.99%36.18%36.18%36.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.402.532.552.6541.67%39.55%39.22%37.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Wolfsberger AC (Visitante)

Previsão 36.35%2.75odd justa
EV -0.751%
Vantagem -0.275%
Kelly -0.434%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.95%36.34%36.39%37.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.352.502.502.7342.55%39.95%40.00%36.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.46%3.64odd justa
EV -1.16%
Vantagem -0.322%
Kelly -0.445%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.96%27.48%27.43%29.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.183.373.353.6031.45%29.64%29.85%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Grazer AK (Local): 36.19%; Wolfsberger AC (Visitante): 36.35%; Empate: 27.46%. Para Wolfsberger AC (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.75. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.73, com valor esperado de -0.751%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -4.10%E -1.55%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 14:35
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -4.10%E -1.55%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 08:48
Pinnacle🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.95%EV -5.18%E -1.98%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.46%EV -0.751%E -0.275%K -0.434%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.58%EV -3.63%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-29 14:55
1xBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.67%EV -5.18%E -1.98%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.72%EV -2.21%E -0.820%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.61%EV -4.45%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 14:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.02%EV -5.18%E -1.98%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -1.84%E -0.682%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 14:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.02%EV -5.18%E -1.98%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -1.84%E -0.682%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 14:55
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.91%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -3.66%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 14:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.91%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -3.90%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 09:21
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.91%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -3.90%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 09:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.91%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 14:14
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.91%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 14:12
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -5.91%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.39%E -2.85%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 14:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.72%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -1.16%E -0.322%K -0.445%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 08:10
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.72%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -1.16%E -0.322%K -0.445%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 08:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.72%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -1.16%E -0.322%K -0.445%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 08:10
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.72%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -1.16%E -0.322%K -0.445%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 08:10
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.72%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -1.16%E -0.322%K -0.445%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 08:10
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.72%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -1.16%E -0.322%K -0.445%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 08:10
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.72%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -1.16%E -0.322%K -0.445%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 08:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.72%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -1.16%E -0.322%K -0.445%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 08:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.72%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -1.16%E -0.322%K -0.445%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 08:10
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.72%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.90%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 09:20
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -7.72%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 14:14
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -7.72%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -9.39%E -2.85%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 14:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -7.72%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.99%EV -7.72%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.97%EV -14.57%E -6.20%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -9.39%E -2.85%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-29 14:40
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.84%EV -8.80%E -3.49%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -3.66%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.13%EV -9.39%E -2.85%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 14:50
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.84%EV -8.80%E -3.49%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -3.66%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.13%EV -9.39%E -2.85%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 14:50
Suprabets🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.07%EV -8.80%E -3.49%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 35.79%EV -7.66%E -3.02%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.14%EV -11.32%E -3.50%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 14:46
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.53%E -3.81%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 14:50
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.53%E -3.81%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.39%E -2.85%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 11:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -9.53%E -3.81%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -8.02%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 14:15
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.53%E -3.81%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 14:50
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.53%E -3.81%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 14:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.53%E -3.81%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 14:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.53%E -3.81%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -9.53%E -3.81%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -9.39%E -2.85%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 14:45
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -9.53%E -3.81%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -12.75%E -5.31%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.14%E -3.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-29 14:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -9.53%E -3.81%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -12.75%E -5.31%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.14%E -3.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-29 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -9.53%E -3.81%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -12.75%E -5.31%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.14%E -3.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-29 14:10
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -9.53%E -3.81%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -12.75%E -5.31%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.14%E -3.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-29 14:10
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -11.34%E -4.63%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.39%E -2.85%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 14:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -11.34%E -4.63%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -9.39%E -2.85%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 14:15
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -11.34%E -4.63%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-29 14:14
Betclic (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.65%EV -12.06%E -4.96%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 35.34%EV -8.39%E -3.33%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.01%EV -12.69%E -3.99%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-29 14:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.55%EV -12.06%E -4.96%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.32%EV -13.48%E -5.66%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 08:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.55%EV -12.06%E -4.96%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.32%EV -13.48%E -5.66%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 08:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.55%EV -12.06%E -4.96%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.32%EV -13.48%E -5.66%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 08:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.55%EV -12.06%E -4.96%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.32%EV -13.48%E -5.66%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 08:10
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.52%EV -13.15%E -5.48%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.52%EV -12.75%E -5.31%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-29 14:19
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.24%EV -13.15%E -5.48%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.01%EV -14.57%E -6.20%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.76%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-29 14:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 36.83%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.76%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-08-29 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 36.83%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.76%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-08-29 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 36.83%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.76%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-08-29 14:55
Matchbook◎2.68I 37.31%NM 36.78%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.46%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.5%2026-08-29 14:55
Smarkets◎2.68I 37.31%NM 36.59%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.79%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.62%2.0%2026-08-29 14:55