Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Grazer AK v Wolfsberger AC

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Grazer AK (Local)

Prediction 34.45%2.90fair odd
EV -3.55%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -1.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.56%34.52%34.28%36.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.642.672.8043.48%37.82%37.38%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wolfsberger AC (Visit)

Prediction 35.66%2.80fair odd
EV -0.496%
Edge -0.178%
Kelly -0.277%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.08%35.59%35.98%37.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.562.502.7941.67%39.10%40.00%35.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.89%3.35fair odd
EV -1.36%
Edge -0.413%
Kelly -0.592%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.53%29.88%29.74%31.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.083.103.3035.71%32.50%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Grazer AK (Local): 34.45%; Wolfsberger AC (Visit): 35.66%; Draw: 29.89%. For Wolfsberger AC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.80. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.79, with an expected value of -0.496%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.57%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.70%EV -0.496%E -0.178%K -0.277%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.73%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 15:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.94%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.20%EV -3.71%E -1.37%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.86%EV -7.94%E -2.58%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 15:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.94%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.20%EV -3.71%E -1.37%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.86%EV -7.94%E -2.58%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 15:35
Coolbet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.14%EV -3.90%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -5.85%E -2.21%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 23:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -5.28%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 15:39
1xBet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.15%EV -5.96%E -2.18%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.15%EV -2.64%E -0.966%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.71%EV -3.45%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 15:50
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.33%EV -6.31%E -2.32%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.33%EV -2.99%E -1.10%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.34%EV -10.93%E -3.67%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 15:45
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.33%EV -6.31%E -2.32%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.33%EV -2.99%E -1.10%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.34%EV -10.93%E -3.67%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 15:45
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.00%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.00%EV -3.71%E -1.37%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 15:45
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 15:34
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -9.06%E -3.55%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 15:40
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -11.55%E -4.66%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-09 07:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -11.55%E -4.66%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-09 07:54
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -11.55%E -4.66%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-09 07:54
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -11.55%E -4.66%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-09 07:54
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -11.55%E -4.66%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-09 07:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -11.55%E -4.66%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-09 07:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -11.55%E -4.66%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-09 07:54
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -11.55%E -4.66%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-09 08:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -11.55%E -4.66%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-09 08:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -12.62%E -5.15%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-09 07:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -12.62%E -5.15%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-09 07:55
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -12.62%E -5.15%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-09 07:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -12.62%E -5.15%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-09 08:00
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.20%EV -8.72%E -3.29%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.20%EV -5.49%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 15:49
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -8.72%E -3.29%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -5.49%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -13.32%E -4.59%K -7.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 15:45
Suprabets🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.54%EV -9.41%E -3.58%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.67%EV -6.56%E -2.50%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -11.82%E -4.01%K -6.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 15:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.00%EV -9.41%E -3.58%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.49%EV -12.62%E -5.15%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.51%EV -9.43%E -3.11%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-14 15:38
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -9.75%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -3.71%E -1.37%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 15:49
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -9.75%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.56%E -2.50%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 15:50
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -9.75%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.56%E -2.50%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 15:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -9.75%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.56%E -2.50%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 15:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -9.75%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.56%E -2.50%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 15:50
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -10.44%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -3.71%E -1.37%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -1.36%E -0.413%K -0.592%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 15:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -10.44%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.84%E -4.34%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 15:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -10.44%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -10.84%E -4.34%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-14 15:35
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -10.44%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -10.84%E -4.34%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-14 15:35
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -10.44%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -10.84%E -4.34%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-14 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -10.44%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -10.84%E -4.34%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-14 15:35
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.73%EV -10.44%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.54%EV -14.41%E -6.00%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.73%EV -11.82%E -4.01%K -6.06%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-14 15:40
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.56%EV -10.44%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.35%EV -14.41%E -6.00%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.09%EV -13.32%E -4.59%K -7.01%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-14 15:34
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -12.17%E -4.77%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -3.71%E -1.37%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -2.86%E -0.879%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 15:55
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -12.17%E -4.77%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -5.49%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 15:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.95%EV -13.89%E -5.55%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.40%EV -14.41%E -6.00%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.65%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-14 15:35
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -15.61%E -6.37%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -10.84%E -4.34%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-14 15:54
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.23%EV -17.33%E -7.22%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.78%EV -10.84%E -4.34%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.99%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-14 15:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.50%EV -17.33%E -7.22%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.08%EV -10.84%E -4.34%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.43%EV -16.31%E -5.82%K -9.06%G +0.000%17.4%2026-03-14 15:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 36.34%EV -20.78%E -9.03%K -15.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.83%EV -14.41%E -6.00%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.83%EV -13.32%E -4.59%K -7.01%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-14 15:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.64%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%0.9%2026-03-14 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.64%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%0.9%2026-03-14 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.64%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%0.9%2026-03-14 15:55
Matchbook2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.64%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%0.9%2026-03-14 15:55
Smarkets2.86I 34.97%NM 34.14%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.87%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.99%2.4%2026-03-14 15:55