L’École des cotes

Grazer AK v Wolfsberger AC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-14 16:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Grazer AK (Local)

Prévision 34.45%2.90cote équitable
EV -3.55%
Avantage -1.27%
Kelly -1.97%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.56%34.52%34.28%36.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.642.672.8043.48%37.82%37.38%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Wolfsberger AC (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.66%2.80cote équitable
EV -0.496%
Avantage -0.178%
Kelly -0.277%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.79

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.08%35.59%35.98%37.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.562.502.7941.67%39.10%40.00%35.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.89%3.35cote équitable
EV -1.36%
Avantage -0.413%
Kelly -0.592%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.53%29.88%29.74%31.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.083.103.3035.71%32.50%32.26%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.80I 35.71%NM 34.57%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.70%EV -0.496%E -0.178%K -0.277%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.73%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 15:55
LowVig.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 33.94%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.20%EV -3.71%E -1.37%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.86%EV -7.94%E -2.58%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 15:40
BetOnline.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 33.94%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.20%EV -3.71%E -1.37%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.86%EV -7.94%E -2.58%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 15:35
Coolbet2.79I 35.84%NM 34.14%EV -3.90%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -5.85%E -2.21%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 23:39
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -5.28%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 15:39
1xBet2.73I 36.63%NM 35.15%EV -5.96%E -2.18%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.15%EV -2.64%E -0.966%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.71%EV -3.45%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 15:50
NordicBet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.33%EV -6.31%E -2.32%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.33%EV -2.99%E -1.10%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.34%EV -10.93%E -3.67%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 15:45
Betsson2.72I 36.76%NM 34.33%EV -6.31%E -2.32%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.33%EV -2.99%E -1.10%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.34%EV -10.93%E -3.67%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 15:45
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 35.00%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.00%EV -3.71%E -1.37%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 15:45
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 15:34
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -9.06%E -3.55%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 15:40
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -11.55%E -4.66%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-09 07:55
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -11.55%E -4.66%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-09 07:54
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -11.55%E -4.66%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-09 07:54
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -11.55%E -4.66%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-09 07:54
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -11.55%E -4.66%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-09 07:55
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -11.55%E -4.66%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-09 07:55
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -11.55%E -4.66%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-09 07:54
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -11.55%E -4.66%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-09 08:00
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -11.55%E -4.66%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-09 08:00
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -12.62%E -5.15%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-09 07:55
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -12.62%E -5.15%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-09 07:55
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -12.62%E -5.15%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-09 07:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -12.62%E -5.15%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-09 08:00
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 35.20%EV -8.72%E -3.29%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.20%EV -5.49%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 15:49
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -8.72%E -3.29%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -5.49%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -13.32%E -4.59%K -7.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 15:45
Suprabets2.63I 38.02%NM 34.54%EV -9.41%E -3.58%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.67%EV -6.56%E -2.50%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -11.82%E -4.01%K -6.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 15:50
Betclic (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.00%EV -9.41%E -3.58%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.49%EV -12.62%E -5.15%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.51%EV -9.43%E -3.11%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-14 15:38
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -9.75%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -3.71%E -1.37%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 15:49
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -9.75%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.56%E -2.50%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 15:50
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -9.75%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.56%E -2.50%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 15:49
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -9.75%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.56%E -2.50%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 15:50
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -9.75%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.56%E -2.50%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 15:50
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -10.44%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -3.71%E -1.37%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -1.36%E -0.413%K -0.592%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 15:55
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -10.44%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.84%E -4.34%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 15:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -10.44%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -10.84%E -4.34%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-14 15:35
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -10.44%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -10.84%E -4.34%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-14 15:35
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -10.44%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -10.84%E -4.34%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-14 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -10.44%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -10.84%E -4.34%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-14 15:35
Parions Sport (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.73%EV -10.44%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.54%EV -14.41%E -6.00%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.73%EV -11.82%E -4.01%K -6.06%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-14 15:40
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 33.56%EV -10.44%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.35%EV -14.41%E -6.00%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.09%EV -13.32%E -4.59%K -7.01%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-14 15:34
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -12.17%E -4.77%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -3.71%E -1.37%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -2.86%E -0.879%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 15:55
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -12.17%E -4.77%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -5.49%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 15:55
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.95%EV -13.89%E -5.55%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.40%EV -14.41%E -6.00%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.65%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-14 15:35
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -15.61%E -6.37%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -10.84%E -4.34%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-14 15:54
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 36.23%EV -17.33%E -7.22%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.78%EV -10.84%E -4.34%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.99%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-14 15:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.50%EV -17.33%E -7.22%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.08%EV -10.84%E -4.34%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.43%EV -16.31%E -5.82%K -9.06%G +0.000%17.4%2026-03-14 15:55
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.34%EV -20.78%E -9.03%K -15.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.83%EV -14.41%E -6.00%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.83%EV -13.32%E -4.59%K -7.01%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-14 15:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.64%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%0.9%2026-03-14 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.64%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%0.9%2026-03-14 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.64%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%0.9%2026-03-14 15:55
Matchbook2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.64%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%0.9%2026-03-14 15:55
Smarkets2.86I 34.97%NM 34.14%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.87%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.99%2.4%2026-03-14 15:55