Language:English
Grazer AK v Ried
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Grazer AK (Local)
Prediction 37.06%2.70fair odd
EV -1.78%
Edge -0.673%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.56%37.12%36.98%38.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.482.502.6543.48%40.40%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ried (Visit)
Prediction 31.84%3.14fair odd
EV -0.354%
Edge -0.113%
Kelly -0.166%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.13
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.60%31.85%31.84%34.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.812.803.1338.46%35.61%35.71%31.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.10%3.22fair odd
EV -2.03%
Edge -0.644%
Kelly -0.944%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.18%31.03%31.19%32.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.993.003.1537.04%33.47%33.33%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Grazer AK (Local): 37.06%; Ried (Visit): 31.84%; Draw: 31.10%. For Ried (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.14. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.13, with an expected value of -0.354%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.51%EV -1.78%E -0.673%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.91%EV -0.354%E -0.113%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.58%EV -7.63%E -2.57%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-17 17:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -4.49%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -6.70%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 17:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.21%EV -4.38%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.35%EV -5.13%E -1.72%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 17:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.21%EV -4.38%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.35%EV -5.13%E -1.72%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 17:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.87%EV -5.12%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.67%EV -5.13%E -1.72%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -6.70%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 17:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.87%EV -5.12%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.67%EV -5.13%E -1.72%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -6.70%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 17:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -6.08%E -2.06%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -6.70%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 17:08 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.46%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.53%EV -5.45%E -1.83%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.01%EV -6.07%E -2.01%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 16:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -6.08%E -2.06%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -6.70%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-17 17:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -9.27%E -3.25%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -3.58%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 17:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.68%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -6.70%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-17 17:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.91%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -7.68%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -8.25%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-17 17:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -14.04%E -5.20%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -2.03%E -0.644%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 06:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -14.04%E -5.20%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -2.03%E -0.644%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 05:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -14.04%E -5.20%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -2.03%E -0.644%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 05:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -14.04%E -5.20%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -2.03%E -0.644%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 06:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -14.04%E -5.20%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -2.03%E -0.644%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 06:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -14.04%E -5.20%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -2.03%E -0.644%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 06:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -14.04%E -5.20%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -2.03%E -0.644%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 06:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -14.04%E -5.20%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -2.03%E -0.644%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 05:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -14.04%E -5.20%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -2.03%E -0.644%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 05:59 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.03%EV -6.72%E -2.29%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 32.59%EV -13.23%E -4.74%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-17 17:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.86%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.81%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-17 14:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.86%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.81%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-17 14:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.86%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.81%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-17 14:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.86%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.81%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-17 14:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.68%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -12.92%E -4.61%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-17 17:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -8.09%E -3.26%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -15.63%E -5.90%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -3.58%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-17 05:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -8.09%E -3.26%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -15.63%E -5.90%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -3.58%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-17 06:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -8.09%E -3.26%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -15.63%E -5.90%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -3.58%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-17 06:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -8.09%E -3.26%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -15.63%E -5.90%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -3.58%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-17 05:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.69%EV -8.83%E -3.59%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.60%EV -0.990%E -0.318%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -3.58%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 06:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -9.20%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -7.68%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -3.58%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 09:06 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -9.20%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -10.86%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -5.14%E -1.69%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-17 09:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -9.20%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -10.86%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -6.70%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-17 17:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -9.20%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -10.86%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -12.92%E -4.61%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-17 17:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -11.05%E -4.60%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -12.45%E -4.53%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -6.70%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-17 08:28 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -11.05%E -4.60%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -12.45%E -4.53%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -9.81%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-17 09:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -11.05%E -4.60%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -12.45%E -4.53%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -9.81%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-17 09:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -11.05%E -4.60%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -12.45%E -4.53%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -9.81%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-17 09:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -11.05%E -4.60%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -12.45%E -4.53%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -9.81%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-17 09:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.72%EV -11.05%E -4.60%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -17.23%E -6.63%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -6.70%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-17 06:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.56%EV -11.05%E -4.60%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.83%EV -17.23%E -6.63%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.61%EV -16.03%E -5.94%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-04-17 17:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.45%EV -11.79%E -4.95%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.61%EV -10.22%E -3.63%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.95%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-17 17:18 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 36.72%EV -12.16%E -5.13%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.64%EV -12.45%E -4.53%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.64%EV -14.47%E -5.26%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-17 17:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.95%EV -12.90%E -5.49%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.29%EV -9.27%E -3.25%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.75%EV -9.81%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-17 17:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -12.90%E -5.49%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -14.04%E -5.20%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.23%EV -9.81%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-17 17:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -14.76%E -6.42%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -10.86%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -9.81%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-17 09:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.83% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.33% | 1.3% | 2026-04-17 17:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68% | 1.8% | 2026-04-17 17:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68% | 1.8% | 2026-04-17 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68% | 1.8% | 2026-04-17 17:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.63% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.94% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.43% | 2.6% | 2026-04-17 17:15 |