L’École des cotes

Grazer AK v Ried

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-17 17:30 UTC

Score final : Grazer AK 1–1 Ried

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Grazer AK (Local)

Prévision 37.06%2.70cote équitable
EV -1.78%
Avantage -0.673%
Kelly -1.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.56%37.12%36.98%38.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.482.502.6543.48%40.40%40.00%37.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Ried (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.84%3.14cote équitable
EV -0.354%
Avantage -0.113%
Kelly -0.166%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.13

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.60%31.85%31.84%34.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.812.803.1338.46%35.61%35.71%31.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 31.10%3.22cote équitable
EV -2.03%
Avantage -0.644%
Kelly -0.944%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.18%31.03%31.19%32.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.993.003.1537.04%33.47%33.33%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.65I 37.74%NM 36.51%EV -1.78%E -0.673%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.91%EV -0.354%E -0.113%K -0.166%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.58%EV -7.63%E -2.57%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-17 17:10
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -4.49%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -6.70%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 17:15
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.21%EV -4.38%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.35%EV -5.13%E -1.72%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 17:04
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 36.21%EV -4.38%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.35%EV -5.13%E -1.72%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 17:04
LowVig.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 36.87%EV -5.12%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.67%EV -5.13%E -1.72%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -6.70%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 17:09
BetOnline.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 36.87%EV -5.12%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.67%EV -5.13%E -1.72%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -6.70%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 17:04
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -6.08%E -2.06%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -6.70%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 17:08
1xBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.46%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.53%EV -5.45%E -1.83%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.01%EV -6.07%E -2.01%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 16:00
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -6.08%E -2.06%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -6.70%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 17:09
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -9.27%E -3.25%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -3.58%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 17:04
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.68%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -6.70%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 17:04
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.91%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -7.68%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -8.25%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 17:14
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -14.04%E -5.20%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -2.03%E -0.644%K -0.944%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 06:00
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -14.04%E -5.20%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -2.03%E -0.644%K -0.944%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 05:59
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -14.04%E -5.20%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -2.03%E -0.644%K -0.944%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 05:59
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -14.04%E -5.20%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -2.03%E -0.644%K -0.944%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 06:00
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -14.04%E -5.20%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -2.03%E -0.644%K -0.944%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 06:00
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -14.04%E -5.20%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -2.03%E -0.644%K -0.944%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 06:00
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -14.04%E -5.20%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -2.03%E -0.644%K -0.944%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 06:04
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -14.04%E -5.20%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -2.03%E -0.644%K -0.944%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 05:59
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -14.04%E -5.20%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -2.03%E -0.644%K -0.944%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 05:59
Suprabets2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.03%EV -6.72%E -2.29%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 32.59%EV -13.23%E -4.74%K -7.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-17 17:15
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.86%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.81%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-17 14:30
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.86%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.81%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-17 14:29
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.86%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.81%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-17 14:29
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.86%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.81%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-17 14:30
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.68%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -12.92%E -4.61%K -7.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-17 17:04
LeoVegas2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -8.09%E -3.26%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -15.63%E -5.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -3.58%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-17 05:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -8.09%E -3.26%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -15.63%E -5.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -3.58%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-17 06:04
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -8.09%E -3.26%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -15.63%E -5.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -3.58%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-17 06:00
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -8.09%E -3.26%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -15.63%E -5.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -3.58%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-17 05:59
Coolbet2.46I 40.65%NM 38.69%EV -8.83%E -3.59%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.60%EV -0.990%E -0.318%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -3.58%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 06:39
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -9.20%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -7.68%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -3.58%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 09:06
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -9.20%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -10.86%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -5.14%E -1.69%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-17 09:25
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -9.20%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -10.86%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -6.70%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-17 17:15
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -9.20%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -10.86%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -12.92%E -4.61%K -7.18%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-17 17:09
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -11.05%E -4.60%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -12.45%E -4.53%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -6.70%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-17 08:28
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -11.05%E -4.60%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -12.45%E -4.53%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -9.81%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-17 09:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -11.05%E -4.60%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -12.45%E -4.53%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -9.81%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-17 09:09
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -11.05%E -4.60%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -12.45%E -4.53%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -9.81%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-17 09:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -11.05%E -4.60%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -12.45%E -4.53%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -9.81%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-17 09:10
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.72%EV -11.05%E -4.60%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -17.23%E -6.63%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -6.70%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-17 06:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.56%EV -11.05%E -4.60%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.83%EV -17.23%E -6.63%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.61%EV -16.03%E -5.94%K -9.43%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-17 17:09
Betclic (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.45%EV -11.79%E -4.95%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.61%EV -10.22%E -3.63%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.95%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-17 17:18
SportsBet2.37I 42.19%NM 36.72%EV -12.16%E -5.13%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.64%EV -12.45%E -4.53%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.64%EV -14.47%E -5.26%K -8.27%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-17 17:10
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.95%EV -12.90%E -5.49%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.29%EV -9.27%E -3.25%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.75%EV -9.81%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-17 17:15
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -12.90%E -5.49%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -14.04%E -5.20%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.23%EV -9.81%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-17 17:14
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -14.76%E -6.42%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -10.86%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -9.81%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-17 09:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 36.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.33%1.3%2026-04-17 17:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68%1.8%2026-04-17 17:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68%1.8%2026-04-17 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68%1.8%2026-04-17 17:20
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 36.63%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.94%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.43%2.6%2026-04-17 17:15