Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.38
assuming max odds 3.63
assuming max odds 3.33
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Grazer AK (Local): 41.57%; Rheindorf Altach (Visit): 27.95%; Draw: 30.48%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.28. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.33, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.51%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.71%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.43%EV -5.53%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.86%EV +1.51%E +0.452%K +0.646%G +0.010% | 4.1% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.39%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.72%EV -12.24%E -3.90%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.72%EV -4.29%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 15:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.37%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.50%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 15:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.50%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -1.07%E -0.448%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -14.76%E -4.84%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -5.50%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -1.07%E -0.448%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -14.76%E -4.84%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -5.50%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 15:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.50%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.50%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.50%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -2.31%E -0.984%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -17.55%E -5.95%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -5.50%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.50%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.63%E -4.94%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -5.50%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.86%EV -3.98%E -1.72%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.64%EV +1.45%E +0.400%K +0.553%G +0.008% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.50%EV -6.42%E -2.09%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -2.31%E -0.984%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -16.15%E -5.38%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -7.03%E -2.30%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 15:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -2.31%E -0.984%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -16.15%E -5.38%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -7.03%E -2.30%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 15:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -1.07%E -0.448%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -17.55%E -5.95%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.03%E -2.30%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -1.07%E -0.448%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -17.55%E -5.95%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.03%E -2.30%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -1.07%E -0.448%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -17.55%E -5.95%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.03%E -2.30%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -1.07%E -0.448%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -17.55%E -5.95%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.03%E -2.30%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -1.07%E -0.448%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -17.55%E -5.95%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.03%E -2.30%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.03%E -2.30%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.68%EV -6.05%E -2.68%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -2.18%E -0.623%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.68%EV -6.05%E -2.68%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -2.18%E -0.623%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.18%E -0.623%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.18%E -0.623%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -10.63%E -4.94%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -10.63%E -4.94%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -10.63%E -4.94%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-09 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.76%EV -3.14%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -18.95%E -6.53%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.10%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.76%EV -3.14%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -18.95%E -6.53%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.10%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.76%EV -3.14%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -18.95%E -6.53%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.10%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-09 15:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -10.63%E -4.94%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.87%EV -12.71%E -6.05%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.83%EV -14.76%E -4.84%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -5.22%E -2.29%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.37%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -9.16%E -3.07%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -5.22%E -2.29%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.37%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -9.16%E -3.07%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 41.82%EV -11.46%E -5.38%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.28%EV -11.96%E -3.80%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.89%EV -9.16%E -3.07%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-09 14:58 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.44%EV -14.78%E -7.21%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.07%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.49%EV -10.08%E -3.42%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -10.63%E -4.94%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-09 14:58 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.04%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -16.15%E -5.38%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -12.21%E -4.24%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-09 15:00 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 41.13%EV -8.13%E -3.68%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 26.97%EV -5.81%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.89%EV -13.13%E -4.61%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 39.00%EV -9.80%E -4.51%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.77%EV -23.14%E -8.41%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.23%EV -14.65%E -5.23%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-05-09 15:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.50%EV -12.71%E -6.05%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.81%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.69%EV -16.17%E -5.88%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-09 15:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.97%EV -12.71%E -6.05%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.75%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.28%EV -16.17%E -5.88%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.04% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73% | 1.7% | 2026-05-09 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.04% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73% | 1.7% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.04% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73% | 1.7% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.52% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.20% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.27% | 3.1% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |