La escuela de los momios

Grazer AK v Rheindorf Altach

Inicio: 2026-05-09 15:02 UTC

Final: Grazer AK 2–2 Rheindorf Altach

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Grazer AK (Local)

Predicción 41.57%2.41momio equitativo
EV -1.07%
Ventaja -0.448%
Kelly -0.772%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.65%41.37%41.73%42.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.242.252.3848.78%44.57%44.44%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Rheindorf Altach (Visitante)

Predicción 27.95%3.58momio equitativo
EV +1.45%
Ventaja +0.400%
Kelly +0.553%
Crecimiento +0.008%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.63

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.64%28.12%28.07%31.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.173.203.6336.36%31.52%31.25%27.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.48%3.28momio equitativo
EV +1.51%
Ventaja +0.452%
Kelly +0.646%
Crecimiento +0.010%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.86%30.51%30.20%31.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.013.003.3336.36%33.18%33.33%30.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.71%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.43%EV -5.53%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.86%EV +1.51%E +0.452%K +0.646%G +0.010%4.1%2026-05-09 14:59
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.39%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.72%EV -12.24%E -3.90%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.72%EV -4.29%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 15:00
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.37%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.50%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 15:00
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.50%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 14:59
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -1.07%E -0.448%K -0.772%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -14.76%E -4.84%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -5.50%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 15:00
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -1.07%E -0.448%K -0.772%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -14.76%E -4.84%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -5.50%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 15:00
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.50%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 14:59
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.50%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 14:59
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.50%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 14:59
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -2.31%E -0.984%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -17.55%E -5.95%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -5.50%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 14:59
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.50%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 14:59
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.63%E -4.94%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -5.50%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 14:59
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 41.86%EV -3.98%E -1.72%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.64%EV +1.45%E +0.400%K +0.553%G +0.008%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.50%EV -6.42%E -2.09%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-09 14:59
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -2.31%E -0.984%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -16.15%E -5.38%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -7.03%E -2.30%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 15:00
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -2.31%E -0.984%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -16.15%E -5.38%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -7.03%E -2.30%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 15:00
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -1.07%E -0.448%K -0.772%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -17.55%E -5.95%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.03%E -2.30%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 14:59
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -1.07%E -0.448%K -0.772%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -17.55%E -5.95%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.03%E -2.30%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 14:59
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -1.07%E -0.448%K -0.772%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -17.55%E -5.95%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.03%E -2.30%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 14:59
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -1.07%E -0.448%K -0.772%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -17.55%E -5.95%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.03%E -2.30%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 14:59
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -1.07%E -0.448%K -0.772%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -17.55%E -5.95%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.03%E -2.30%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 14:59
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.03%E -2.30%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 14:59
BetOnline.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 41.68%EV -6.05%E -2.68%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -2.18%E -0.623%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 14:59
LowVig.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 41.68%EV -6.05%E -2.68%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -2.18%E -0.623%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 14:59
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.18%E -0.623%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 14:59
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.18%E -0.623%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 14:59
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 14:59
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -10.63%E -4.94%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 14:59
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -10.63%E -4.94%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 14:59
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -10.63%E -4.94%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-09 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 38.76%EV -3.14%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -18.95%E -6.53%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.10%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 14:59
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 38.76%EV -3.14%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -18.95%E -6.53%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.10%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 14:59
LeoVegas2.33I 42.92%NM 38.76%EV -3.14%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -18.95%E -6.53%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.10%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 14:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-09 14:59
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-09 14:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-09 14:59
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-09 15:00
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -10.63%E -4.94%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 14:59
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.87%EV -12.71%E -6.05%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.83%EV -14.76%E -4.84%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-09 14:59
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -5.22%E -2.29%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.37%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -9.16%E -3.07%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 14:59
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -5.22%E -2.29%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.37%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -9.16%E -3.07%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 14:59
Betclic (FR)2.13I 46.95%NM 41.82%EV -11.46%E -5.38%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.28%EV -11.96%E -3.80%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.89%EV -9.16%E -3.07%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-09 14:58
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.44%EV -14.78%E -7.21%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.07%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.49%EV -10.08%E -3.42%K -5.17%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-09 14:59
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 14:59
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -10.63%E -4.94%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-09 14:58
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.04%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -16.15%E -5.38%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -12.21%E -4.24%K -6.50%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-09 15:00
Suprabets2.21I 45.25%NM 41.13%EV -8.13%E -3.68%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.97%EV -5.81%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.89%EV -13.13%E -4.61%K -7.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 14:59
PMU (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 39.00%EV -9.80%E -4.51%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.77%EV -23.14%E -8.41%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.23%EV -14.65%E -5.23%K -8.14%G +0.000%18.2%2026-05-09 15:00
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 41.50%EV -12.71%E -6.05%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.81%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.69%EV -16.17%E -5.88%K -9.24%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-09 15:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.97%EV -12.71%E -6.05%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.75%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.28%EV -16.17%E -5.88%K -9.24%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-09 14:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.04%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73%1.7%2026-05-09 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.04%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73%1.7%2026-05-09 14:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.04%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73%1.7%2026-05-09 14:59
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 42.52%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.20%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.27%3.1%2026-05-09 14:59