Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Blau-Weiß Linz v WSG Tirol

Kickoff: 2026-04-11 17:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Blau-Weiß Linz (Local)

Prediction 41.40%2.42fair odd
EV -3.12%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -2.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.12%41.40%41.23%43.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.222.252.3448.78%45.09%44.44%42.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

WSG Tirol (Visit)

Prediction 30.72%3.26fair odd
EV -0.475%
Edge -0.147%
Kelly -0.212%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.65%30.70%30.91%31.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.983.003.2436.36%33.54%33.33%30.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.88%3.59fair odd
EV -3.54%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.96%27.89%27.86%29.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.243.203.4634.72%30.83%31.25%28.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Blau-Weiß Linz (Local): 41.40%; WSG Tirol (Visit): 30.72%; Draw: 27.88%. For WSG Tirol (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.26. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.24, with an expected value of -0.475%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.97%EV -3.12%E -1.33%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.33%EV -6.00%E -1.96%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.71%EV -3.54%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 17:25
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.90%EV -4.36%E -1.89%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.88%EV -0.475%E -0.147%K -0.212%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.22%EV -4.37%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 17:20
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.77%E -2.08%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.21%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 17:25
Betsson🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -5.60%E -2.46%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -8.46%E -2.84%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.60%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 17:25
NordicBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -5.60%E -2.46%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -8.46%E -2.84%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.60%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 17:25
Coolbet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.93%EV -6.02%E -2.65%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.31%EV -3.55%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.75%EV -4.37%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 00:44
BetOnline.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 40.40%EV -6.43%E -2.84%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.06%EV -9.69%E -3.30%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 17:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 40.40%EV -6.43%E -2.84%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.06%EV -9.69%E -3.30%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 17:25
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -4.78%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.60%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 17:21
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.21%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 17:20
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.00%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 17:25
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.00%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-10 07:25
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 16:20
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 16:19
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 16:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 16:19
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 16:20
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 16:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 16:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 16:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 16:20
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -9.38%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.00%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 17:20
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -10.92%E -3.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 17:25
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -10.92%E -3.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 17:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -10.92%E -3.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 17:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -10.92%E -3.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 17:25
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -12.46%E -4.37%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.00%EV -7.67%E -3.44%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -12.18%E -3.87%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 16:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.00%EV -7.67%E -3.44%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -12.18%E -3.87%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 16:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.00%EV -7.67%E -3.44%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -12.18%E -3.87%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 16:19
LeoVegas🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.00%EV -7.67%E -3.44%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -12.18%E -3.87%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 16:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.78%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.21%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 15:00
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -4.78%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -6.60%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 15:00
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -5.21%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 17:20
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.53%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.53%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.84%E -4.13%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-11 16:00
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.84%E -4.13%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-11 16:05
Suprabets🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.92%EV -10.16%E -4.68%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 29.92%EV -6.62%E -2.18%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.16%EV -9.95%E -3.08%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 17:09
PMU (FR)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 40.98%EV -10.57%E -4.89%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.00%EV -9.38%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.02%EV -14.97%E -4.91%K -7.30%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-11 16:20
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -10.98%E -5.11%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -11.53%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-11 17:20
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.75%EV -10.98%E -5.11%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -15.53%E -5.65%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-11 17:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.54%EV -13.05%E -6.22%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.98%EV -8.46%E -2.84%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 17:14
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -13.05%E -6.22%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.92%E -3.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -8.00%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-10 15:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.68%EV -13.05%E -6.22%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -11.53%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -19.71%E -6.84%K -10.48%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-10 09:59
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -15.12%E -7.38%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -8.00%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-11 17:08
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.14%EV -15.12%E -7.38%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.86%EV -13.99%E -5.00%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-10 15:00
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.14%EV -15.12%E -7.38%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.86%EV -13.99%E -5.00%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-11 17:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 41.05%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%0.7%2026-04-11 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.08%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.34%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%1.4%2026-04-11 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.67%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-04-11 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.67%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-04-11 17:25
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.56%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35%2.3%2026-04-11 17:25