L’École des cotes

FC Blau-Weiß Linz v WSG Tirol

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 17:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Blau-Weiß Linz (Local)

Prévision 41.40%2.42cote équitable
EV -3.12%
Avantage -1.33%
Kelly -2.33%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.34

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.12%41.40%41.23%43.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.222.252.3448.78%45.09%44.44%42.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

WSG Tirol (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.72%3.26cote équitable
EV -0.475%
Avantage -0.147%
Kelly -0.212%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.24

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.65%30.70%30.91%31.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.983.003.2436.36%33.54%33.33%30.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.88%3.59cote équitable
EV -3.54%
Avantage -1.02%
Kelly -1.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.96%27.89%27.86%29.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.243.203.4634.72%30.83%31.25%28.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.34I 42.74%NM 40.97%EV -3.12%E -1.33%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.33%EV -6.00%E -1.96%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.71%EV -3.54%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 17:25
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 41.90%EV -4.36%E -1.89%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.88%EV -0.475%E -0.147%K -0.212%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.22%EV -4.37%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 17:20
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.77%E -2.08%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.21%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 17:25
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -5.60%E -2.46%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -8.46%E -2.84%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.60%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 17:25
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -5.60%E -2.46%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -8.46%E -2.84%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.60%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 17:25
Coolbet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.93%EV -6.02%E -2.65%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.31%EV -3.55%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.75%EV -4.37%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 00:44
BetOnline.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 40.40%EV -6.43%E -2.84%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.06%EV -9.69%E -3.30%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 17:25
LowVig.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 40.40%EV -6.43%E -2.84%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.06%EV -9.69%E -3.30%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 17:25
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -4.78%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.60%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 17:21
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.21%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 17:20
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.00%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 17:25
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.00%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-10 07:25
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 16:20
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 16:19
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 16:19
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 16:19
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 16:20
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 16:19
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 16:20
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 16:20
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 16:20
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -9.38%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.00%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 17:20
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -10.92%E -3.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 17:25
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -10.92%E -3.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 17:24
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -10.92%E -3.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 17:25
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -10.92%E -3.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 17:25
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -12.46%E -4.37%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.00%EV -7.67%E -3.44%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -12.18%E -3.87%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 16:19
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.00%EV -7.67%E -3.44%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -12.18%E -3.87%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 16:20
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.00%EV -7.67%E -3.44%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -12.18%E -3.87%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 16:19
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 41.00%EV -7.67%E -3.44%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -12.18%E -3.87%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 16:20
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.78%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.21%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 15:00
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -4.78%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -6.60%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 15:00
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -5.21%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 17:20
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.53%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.53%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.84%E -4.13%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-11 16:00
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.84%E -4.13%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-11 16:05
Suprabets2.17I 46.08%NM 41.92%EV -10.16%E -4.68%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 29.92%EV -6.62%E -2.18%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.16%EV -9.95%E -3.08%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 17:09
PMU (FR)2.16I 46.30%NM 40.98%EV -10.57%E -4.89%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.00%EV -9.38%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.02%EV -14.97%E -4.91%K -7.30%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-11 16:20
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -10.98%E -5.11%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -11.53%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-11 17:20
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 40.75%EV -10.98%E -5.11%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -15.53%E -5.65%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-11 17:24
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.54%EV -13.05%E -6.22%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.98%EV -8.46%E -2.84%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 17:14
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -13.05%E -6.22%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.92%E -3.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -8.00%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-10 15:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.68%EV -13.05%E -6.22%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -11.53%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -19.71%E -6.84%K -10.48%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-10 09:59
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -15.12%E -7.38%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -8.00%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-11 17:08
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.14%EV -15.12%E -7.38%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.86%EV -13.99%E -5.00%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-10 15:00
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 42.14%EV -15.12%E -7.38%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.86%EV -13.99%E -5.00%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-11 17:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 41.05%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%0.7%2026-04-11 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.08%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.34%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%1.4%2026-04-11 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.67%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-04-11 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.67%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-04-11 17:25
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.56%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35%2.3%2026-04-11 17:25