Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Blau-Weiß Linz v Grazer AK

Kickoff: 2026-05-16 15:00 UTC

Final: FC Blau-Weiß Linz 0–3 Grazer AK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Blau-Weiß Linz (Local)

Prediction 44.75%2.23fair odd
EV -2.44%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -2.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.47%44.82%44.75%47.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.852.032.052.1854.05%49.32%48.78%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Grazer AK (Visit)

Prediction 27.27%3.67fair odd
EV +1.18%
Edge +0.317%
Kelly +0.434%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 3.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.93%27.04%27.28%28.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.433.403.7132.26%29.18%29.41%26.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.98%3.57fair odd
EV -0.686%
Edge -0.193%
Kelly -0.269%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.73%28.14%27.97%30.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.263.303.5533.33%30.69%30.30%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Blau-Weiß Linz (Local): 44.75%; Grazer AK (Visit): 27.27%; Draw: 27.98%. For Grazer AK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.67. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.71, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.18%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.29%EV -3.78%E -1.76%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.67%EV +1.18%E +0.317%K +0.434%G +0.005%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.04%EV -11.32%E -3.57%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -12.73%E -6.53%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV +0.905%E +0.245%K +0.335%G +0.003%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -2.08%E -0.596%K -0.834%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 13:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -12.73%E -6.53%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV +0.905%E +0.245%K +0.335%G +0.003%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -2.08%E -0.596%K -0.834%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 13:25
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -12.73%E -6.53%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV +0.905%E +0.245%K +0.335%G +0.003%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -6.28%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 14:25
Grosvenor🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -13.18%E -6.79%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV +0.905%E +0.245%K +0.335%G +0.003%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -6.28%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 14:25
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -13.18%E -6.79%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV +0.905%E +0.245%K +0.335%G +0.003%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -6.28%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 14:25
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -13.18%E -6.79%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV +0.905%E +0.245%K +0.335%G +0.003%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -6.28%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 14:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -13.18%E -6.79%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV +0.905%E +0.245%K +0.335%G +0.003%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -6.28%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -13.18%E -6.79%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV +0.905%E +0.245%K +0.335%G +0.003%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -6.28%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -13.18%E -6.79%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV +0.905%E +0.245%K +0.335%G +0.003%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -6.28%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 14:25
Casumo🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -13.18%E -6.79%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV +0.905%E +0.245%K +0.335%G +0.003%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -6.28%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 14:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -13.18%E -6.79%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV +0.905%E +0.245%K +0.335%G +0.003%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -6.28%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -14.08%E -7.33%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -0.459%E -0.126%K -0.173%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 14:25
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -14.08%E -7.33%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -0.459%E -0.126%K -0.173%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 14:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -14.08%E -7.33%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -0.459%E -0.126%K -0.173%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 14:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -14.08%E -7.33%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -0.459%E -0.126%K -0.173%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 14:25
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -6.02%E -2.87%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -4.55%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 14:35
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.02%E -2.87%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -4.55%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -10.48%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 14:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.47%EV -17.21%E -9.30%K -20.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.09%EV -4.55%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -10.48%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-16 14:25
Suprabets🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.99%EV -7.36%E -3.56%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.24%EV -5.37%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 29.76%EV -14.39%E -4.70%K -6.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 14:48
1xBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -4.68%E -2.20%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.84%EV -5.91%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.06%EV -0.686%E -0.193%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 14:55
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.02%E -2.87%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.91%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 14:35
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -2.44%E -1.12%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -5.91%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -14.67%E -4.81%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 14:55
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -2.44%E -1.12%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -5.91%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -14.67%E -4.81%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 14:55
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -6.02%E -2.87%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.28%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 14:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -6.91%E -3.32%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -6.28%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 14:40
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.26%E -4.03%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 14:35
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -5.12%E -2.42%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -16.07%E -5.36%K -8.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 14:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.02%E -2.87%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.00%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 14:45
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.02%E -2.87%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.00%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 14:44
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -3.78%E -1.76%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -10.00%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 14:30
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.02%E -2.87%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.00%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.02%E -2.87%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.00%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.02%E -2.87%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.00%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 14:55
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.02%E -2.87%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.00%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 14:55
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -10.49%E -5.25%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -10.00%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -16.07%E -5.36%K -8.04%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-16 14:40
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.62%EV -12.73%E -6.53%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -10.00%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.01%EV -16.07%E -5.36%K -8.04%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-16 14:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.04%EV -11.39%E -5.75%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.27%EV -10.82%E -3.31%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.69%EV -9.92%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 14:36
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -10.49%E -5.25%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -6.28%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 14:40
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.26%EV -12.73%E -6.53%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%EV -10.48%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-16 14:34
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.02%E -2.87%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -12.73%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.28%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 14:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.20%EV -13.18%E -6.79%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -12.73%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -10.48%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-16 14:40
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.26%E -4.03%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -15.46%E -4.99%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 14:35
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -6.02%E -2.87%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.46%E -4.99%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.27%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -6.02%E -2.87%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.46%E -4.99%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.27%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 14:30
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -6.02%E -2.87%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.46%E -4.99%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.27%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -6.02%E -2.87%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.46%E -4.99%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.27%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 14:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.49%EV -11.39%E -5.75%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.41%EV -15.46%E -4.99%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-16 14:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.26%EV -10.49%E -5.25%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -15.46%E -4.99%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.84%EV -16.07%E -5.36%K -8.04%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-16 14:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-05-16 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-05-16 14:55
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-05-16 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.67%1.1%2026-05-16 14:50
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.52%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.9%2026-05-16 14:45