La escuela de los momios

FC Blau-Weiß Linz v Grazer AK

Inicio: 2026-05-16 15:00 UTC

Final: FC Blau-Weiß Linz 0–3 Grazer AK

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Blau-Weiß Linz (Local)

Predicción 44.75%2.23momio equitativo
EV -2.44%
Ventaja -1.12%
Kelly -2.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.18

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.47%44.82%44.75%47.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.852.032.052.1854.05%49.32%48.78%45.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Grazer AK (Visitante)

Predicción 27.27%3.67momio equitativo
EV +1.18%
Ventaja +0.317%
Kelly +0.434%
Crecimiento +0.005%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.93%27.04%27.28%28.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.433.403.7132.26%29.18%29.41%26.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.98%3.57momio equitativo
EV -0.686%
Ventaja -0.193%
Kelly -0.269%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.73%28.14%27.97%30.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.263.303.5533.33%30.69%30.30%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.15I 46.51%NM 44.29%EV -3.78%E -1.76%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.67%EV +1.18%E +0.317%K +0.434%G +0.005%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.04%EV -11.32%E -3.57%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 14:55
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -12.73%E -6.53%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV +0.905%E +0.245%K +0.335%G +0.003%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -2.08%E -0.596%K -0.834%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 13:25
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -12.73%E -6.53%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV +0.905%E +0.245%K +0.335%G +0.003%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -2.08%E -0.596%K -0.834%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 13:25
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -12.73%E -6.53%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV +0.905%E +0.245%K +0.335%G +0.003%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -6.28%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 14:25
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -13.18%E -6.79%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV +0.905%E +0.245%K +0.335%G +0.003%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -6.28%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 14:25
BetRivers1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -13.18%E -6.79%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV +0.905%E +0.245%K +0.335%G +0.003%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -6.28%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 14:25
TABtouch1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -13.18%E -6.79%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV +0.905%E +0.245%K +0.335%G +0.003%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -6.28%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 14:25
Unibet (NL)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -13.18%E -6.79%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV +0.905%E +0.245%K +0.335%G +0.003%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -6.28%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 14:25
Svenska Spel1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -13.18%E -6.79%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV +0.905%E +0.245%K +0.335%G +0.003%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -6.28%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 14:25
ATG (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -13.18%E -6.79%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV +0.905%E +0.245%K +0.335%G +0.003%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -6.28%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 14:25
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -13.18%E -6.79%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV +0.905%E +0.245%K +0.335%G +0.003%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -6.28%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 14:25
Unibet (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -13.18%E -6.79%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV +0.905%E +0.245%K +0.335%G +0.003%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -6.28%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -14.08%E -7.33%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -0.459%E -0.126%K -0.173%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 14:25
LeoVegas1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -14.08%E -7.33%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -0.459%E -0.126%K -0.173%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 14:25
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -14.08%E -7.33%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -0.459%E -0.126%K -0.173%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 14:25
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -14.08%E -7.33%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -0.459%E -0.126%K -0.173%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 14:25
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -6.02%E -2.87%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -4.55%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 14:35
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.02%E -2.87%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -4.55%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -10.48%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 14:39
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.47%EV -17.21%E -9.30%K -20.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.09%EV -4.55%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -10.48%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-16 14:25
Suprabets2.07I 48.31%NM 43.99%EV -7.36%E -3.56%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.24%EV -5.37%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 29.76%EV -14.39%E -4.70%K -6.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 14:48
1xBet2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -4.68%E -2.20%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.84%EV -5.91%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.06%EV -0.686%E -0.193%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 14:55
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.02%E -2.87%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.91%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 14:35
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -2.44%E -1.12%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -5.91%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -14.67%E -4.81%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 14:55
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -2.44%E -1.12%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -5.91%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -14.67%E -4.81%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 14:55
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -6.02%E -2.87%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.28%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 14:40
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -6.91%E -3.32%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -6.28%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 14:40
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.26%E -4.03%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 14:35
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -5.12%E -2.42%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -16.07%E -5.36%K -8.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 14:45
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.02%E -2.87%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.00%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 14:45
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.02%E -2.87%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.00%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 14:44
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -3.78%E -1.76%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -10.00%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 14:30
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.02%E -2.87%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.00%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 14:55
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.02%E -2.87%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.00%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 14:55
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.02%E -2.87%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.00%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 14:55
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.02%E -2.87%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.00%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 14:55
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -10.49%E -5.25%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -10.00%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -16.07%E -5.36%K -8.04%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-16 14:40
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 44.62%EV -12.73%E -6.53%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -10.00%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.01%EV -16.07%E -5.36%K -8.04%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-16 14:25
Betclic (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.04%EV -11.39%E -5.75%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.27%EV -10.82%E -3.31%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.69%EV -9.92%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 14:36
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -10.49%E -5.25%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -6.28%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 14:40
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 45.26%EV -12.73%E -6.53%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%EV -10.48%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-16 14:34
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.02%E -2.87%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -12.73%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.28%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 14:45
Unibet (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.20%EV -13.18%E -6.79%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -12.73%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -10.48%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-16 14:40
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.26%E -4.03%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -15.46%E -4.99%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 14:35
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -6.02%E -2.87%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.46%E -4.99%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.27%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -6.02%E -2.87%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.46%E -4.99%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.27%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 14:30
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -6.02%E -2.87%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.46%E -4.99%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.27%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -6.02%E -2.87%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.46%E -4.99%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.27%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 14:35
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.49%EV -11.39%E -5.75%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.41%EV -15.46%E -4.99%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-16 14:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.26%EV -10.49%E -5.25%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -15.46%E -4.99%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.84%EV -16.07%E -5.36%K -8.04%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-16 14:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-05-16 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-05-16 14:55
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-05-16 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.67%1.1%2026-05-16 14:50
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.52%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.9%2026-05-16 14:45