Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Austria Wien v WSG Tirol

Kickoff: 2026-09-02 16:30 UTC

Final: Austria Wien 0–1 WSG Tirol

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Austria Wien (Local)

Prediction 50.33%1.99fair odd
EV -3.87%
Edge -2.03%
Kelly -4.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.47%50.34%50.37%51.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.841.831.9157.80%54.49%54.64%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

WSG Tirol (Visit)

Prediction 24.40%4.10fair odd
EV +0.534%
Edge +0.130%
Kelly +0.171%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 4.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.24%24.38%24.35%25.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.753.754.1228.57%26.69%26.67%24.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.27%3.96fair odd
EV -2.45%
Edge -0.636%
Kelly -0.858%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.48%25.28%25.28%26.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.583.553.8629.85%27.93%28.17%25.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Austria Wien (Local): 50.33%; WSG Tirol (Visit): 24.40%; Draw: 25.27%. For WSG Tirol (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.10. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.12, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.534%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -6.39%E -3.44%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.28%EV +0.534%E +0.130%K +0.171%G +0.001%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.17%EV -3.72%E -0.976%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 16:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -9.41%E -5.23%K -11.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -2.39%E -0.599%K -0.798%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.97%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 16:25
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -9.41%E -5.23%K -11.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -2.39%E -0.599%K -0.798%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.50%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 16:19
Pinnacle🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.80%EV -4.38%E -2.30%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.19%EV -2.64%E -0.661%K -0.882%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.01%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.858%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-02 16:25
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -6.89%E -3.73%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -3.61%E -0.915%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -12.82%E -3.71%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-02 16:10
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -6.89%E -3.73%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -3.61%E -0.915%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -12.82%E -3.71%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-02 16:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -5.89%E -3.15%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.16%EV -4.83%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -6.50%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 16:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -5.89%E -3.15%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.16%EV -4.83%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -6.50%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 16:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -6.89%E -3.73%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.83%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -5.23%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 16:05
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.66%EV -6.89%E -3.73%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -6.05%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.23%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 16:05
Bovada🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.66%EV -6.89%E -3.73%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -6.05%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.23%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 16:19
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.80%EV -8.40%E -4.62%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -6.05%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -14.08%E -4.14%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-02 16:25
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.23%EV -5.89%E -3.15%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -7.27%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -5.23%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 16:05
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -5.89%E -3.15%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -7.27%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.50%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 16:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -6.89%E -3.73%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -7.27%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.50%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-02 16:05
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -7.90%E -4.32%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -7.27%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.03%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 16:00
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -7.90%E -4.32%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -7.27%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.03%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 16:05
888sport🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -7.90%E -4.32%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -7.27%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.03%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 16:00
William Hill🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -7.90%E -4.32%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -7.27%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.03%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 16:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -7.90%E -4.32%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -7.27%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.03%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 16:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -7.90%E -4.32%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -7.27%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.03%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -9.41%E -5.23%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.27%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -9.03%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-02 16:25
TABtouch🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -3.87%E -2.03%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -8.49%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -10.29%E -2.90%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 15:35
Unibet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -3.87%E -2.03%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -8.49%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -10.29%E -2.90%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 15:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -3.87%E -2.03%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -8.49%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -10.29%E -2.90%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 15:35
Casumo🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -3.87%E -2.03%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -8.49%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -10.29%E -2.90%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 15:35
Grosvenor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -3.87%E -2.03%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -8.49%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -10.29%E -2.90%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 15:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -3.87%E -2.03%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -8.49%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -10.29%E -2.90%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 15:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -3.87%E -2.03%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -8.49%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -10.29%E -2.90%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 15:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -3.87%E -2.03%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -8.49%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -10.29%E -2.90%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 15:35
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -9.41%E -5.23%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -8.49%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -7.76%E -2.13%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-02 16:05
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -9.41%E -5.23%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -8.49%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -11.55%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-02 16:05
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -11.93%E -6.82%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -8.49%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.55%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-02 16:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.89%EV -8.40%E -4.62%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -9.71%E -2.63%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -10.29%E -2.90%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-02 16:10
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.79%EV -12.93%E -7.48%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.75%EV -9.71%E -2.63%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -12.82%E -3.71%K -5.23%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-02 16:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.44%EV -10.92%E -6.17%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.26%EV -10.20%E -2.77%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.29%EV -10.79%E -3.06%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-02 16:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -9.41%E -5.23%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -10.94%E -3.00%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -6.50%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-02 16:05
Suprabets🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.93%EV -8.40%E -4.62%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 24.97%EV -11.18%E -3.07%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.10%EV -8.52%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-02 16:09
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -6.89%E -3.73%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -12.16%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -5.23%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 16:25
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.59%EV -6.89%E -3.73%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.16%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -14.08%E -4.14%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-02 15:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.41%E -5.23%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -12.16%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.55%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-02 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.41%E -5.23%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -12.16%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.55%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-02 16:05
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.41%E -5.23%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -12.16%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.55%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-02 16:00
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.41%E -5.23%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -12.16%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.55%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-02 16:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.27%EV -10.42%E -5.85%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -13.38%E -3.77%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -7.76%E -2.13%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-02 16:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.53%EV -10.92%E -6.17%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.69%EV -13.38%E -3.77%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -14.08%E -4.14%K -5.87%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-02 16:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.47%EV -8.40%E -4.62%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -14.60%E -4.17%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.33%EV -15.34%E -4.58%K -6.53%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-02 15:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.47%EV -8.40%E -4.62%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -14.60%E -4.17%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.33%EV -15.34%E -4.58%K -6.53%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-02 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.47%EV -8.40%E -4.62%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -14.60%E -4.17%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.33%EV -15.34%E -4.58%K -6.53%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-02 15:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.47%EV -8.40%E -4.62%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -14.60%E -4.17%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.33%EV -15.34%E -4.58%K -6.53%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-02 15:35
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.35%EV -11.93%E -6.82%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -14.60%E -4.17%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -9.03%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-02 16:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85%0.6%2026-09-02 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08%0.9%2026-09-02 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08%0.9%2026-09-02 16:25
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 51.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08%0.9%2026-09-02 16:25
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 51.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01%1.2%2026-09-02 16:25