Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Austria Wien v WSG Tirol

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-02 16:30 UTC

Score final : Austria Wien 0–1 WSG Tirol

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Austria Wien (Local)

Prévision 50.33%1.99cote équitable
EV -3.87%
Avantage -2.03%
Kelly -4.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.47%50.34%50.37%51.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.731.841.831.9157.80%54.49%54.64%52.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

WSG Tirol (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.40%4.10cote équitable
EV +0.534%
Avantage +0.130%
Kelly +0.171%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.24%24.38%24.35%25.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.753.754.1228.57%26.69%26.67%24.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.27%3.96cote équitable
EV -2.45%
Avantage -0.636%
Kelly -0.858%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.48%25.28%25.28%26.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.353.583.553.8629.85%27.93%28.17%25.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Austria Wien (Local) : 50.33% ; WSG Tirol (Visiteur) : 24.40% ; Match nul : 25.27%. Pour WSG Tirol (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.10. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.12, soit une espérance positive de +0.534%.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -6.39%E -3.44%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.28%EV +0.534%E +0.130%K +0.171%G +0.001%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.17%EV -3.72%E -0.976%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 16:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -9.41%E -5.23%K -11.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -2.39%E -0.599%K -0.798%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.97%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 16:25
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -9.41%E -5.23%K -11.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -2.39%E -0.599%K -0.798%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.50%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 16:19
Pinnacle🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.80%EV -4.38%E -2.30%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.19%EV -2.64%E -0.661%K -0.882%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.01%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.858%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-02 16:25
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -6.89%E -3.73%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -3.61%E -0.915%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -12.82%E -3.71%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-02 16:10
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -6.89%E -3.73%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -3.61%E -0.915%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -12.82%E -3.71%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-02 16:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -5.89%E -3.15%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.16%EV -4.83%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -6.50%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 16:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -5.89%E -3.15%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.16%EV -4.83%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -6.50%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 16:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -6.89%E -3.73%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.83%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -5.23%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 16:05
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.66%EV -6.89%E -3.73%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -6.05%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.23%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 16:05
Bovada🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.66%EV -6.89%E -3.73%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -6.05%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.23%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 16:19
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.80%EV -8.40%E -4.62%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -6.05%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -14.08%E -4.14%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-02 16:25
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.23%EV -5.89%E -3.15%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -7.27%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -5.23%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 16:05
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -5.89%E -3.15%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -7.27%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.50%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 16:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -6.89%E -3.73%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -7.27%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.50%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-02 16:05
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -7.90%E -4.32%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -7.27%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.03%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 16:00
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -7.90%E -4.32%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -7.27%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.03%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 16:05
888sport🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -7.90%E -4.32%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -7.27%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.03%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 16:00
William Hill🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -7.90%E -4.32%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -7.27%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.03%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 16:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -7.90%E -4.32%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -7.27%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.03%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 16:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -7.90%E -4.32%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -7.27%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.03%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -9.41%E -5.23%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.27%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -9.03%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-02 16:25
TABtouch🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -3.87%E -2.03%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -8.49%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -10.29%E -2.90%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 15:35
Unibet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -3.87%E -2.03%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -8.49%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -10.29%E -2.90%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 15:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -3.87%E -2.03%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -8.49%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -10.29%E -2.90%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 15:35
Casumo🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -3.87%E -2.03%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -8.49%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -10.29%E -2.90%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 15:35
Grosvenor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -3.87%E -2.03%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -8.49%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -10.29%E -2.90%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 15:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -3.87%E -2.03%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -8.49%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -10.29%E -2.90%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 15:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -3.87%E -2.03%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -8.49%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -10.29%E -2.90%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 15:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -3.87%E -2.03%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -8.49%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -10.29%E -2.90%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 15:35
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -9.41%E -5.23%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -8.49%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -7.76%E -2.13%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-02 16:05
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -9.41%E -5.23%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -8.49%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -11.55%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-02 16:05
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -11.93%E -6.82%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -8.49%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.55%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-02 16:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.89%EV -8.40%E -4.62%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -9.71%E -2.63%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -10.29%E -2.90%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-02 16:10
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.79%EV -12.93%E -7.48%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.75%EV -9.71%E -2.63%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -12.82%E -3.71%K -5.23%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-02 16:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.44%EV -10.92%E -6.17%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.26%EV -10.20%E -2.77%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.29%EV -10.79%E -3.06%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-02 16:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -9.41%E -5.23%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -10.94%E -3.00%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -6.50%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-02 16:05
Suprabets🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.93%EV -8.40%E -4.62%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 24.97%EV -11.18%E -3.07%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.10%EV -8.52%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-02 16:09
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -6.89%E -3.73%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -12.16%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -5.23%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 16:25
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.59%EV -6.89%E -3.73%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.16%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -14.08%E -4.14%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-02 15:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.41%E -5.23%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -12.16%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.55%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-02 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.41%E -5.23%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -12.16%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.55%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-02 16:05
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.41%E -5.23%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -12.16%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.55%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-02 16:00
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.41%E -5.23%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -12.16%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.55%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-02 16:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.27%EV -10.42%E -5.85%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -13.38%E -3.77%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -7.76%E -2.13%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-02 16:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.53%EV -10.92%E -6.17%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.69%EV -13.38%E -3.77%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -14.08%E -4.14%K -5.87%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-02 16:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.47%EV -8.40%E -4.62%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -14.60%E -4.17%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.33%EV -15.34%E -4.58%K -6.53%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-02 15:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.47%EV -8.40%E -4.62%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -14.60%E -4.17%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.33%EV -15.34%E -4.58%K -6.53%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-02 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.47%EV -8.40%E -4.62%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -14.60%E -4.17%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.33%EV -15.34%E -4.58%K -6.53%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-02 15:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.47%EV -8.40%E -4.62%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -14.60%E -4.17%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.33%EV -15.34%E -4.58%K -6.53%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-02 15:35
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.35%EV -11.93%E -6.82%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -14.60%E -4.17%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -9.03%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-02 16:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85%0.6%2026-09-02 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08%0.9%2026-09-02 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08%0.9%2026-09-02 16:25
Matchbook◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08%0.9%2026-09-02 16:25
Smarkets◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01%1.2%2026-09-02 16:25