Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Austria Wien v Sturm Graz

Coup d’envoi : 2026-10-10 17:30 UTC

Score final : Austria Wien 0–2 Sturm Graz

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Austria Wien (Local)

Prévision 29.46%3.39cote équitable
EV -2.78%
Avantage -0.844%
Kelly -1.21%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.36%29.42%29.51%30.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.903.133.103.3034.48%31.98%32.26%30.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Sturm Graz (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.95%2.28cote équitable
EV -1.55%
Avantage -0.693%
Kelly -1.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.24

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.74%44.02%43.90%45.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.972.072.082.2450.76%48.32%48.08%44.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.59%3.76cote équitable
EV -1.61%
Avantage -0.436%
Kelly -0.598%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.36%26.56%26.59%27.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.453.453.7030.77%28.97%28.99%27.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Austria Wien (Local) : 29.46% ; Sturm Graz (Visiteur) : 43.95% ; Match nul : 26.59%. Pour Sturm Graz (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.28. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.24, pour une espérance de -1.55% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -2.78%E -0.844%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.08%EV -5.95%E -2.78%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -8.26%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 17:10
BetOnline.ag🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -2.78%E -0.844%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.08%EV -5.95%E -2.78%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -8.26%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 17:10
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -2.78%E -0.844%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -9.90%E -4.83%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -4.27%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-10 16:40
Pinnacle🎯3.28I 30.49%NM 29.51%EV -3.37%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.22%EV -1.55%E -0.693%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.27%EV -5.60%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-10 17:25
Betr (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -4.26%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -9.90%E -4.83%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -1.61%E -0.436%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 17:25
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -4.26%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -8.58%E -4.13%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.60%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -4.26%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -8.58%E -4.13%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.60%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:00
TABtouch🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -4.26%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -8.58%E -4.13%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.60%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Grosvenor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -4.26%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -8.58%E -4.13%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.60%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:01
Casumo🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -4.26%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -8.58%E -4.13%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.60%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -4.26%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -8.58%E -4.13%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.60%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:01
ATG (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -4.26%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -8.58%E -4.13%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.60%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -4.26%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -8.58%E -4.13%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.60%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:01
BetMGM🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -4.26%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -9.90%E -4.83%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -4.27%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 16:34
1xBet🎯3.21I 31.15%NM 29.11%EV -5.44%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.88%EV -6.39%E -3.00%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.01%EV -8.00%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 17:05
Bovada🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.60%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 17:10
Coolbet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -8.58%E -4.13%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -4.27%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 17:25
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-10 17:05
DraftKings🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.14%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -5.60%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 17:25
Bet Right🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -9.90%E -4.83%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.60%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-10 17:25
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 17:24
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-10 17:05
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-10 17:05
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-10 17:05
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.25%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 17:05
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.25%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 17:05
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.25%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 17:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.25%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 17:00
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -12.10%E -6.05%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-10 16:35
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -11.22%E -5.56%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -12.10%E -6.05%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-10 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -12.10%E -6.05%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-10 16:35
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -12.10%E -6.05%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-10 16:35
Neds🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -12.10%E -6.05%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-10 16:35
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-10 17:09
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-10 17:10
Codere (IT)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.78%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.88%EV -9.02%E -4.36%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%EV -8.26%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-10 17:10
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.98%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.64%EV -12.98%E -6.56%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -10.92%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-10 14:01
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.98%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.64%EV -12.98%E -6.56%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -10.92%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-10 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.91%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.76%EV -13.42%E -6.81%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.32%EV -10.92%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-10 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -9.90%E -4.83%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -5.60%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-10 17:05
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -6.83%E -3.22%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -10.92%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-10 17:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.25%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-10 17:25
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -12.10%E -6.05%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-10 16:43
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.32%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.42%EV -12.98%E -6.56%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -10.92%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-10 17:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 29.41%EV -12.21%E -4.10%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.27%EV -12.98%E -6.56%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.32%EV -11.45%E -3.44%K -4.92%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-10 17:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -13.09%E -4.44%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.46%EV -12.10%E -6.05%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-10 17:05
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -14.57%E -5.02%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 43.02%EV -10.78%E -5.31%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.87%EV -13.58%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%14.5%2026-10-10 17:25
BoyleSports🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 29.92%EV -14.57%E -5.02%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.38%EV -12.10%E -6.05%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.70%EV -13.58%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%15.3%2026-10-10 17:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.76%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-10-10 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61%1.6%2026-10-10 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61%1.6%2026-10-10 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61%1.6%2026-10-10 17:25
Smarkets◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.04%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.78%2.3%2026-10-10 17:05