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Austria Wien v Sturm Graz
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Austria Wien (Local)
Predicción 29.46%3.39momio equitativo
EV -2.78%
Ventaja -0.844%
Kelly -1.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.36%29.42%29.51%30.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.133.103.3034.48%31.98%32.26%30.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Sturm Graz (Visitante)
Predicción 43.95%2.28momio equitativo
EV -1.55%
Ventaja -0.693%
Kelly -1.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.24
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.74%44.02%43.90%45.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.972.072.082.2450.76%48.32%48.08%44.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.59%3.76momio equitativo
EV -1.61%
Ventaja -0.436%
Kelly -0.598%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.36%26.56%26.59%27.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.253.453.453.7030.77%28.97%28.99%27.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Austria Wien (Local): 29.46%; Sturm Graz (Visitante): 43.95%; Empate: 26.59%. Para Sturm Graz (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.28. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.24, con un valor esperado de -1.55%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -2.78%E -0.844%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.08%EV -5.95%E -2.78%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -8.26%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-10 17:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -2.78%E -0.844%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.08%EV -5.95%E -2.78%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -8.26%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-10 17:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -2.78%E -0.844%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -9.90%E -4.83%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -4.27%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-10 16:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.51%EV -3.37%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.22%EV -1.55%E -0.693%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.27%EV -5.60%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-10 17:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -4.26%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -9.90%E -4.83%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -1.61%E -0.436%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-10 17:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -4.26%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -8.58%E -4.13%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.60%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -4.26%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -8.58%E -4.13%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.60%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -4.26%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -8.58%E -4.13%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.60%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -4.26%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -8.58%E -4.13%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.60%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -4.26%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -8.58%E -4.13%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.60%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -4.26%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -8.58%E -4.13%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.60%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -4.26%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -8.58%E -4.13%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.60%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -4.26%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -8.58%E -4.13%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.60%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -4.26%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -9.90%E -4.83%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -4.27%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-10 16:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.11%EV -5.44%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.88%EV -6.39%E -3.00%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.01%EV -8.00%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 17:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.60%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 17:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -8.58%E -4.13%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -4.27%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-10 17:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-10 17:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.14%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -5.60%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 17:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -9.90%E -4.83%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.60%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-10 17:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-10 17:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-10 17:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-10 17:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-10 17:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.25%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-10 17:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.25%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-10 17:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.25%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-10 17:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.25%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-10 17:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -12.10%E -6.05%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-10 16:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -11.22%E -5.56%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -12.10%E -6.05%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-10 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -12.10%E -6.05%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-10 16:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -12.10%E -6.05%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-10 16:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -12.10%E -6.05%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-10 16:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-10 17:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-10 17:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.78%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.88%EV -9.02%E -4.36%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%EV -8.26%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-10 17:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.98%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.64%EV -12.98%E -6.56%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -10.92%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.98%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.64%EV -12.98%E -6.56%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -10.92%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.91%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.76%EV -13.42%E -6.81%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.32%EV -10.92%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -9.90%E -4.83%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -5.60%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-10 17:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -6.83%E -3.22%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -10.92%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-10 17:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.25%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-10 17:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -12.10%E -6.05%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-10 16:43 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.32%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.42%EV -12.98%E -6.56%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -10.92%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-10-10 17:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.41%EV -12.21%E -4.10%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.27%EV -12.98%E -6.56%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 26.32%EV -11.45%E -3.44%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-10-10 17:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -13.09%E -4.44%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.46%EV -12.10%E -6.05%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-10 17:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -14.57%E -5.02%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 43.02%EV -10.78%E -5.31%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.87%EV -13.58%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-10-10 17:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.92%EV -14.57%E -5.02%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.38%EV -12.10%E -6.05%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.70%EV -13.58%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-10-10 17:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.76% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-10-10 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61% | 1.6% | 2026-10-10 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61% | 1.6% | 2026-10-10 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61% | 1.6% | 2026-10-10 17:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.04% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.78% | 2.3% | 2026-10-10 17:05 |