L’École des cotes

Austria Wien v Rapid Wien

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-12 15:00 UTC

Score final : Austria Wien 1–1 Rapid Wien

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Austria Wien (Local)

Prévision 35.56%2.81cote équitable
EV -1.51%
Avantage -0.545%
Kelly -0.853%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.83%35.84%35.58%39.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.482.502.7745.45%40.37%40.00%36.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Rapid Wien (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.96%3.03cote équitable
EV -1.12%
Avantage -0.373%
Kelly -0.560%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.17%32.89%32.99%33.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.812.823.0038.46%35.62%35.46%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 31.48%3.18cote équitable
EV +0.748%
Avantage +0.234%
Kelly +0.340%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.61%31.27%31.43%32.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.003.003.2036.36%33.35%33.33%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -11.11%E -4.44%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -6.06%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV +0.748%E +0.234%K +0.340%G +0.003%6.3%2026-04-12 14:30
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 39.52%EV -17.51%E -7.55%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.83%EV -5.07%E -1.76%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV +0.748%E +0.234%K +0.340%G +0.003%9.1%2026-04-12 08:25
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 39.52%EV -17.51%E -7.55%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.83%EV -5.07%E -1.76%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV +0.748%E +0.234%K +0.340%G +0.003%9.1%2026-04-12 08:25
BetRivers2.32I 43.10%NM 39.52%EV -17.51%E -7.55%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.83%EV -5.07%E -1.76%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV +0.748%E +0.234%K +0.340%G +0.003%9.1%2026-04-12 08:25
Unibet (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.52%EV -17.51%E -7.55%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.83%EV -5.07%E -1.76%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV +0.748%E +0.234%K +0.340%G +0.003%9.1%2026-04-12 08:25
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.52%EV -17.51%E -7.55%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.83%EV -5.07%E -1.76%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV +0.748%E +0.234%K +0.340%G +0.003%9.1%2026-04-12 08:24
TABtouch2.32I 43.10%NM 39.52%EV -17.51%E -7.55%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.83%EV -5.07%E -1.76%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV +0.748%E +0.234%K +0.340%G +0.003%9.1%2026-04-12 08:24
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.52%EV -17.51%E -7.55%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.83%EV -5.07%E -1.76%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV +0.748%E +0.234%K +0.340%G +0.003%9.1%2026-04-12 08:24
Svenska Spel2.32I 43.10%NM 39.52%EV -17.51%E -7.55%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.83%EV -5.07%E -1.76%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV +0.748%E +0.234%K +0.340%G +0.003%9.1%2026-04-12 08:24
ATG (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.52%EV -17.51%E -7.55%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.83%EV -5.07%E -1.76%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV +0.748%E +0.234%K +0.340%G +0.003%9.1%2026-04-12 08:24
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -11.11%E -4.44%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -6.06%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -0.827%E -0.262%K -0.384%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 14:30
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.62%EV -18.93%E -8.30%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.70%EV -6.06%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -0.827%E -0.262%K -0.384%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 08:25
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 39.62%EV -18.93%E -8.30%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.70%EV -6.06%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -0.827%E -0.262%K -0.384%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 08:24
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.62%EV -18.93%E -8.30%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.70%EV -6.06%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -0.827%E -0.262%K -0.384%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 08:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 39.62%EV -18.93%E -8.30%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.70%EV -6.06%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -0.827%E -0.262%K -0.384%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 08:24
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -12.89%E -5.26%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -1.12%E -0.373%K -0.560%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -3.97%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 07:53
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -12.89%E -5.26%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -7.71%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -3.97%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 14:30
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.66%EV -21.78%E -9.90%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.73%EV -9.36%E -3.40%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -3.97%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-12 08:25
Pinnacle2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -1.51%E -0.545%K -0.853%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.73%EV -2.44%E -0.824%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.29%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-12 14:30
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -5.78%E -2.18%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.06%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 14:30
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -5.78%E -2.18%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -7.71%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 14:29
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -7.55%E -2.91%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -7.71%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 14:30
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -7.55%E -2.91%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -7.71%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 14:30
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -9.33%E -3.66%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -11.01%E -4.08%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 14:30
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -15.38%E -6.46%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -11.01%E -4.08%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-12 14:30
Coolbet2.73I 36.63%NM 34.88%EV -2.93%E -1.07%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -4.42%E -1.52%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -7.12%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 14:30
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.58%EV -6.84%E -2.61%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.82%EV -6.39%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.60%EV -7.12%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 14:30
Betclic (FR)2.53I 39.53%NM 35.91%EV -10.04%E -3.97%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.28%EV -10.02%E -3.67%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -7.12%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 14:30
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.75%EV -12.89%E -5.26%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -9.36%E -3.40%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.52%EV -7.12%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-12 14:29
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -6.84%E -2.61%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -5.07%E -1.76%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.97%EV -8.07%E -2.76%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 14:30
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -6.84%E -2.61%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -5.07%E -1.76%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.97%EV -8.07%E -2.76%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 14:30
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -6.84%E -2.61%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -7.71%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 14:30
Suprabets2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -9.33%E -3.66%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 32.96%EV -9.03%E -3.27%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 14:30
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -11.11%E -4.44%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -11.01%E -4.08%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-12 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -11.11%E -4.44%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -11.01%E -4.08%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-12 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -11.11%E -4.44%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -11.01%E -4.08%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-12 14:30
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -11.11%E -4.44%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -11.01%E -4.08%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-12 14:30
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.88%EV -12.89%E -5.26%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -14.30%E -5.50%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.31%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-12 14:30
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 37.44%EV -18.22%E -7.92%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.87%EV -13.64%E -5.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.69%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-12 14:30
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -9.33%E -3.66%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.36%E -3.40%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -10.27%E -3.60%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 14:30
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -7.55%E -2.91%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.19%EV -6.39%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -11.85%E -4.23%K -6.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 14:30
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -7.55%E -2.91%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.19%EV -6.39%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -11.85%E -4.23%K -6.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 14:30
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -6.84%E -2.61%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.71%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -11.85%E -4.23%K -6.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 14:30
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -6.84%E -2.61%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.71%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -11.85%E -4.23%K -6.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 14:30
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -6.84%E -2.61%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.71%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -11.85%E -4.23%K -6.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 14:30
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -6.84%E -2.61%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.71%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -11.85%E -4.23%K -6.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 14:30
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -11.11%E -4.44%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -11.01%E -4.08%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -11.85%E -4.23%K -6.58%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 36.40%EV -15.38%E -6.46%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.09%EV -11.01%E -4.08%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.51%EV -13.42%E -4.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-12 14:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.45%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.94%1.0%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 34.91%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.81%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.28%1.6%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 34.91%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.81%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.28%1.6%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 34.91%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.81%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.28%1.6%2026-04-12 14:30
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 34.97%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.62%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.41%2.9%2026-04-12 14:30