مدرسة الاحتمالات

Austria Wien v Rapid Wien

البداية: 2026-04-12 15:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Austria Wien 1–1 Rapid Wien

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

48 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Austria Wien (المضيف)

التنبؤ 35.56%2.81السعر العادل
EV -1.51%
الأفضلية -0.545%
Kelly -0.853%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.77

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.83%35.84%35.58%39.66%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.482.502.7745.45%40.37%40.00%36.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Rapid Wien (الضيف)

التنبؤ 32.96%3.03السعر العادل
EV -1.12%
الأفضلية -0.373%
Kelly -0.560%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
31.17%32.89%32.99%33.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.602.812.823.0038.46%35.62%35.46%33.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 31.48%3.18السعر العادل
EV +0.748%
الأفضلية +0.234%
Kelly +0.340%
النمو +0.003%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.61%31.27%31.43%32.65%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.753.003.003.2036.36%33.35%33.33%31.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (48 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -11.11%E -4.44%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -6.06%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV +0.748%E +0.234%K +0.340%G +0.003%6.3%2026-04-12 14:30
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 39.52%EV -17.51%E -7.55%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.83%EV -5.07%E -1.76%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV +0.748%E +0.234%K +0.340%G +0.003%9.1%2026-04-12 08:25
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 39.52%EV -17.51%E -7.55%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.83%EV -5.07%E -1.76%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV +0.748%E +0.234%K +0.340%G +0.003%9.1%2026-04-12 08:25
BetRivers2.32I 43.10%NM 39.52%EV -17.51%E -7.55%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.83%EV -5.07%E -1.76%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV +0.748%E +0.234%K +0.340%G +0.003%9.1%2026-04-12 08:25
Unibet (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.52%EV -17.51%E -7.55%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.83%EV -5.07%E -1.76%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV +0.748%E +0.234%K +0.340%G +0.003%9.1%2026-04-12 08:25
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.52%EV -17.51%E -7.55%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.83%EV -5.07%E -1.76%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV +0.748%E +0.234%K +0.340%G +0.003%9.1%2026-04-12 08:24
TABtouch2.32I 43.10%NM 39.52%EV -17.51%E -7.55%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.83%EV -5.07%E -1.76%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV +0.748%E +0.234%K +0.340%G +0.003%9.1%2026-04-12 08:24
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.52%EV -17.51%E -7.55%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.83%EV -5.07%E -1.76%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV +0.748%E +0.234%K +0.340%G +0.003%9.1%2026-04-12 08:24
Svenska Spel2.32I 43.10%NM 39.52%EV -17.51%E -7.55%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.83%EV -5.07%E -1.76%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV +0.748%E +0.234%K +0.340%G +0.003%9.1%2026-04-12 08:24
ATG (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.52%EV -17.51%E -7.55%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.83%EV -5.07%E -1.76%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV +0.748%E +0.234%K +0.340%G +0.003%9.1%2026-04-12 08:24
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -11.11%E -4.44%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -6.06%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -0.827%E -0.262%K -0.384%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 14:30
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.62%EV -18.93%E -8.30%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.70%EV -6.06%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -0.827%E -0.262%K -0.384%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 08:25
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 39.62%EV -18.93%E -8.30%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.70%EV -6.06%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -0.827%E -0.262%K -0.384%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 08:24
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.62%EV -18.93%E -8.30%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.70%EV -6.06%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -0.827%E -0.262%K -0.384%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 08:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 39.62%EV -18.93%E -8.30%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.70%EV -6.06%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -0.827%E -0.262%K -0.384%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 08:24
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -12.89%E -5.26%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -1.12%E -0.373%K -0.560%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -3.97%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 07:53
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -12.89%E -5.26%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -7.71%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -3.97%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 14:30
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.66%EV -21.78%E -9.90%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.73%EV -9.36%E -3.40%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -3.97%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-12 08:25
Pinnacle2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -1.51%E -0.545%K -0.853%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.73%EV -2.44%E -0.824%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.29%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-12 14:30
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -5.78%E -2.18%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.06%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 14:30
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -5.78%E -2.18%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -7.71%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 14:29
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -7.55%E -2.91%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -7.71%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 14:30
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -7.55%E -2.91%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -7.71%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 14:30
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -9.33%E -3.66%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -11.01%E -4.08%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 14:30
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -15.38%E -6.46%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -11.01%E -4.08%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-12 14:30
Coolbet2.73I 36.63%NM 34.88%EV -2.93%E -1.07%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -4.42%E -1.52%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -7.12%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 14:30
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.58%EV -6.84%E -2.61%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.82%EV -6.39%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.60%EV -7.12%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 14:30
Betclic (FR)2.53I 39.53%NM 35.91%EV -10.04%E -3.97%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.28%EV -10.02%E -3.67%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -7.12%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 14:30
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.75%EV -12.89%E -5.26%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -9.36%E -3.40%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.52%EV -7.12%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-12 14:29
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -6.84%E -2.61%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -5.07%E -1.76%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.97%EV -8.07%E -2.76%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 14:30
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -6.84%E -2.61%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -5.07%E -1.76%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.97%EV -8.07%E -2.76%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 14:30
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -6.84%E -2.61%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -7.71%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 14:30
Suprabets2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -9.33%E -3.66%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 32.96%EV -9.03%E -3.27%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 14:30
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -11.11%E -4.44%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -11.01%E -4.08%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-12 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -11.11%E -4.44%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -11.01%E -4.08%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-12 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -11.11%E -4.44%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -11.01%E -4.08%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-12 14:30
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -11.11%E -4.44%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -11.01%E -4.08%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-12 14:30
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.88%EV -12.89%E -5.26%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -14.30%E -5.50%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.31%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-12 14:30
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 37.44%EV -18.22%E -7.92%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.87%EV -13.64%E -5.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.69%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-12 14:30
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -9.33%E -3.66%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.36%E -3.40%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -10.27%E -3.60%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 14:30
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -7.55%E -2.91%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.19%EV -6.39%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -11.85%E -4.23%K -6.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 14:30
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -7.55%E -2.91%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.19%EV -6.39%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -11.85%E -4.23%K -6.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 14:30
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -6.84%E -2.61%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.71%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -11.85%E -4.23%K -6.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 14:30
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -6.84%E -2.61%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.71%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -11.85%E -4.23%K -6.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 14:30
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -6.84%E -2.61%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.71%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -11.85%E -4.23%K -6.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 14:30
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -6.84%E -2.61%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.71%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -11.85%E -4.23%K -6.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 14:30
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -11.11%E -4.44%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -11.01%E -4.08%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -11.85%E -4.23%K -6.58%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 36.40%EV -15.38%E -6.46%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.09%EV -11.01%E -4.08%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.51%EV -13.42%E -4.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-12 14:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.45%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.94%1.0%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 34.91%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.81%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.28%1.6%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 34.91%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.81%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.28%1.6%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 34.91%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.81%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.28%1.6%2026-04-12 14:30
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 34.97%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.62%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.41%2.9%2026-04-12 14:30