Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Austria Wien v LASK

Kickoff: 2026-08-09 17:00 UTC

Final: Austria Wien 0–2 LASK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Austria Wien (Local)

Prediction 23.78%4.20fair odd
EV +2.04%
Edge +0.475%
Kelly +0.619%
Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 4.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.10%23.74%23.82%25.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.923.924.2927.78%25.50%25.48%23.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

LASK (Visit)

Prediction 51.19%1.95fair odd
EV -2.23%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -2.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.54%51.17%51.09%53.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.781.791.9159.88%56.14%56.02%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.03%4.00fair odd
EV +0.367%
Edge +0.092%
Kelly +0.122%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.93%25.09%25.09%26.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.643.604.0129.85%27.50%27.78%24.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Austria Wien (Local): 23.78%; LASK (Visit): 51.19%; Draw: 25.03%. For Austria Wien (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.20. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.29, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.04%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯4.29I 23.31%NM 22.50%EV +2.04%E +0.475%K +0.619%G +0.013%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.17%EV -5.31%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.33%EV -4.64%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-09 16:55
1xBet🎯4.22I 23.70%NM 22.74%EV +0.372%E +0.088%K +0.115%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.32%EV -7.87%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.93%EV +0.367%E +0.092%K +0.122%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 16:50
FanDuel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -2.48%E -0.606%K -0.801%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -7.87%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.39%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 16:54
Grosvenor🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -2.48%E -0.606%K -0.801%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.13%EV -9.91%E -5.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.89%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 16:14
Unibet (NL)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -2.48%E -0.606%K -0.801%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.13%EV -9.91%E -5.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.89%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 16:15
Unibet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -2.48%E -0.606%K -0.801%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.13%EV -9.91%E -5.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.89%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 16:15
ATG (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -2.48%E -0.606%K -0.801%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.13%EV -9.91%E -5.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.89%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 16:15
Casumo🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -2.48%E -0.606%K -0.801%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.13%EV -9.91%E -5.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.89%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 16:15
Unibet (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -2.48%E -0.606%K -0.801%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.13%EV -9.91%E -5.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.89%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 16:14
BetRivers🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -2.48%E -0.606%K -0.801%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.13%EV -9.91%E -5.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.89%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 16:15
TABtouch🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -2.48%E -0.606%K -0.801%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.13%EV -9.91%E -5.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.89%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 16:15
Svenska Spel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -2.48%E -0.606%K -0.801%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.13%EV -9.91%E -5.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.89%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 16:15
Virgin Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -2.48%E -0.606%K -0.801%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.38%EV -11.45%E -6.62%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -11.15%E -3.14%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -2.48%E -0.606%K -0.801%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.38%EV -11.45%E -6.62%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -11.15%E -3.14%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 16:15
LiveScore Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -2.48%E -0.606%K -0.801%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.38%EV -11.45%E -6.62%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -11.15%E -3.14%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 16:15
Betr (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.86%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -6.84%E -3.76%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -4.89%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 16:10
LowVig.ag🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -4.86%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -7.35%E -4.06%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -4.89%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -4.86%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -7.35%E -4.06%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -4.89%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 16:55
Tipico (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -4.86%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.87%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -4.89%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 16:35
BetMGM🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -4.86%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.87%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.14%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 16:04
Fanatics🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -4.86%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -6.33%E -3.46%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -12.40%E -3.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 16:10
Suprabets🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -4.86%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.66%EV -9.91%E -5.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -11.15%E -3.14%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-09 16:52
NordicBet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -6.05%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -5.31%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -11.15%E -3.14%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 16:48
Betsson🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -6.05%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -5.31%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -11.15%E -3.14%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 16:50
PMU (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.17%EV -6.05%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.44%EV -14.52%E -8.69%K -21.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -13.65%E -3.96%K -5.57%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-09 16:14
Bovada🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -6.33%E -3.46%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.14%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 16:40
Unibet (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.78%EV -5.82%E -3.16%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -7.39%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 16:40
Coolbet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -8.43%E -2.19%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.93%EV -6.33%E -3.46%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.14%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 16:09
Bet Right🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -8.43%E -2.19%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -7.87%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -8.64%E -2.37%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-09 16:10
888sport🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.62%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.87%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.39%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-09 16:50
William Hill🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.62%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.87%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.39%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-09 16:50
888sport (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.62%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.87%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.39%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-09 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.62%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.87%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.39%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-09 16:55
theScore Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.62%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.87%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.39%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-09 16:40
Betway🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -9.62%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%EV -9.40%E -5.31%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -4.89%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 16:55
Unibet (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -9.62%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -11.45%E -6.62%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -9.89%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-09 16:39
Sky Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -9.62%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -10.42%E -5.96%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.90%E -4.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-09 16:50
SportsBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 22.95%EV -9.62%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 51.01%EV -12.47%E -7.29%K -17.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.04%EV -16.15%E -4.82%K -6.87%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-09 16:55
Betclic (FR)🎯3.78I 26.46%NM 23.62%EV -10.09%E -2.67%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.73%EV -9.91%E -5.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.65%EV -12.90%E -3.71%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-09 16:53
DraftKings🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -10.81%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.54%EV -2.23%E -1.17%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -6.14%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-09 16:40
Codere (IT)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.81%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -7.87%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.89%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-09 16:40
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -10.81%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -7.87%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -12.40%E -3.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-09 16:10
PlayUp🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -10.81%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -7.87%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -12.40%E -3.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-09 16:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -10.81%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -10.42%E -5.96%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -9.89%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-09 16:05
Neds🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -10.81%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -10.42%E -5.96%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -9.89%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-09 16:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -10.81%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -10.42%E -5.96%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -9.89%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-09 16:05
Coral🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -10.81%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -10.42%E -5.96%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -9.89%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-09 16:05
Winamax (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -12.00%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.85%EV -7.87%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -6.14%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-09 16:40
Winamax (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -14.37%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.73%EV -9.91%E -5.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -8.64%E -2.37%K -3.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-09 16:40
BoyleSports🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.29%EV -14.37%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.43%EV -12.98%E -7.64%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.29%EV -9.89%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-09 16:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.98%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-08-09 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.98%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-08-09 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.98%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-08-09 16:55
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.98%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-08-09 16:55
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 22.91%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.84%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.26%1.5%2026-08-09 16:50

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