Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Austria Wien v LASK

2026-08-09 17:00 UTC — Austrian Football Bundesliga

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Austria Wien (Local)

Prediction 26.03%3.84fair odd
EV -6.30%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -2.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.74%26.00%26.04%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.463.503.6031.25%28.88%28.57%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

LASK (Visit)

Prediction 47.80%2.09fair odd
EV -4.41%
Edge -2.20%
Kelly -4.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.76%47.78%47.85%48.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.911.912.0054.95%52.36%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.18%3.82fair odd
EV -5.77%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -2.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.44%26.22%26.11%26.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.453.423.6030.77%28.95%29.20%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Austria Wien (Local): 26.03%; LASK (Visit): 47.80%; Draw: 26.18%. For LASK (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.09. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.00, with an expected value of -4.41%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 10:30
Coolbet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -5.36%E -2.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 10:29
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.71%E -4.56%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 10:33
1xBet3.57I 28.01%NM 26.25%EV -7.08%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.57%EV -5.84%E -2.96%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.18%EV -6.29%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 10:54
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.91%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.80%E -3.48%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 11:00
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.91%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.80%E -3.48%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 11:04
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.91%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.80%E -3.48%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 11:04
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.91%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.80%E -3.48%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 11:04
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.91%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.71%E -4.56%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-02 10:30
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.91%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.71%E -4.56%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-02 10:49
Codere (IT)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -8.91%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -9.18%E -4.83%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-02 10:29
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.51%E -3.38%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -11.57%E -6.26%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-02 10:29
Betclic (FR)3.38I 29.59%NM 25.93%EV -12.03%E -3.56%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.15%EV -13.01%E -7.15%K -15.86%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 25.93%EV -11.53%E -3.41%K -4.84%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-02 10:29
Winamax (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -14.11%E -4.28%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 47.83%EV -12.05%E -6.55%K -14.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -9.69%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-02 10:29
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 26.62%EV -15.41%E -4.74%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 46.76%EV -11.57%E -6.26%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.62%EV -14.93%E -4.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-02 10:30
Winamax (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.03%EV -16.71%E -5.22%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 47.53%EV -13.01%E -7.15%K -15.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.44%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-02 10:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 26.48%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.03%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.48%16.2%2026-08-02 10:30