Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Austria Wien v LASK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-09 17:00 UTC

Score final : Austria Wien 0–2 LASK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Austria Wien (Local)

Prévision 23.78%4.20cote équitable
EV +2.04%
Avantage +0.475%
Kelly +0.619%
Croissance +0.013%

avec la cote maximale 4.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.10%23.74%23.82%25.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.923.924.2927.78%25.50%25.48%23.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

LASK (Visiteur)

Prévision 51.19%1.95cote équitable
EV -2.23%
Avantage -1.17%
Kelly -2.46%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.54%51.17%51.09%53.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.671.781.791.9159.88%56.14%56.02%52.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.03%4.00cote équitable
EV +0.367%
Avantage +0.092%
Kelly +0.122%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.93%25.09%25.09%26.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.353.643.604.0129.85%27.50%27.78%24.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Austria Wien (Local) : 23.78% ; LASK (Visiteur) : 51.19% ; Match nul : 25.03%. Pour Austria Wien (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.20. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.29, soit une espérance positive de +2.04%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯4.29I 23.31%NM 22.50%EV +2.04%E +0.475%K +0.619%G +0.013%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.17%EV -5.31%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.33%EV -4.64%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-09 16:55
1xBet🎯4.22I 23.70%NM 22.74%EV +0.372%E +0.088%K +0.115%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.32%EV -7.87%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.93%EV +0.367%E +0.092%K +0.122%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 16:50
FanDuel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -2.48%E -0.606%K -0.801%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -7.87%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.39%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 16:54
Grosvenor🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -2.48%E -0.606%K -0.801%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.13%EV -9.91%E -5.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.89%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 16:14
Unibet (NL)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -2.48%E -0.606%K -0.801%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.13%EV -9.91%E -5.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.89%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 16:15
Unibet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -2.48%E -0.606%K -0.801%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.13%EV -9.91%E -5.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.89%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 16:15
ATG (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -2.48%E -0.606%K -0.801%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.13%EV -9.91%E -5.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.89%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 16:15
Casumo🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -2.48%E -0.606%K -0.801%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.13%EV -9.91%E -5.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.89%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 16:15
Unibet (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -2.48%E -0.606%K -0.801%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.13%EV -9.91%E -5.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.89%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 16:14
BetRivers🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -2.48%E -0.606%K -0.801%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.13%EV -9.91%E -5.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.89%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 16:15
TABtouch🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -2.48%E -0.606%K -0.801%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.13%EV -9.91%E -5.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.89%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 16:15
Svenska Spel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -2.48%E -0.606%K -0.801%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.13%EV -9.91%E -5.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.89%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 16:15
Virgin Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -2.48%E -0.606%K -0.801%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.38%EV -11.45%E -6.62%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -11.15%E -3.14%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -2.48%E -0.606%K -0.801%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.38%EV -11.45%E -6.62%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -11.15%E -3.14%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 16:15
LiveScore Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -2.48%E -0.606%K -0.801%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.38%EV -11.45%E -6.62%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -11.15%E -3.14%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 16:15
Betr (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.86%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -6.84%E -3.76%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -4.89%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 16:10
LowVig.ag🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -4.86%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -7.35%E -4.06%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -4.89%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -4.86%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -7.35%E -4.06%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -4.89%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 16:55
Tipico (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -4.86%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.87%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -4.89%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 16:35
BetMGM🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -4.86%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.87%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.14%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 16:04
Fanatics🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -4.86%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -6.33%E -3.46%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -12.40%E -3.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 16:10
Suprabets🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -4.86%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.66%EV -9.91%E -5.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -11.15%E -3.14%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-09 16:52
NordicBet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -6.05%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -5.31%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -11.15%E -3.14%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 16:48
Betsson🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -6.05%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -5.31%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -11.15%E -3.14%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 16:50
PMU (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.17%EV -6.05%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.44%EV -14.52%E -8.69%K -21.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -13.65%E -3.96%K -5.57%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-09 16:14
Bovada🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -6.33%E -3.46%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.14%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 16:40
Unibet (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.78%EV -5.82%E -3.16%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -7.39%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 16:40
Coolbet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -8.43%E -2.19%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.93%EV -6.33%E -3.46%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.14%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 16:09
Bet Right🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -8.43%E -2.19%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -7.87%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -8.64%E -2.37%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-09 16:10
888sport🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.62%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.87%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.39%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-09 16:50
William Hill🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.62%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.87%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.39%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-09 16:50
888sport (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.62%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.87%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.39%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-09 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.62%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.87%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.39%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-09 16:55
theScore Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.62%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.87%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.39%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-09 16:40
Betway🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -9.62%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%EV -9.40%E -5.31%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -4.89%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 16:55
Unibet (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -9.62%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -11.45%E -6.62%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -9.89%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-09 16:39
Sky Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -9.62%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -10.42%E -5.96%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.90%E -4.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-09 16:50
SportsBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 22.95%EV -9.62%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 51.01%EV -12.47%E -7.29%K -17.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.04%EV -16.15%E -4.82%K -6.87%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-09 16:55
Betclic (FR)🎯3.78I 26.46%NM 23.62%EV -10.09%E -2.67%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.73%EV -9.91%E -5.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.65%EV -12.90%E -3.71%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-09 16:53
DraftKings🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -10.81%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.54%EV -2.23%E -1.17%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -6.14%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-09 16:40
Codere (IT)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.81%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -7.87%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.89%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-09 16:40
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -10.81%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -7.87%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -12.40%E -3.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-09 16:10
PlayUp🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -10.81%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -7.87%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -12.40%E -3.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-09 16:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -10.81%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -10.42%E -5.96%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -9.89%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-09 16:05
Neds🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -10.81%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -10.42%E -5.96%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -9.89%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-09 16:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -10.81%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -10.42%E -5.96%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -9.89%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-09 16:05
Coral🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -10.81%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -10.42%E -5.96%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -9.89%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-09 16:05
Winamax (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -12.00%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.85%EV -7.87%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -6.14%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-09 16:40
Winamax (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -14.37%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.73%EV -9.91%E -5.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -8.64%E -2.37%K -3.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-09 16:40
BoyleSports🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.29%EV -14.37%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.43%EV -12.98%E -7.64%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.29%EV -9.89%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-09 16:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.98%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-08-09 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.98%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-08-09 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.98%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-08-09 16:55
Matchbook◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.98%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-08-09 16:55
Smarkets◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.91%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.84%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.26%1.5%2026-08-09 16:50