Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Austria Wien v Austria Lustenau

2026-09-13 12:30 UTC — Austrian Football Bundesliga

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Austria Wien (Local)

Prediction 54.59%1.83fair odd
EV -3.37%
Edge -1.90%
Kelly -4.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.11%54.26%54.58%54.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.691.691.7762.89%59.17%59.17%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Austria Lustenau (Visit)

Prediction 20.60%4.85fair odd
EV -5.23%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -1.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.36%20.65%20.62%21.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.324.334.6025.00%23.15%23.09%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.81%4.03fair odd
EV -5.74%
Edge -1.51%
Kelly -2.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.35%25.09%24.80%26.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.573.553.8029.41%27.98%28.17%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Austria Wien (Local): 54.59%; Austria Lustenau (Visit): 20.60%; Draw: 24.81%. For Austria Wien (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.83. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.77, with an expected value of -3.37%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -3.37%E -1.90%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.20%EV -8.32%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 16:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -4.46%E -2.55%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -7.29%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.74%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 15:20
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -4.46%E -2.55%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -10.80%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -15.66%E -4.61%K -6.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 16:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -4.46%E -2.55%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -10.80%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -15.66%E -4.61%K -6.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 16:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -4.46%E -2.55%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -10.80%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -15.66%E -4.61%K -6.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 16:25
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -4.46%E -2.55%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -10.80%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -15.66%E -4.61%K -6.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 16:24
Coolbet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -6.10%E -3.55%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.29%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 15:19
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.89%EV -6.65%E -3.89%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -5.23%E -1.14%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -5.74%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 15:19
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -7.74%E -4.58%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.29%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -5.74%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 15:40
Suprabets🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.72%EV -8.28%E -4.93%K -12.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.60%EV -15.53%E -3.79%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.67%EV -14.42%E -4.18%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 16:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -8.83%E -5.29%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.29%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 15:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -8.83%E -5.29%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -9.35%E -2.13%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -9.46%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 15:20
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.06%EV -10.47%E -6.38%K -16.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.62%EV -11.41%E -2.65%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.33%EV -13.18%E -3.77%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 15:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.20%EV -11.56%E -7.14%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.41%EV -15.53%E -3.79%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -10.70%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-30 15:20
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 53.15%EV -11.56%E -7.14%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -17.59%E -4.40%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.32%EV -15.66%E -4.61%K -6.53%G +0.000%16.1%2026-08-30 15:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.03%EV -12.65%E -7.91%K -21.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.61%EV -17.59%E -4.40%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.35%EV -11.94%E -3.36%K -4.68%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-30 15:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 54.23%EV -13.20%E -8.30%K -22.37%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 20.78%EV -14.50%E -3.50%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.99%EV -14.42%E -4.18%K -5.89%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-30 15:18
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.