Language:English
Austria Wien v Austria Lustenau
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Austria Wien (Local)
Prediction 53.76%1.86fair odd
EV -3.24%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -4.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.77%53.73%53.85%56.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.731.731.8061.35%57.94%57.97%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Austria Lustenau (Visit)
Prediction 21.44%4.66fair odd
EV +0.768%
Edge +0.163%
Kelly +0.207%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 4.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.04%21.53%21.27%23.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.184.204.7026.32%23.92%23.81%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.80%4.03fair odd
EV -0.789%
Edge -0.197%
Kelly -0.263%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.55%24.74%24.88%25.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.683.664.0028.57%27.21%27.36%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Austria Wien (Local): 53.76%; Austria Lustenau (Visit): 21.44%; Draw: 24.80%. For Austria Lustenau (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.66. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.768%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.41%EV -10.23%E -6.12%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.04%EV +0.768%E +0.163%K +0.207%G +0.002% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -0.789%E -0.197%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-13 12:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.77%EV -5.39%E -3.06%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.64%EV +0.124%E +0.027%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.59%EV -2.77%E -0.707%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-13 12:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.46%EV -5.39%E -3.06%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.84%EV -1.38%E -0.299%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.70%EV -3.77%E -0.970%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-13 12:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.18%EV -9.15%E -5.41%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -1.38%E -0.299%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.75%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 12:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -7.54%E -4.38%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -3.52%E -0.782%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -5.75%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 12:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -7.00%E -4.05%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -3.52%E -0.782%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 12:21 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.27%EV -7.00%E -4.05%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -4.51%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-13 12:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.27%EV -7.00%E -4.05%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -4.51%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-13 12:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -8.61%E -5.07%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -3.27%E -0.838%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 12:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -7.54%E -4.38%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -10.71%E -2.98%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-13 12:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -7.54%E -4.38%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -10.71%E -2.98%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-13 12:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.32%EV -9.15%E -5.41%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -8.23%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-13 12:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.42%EV -6.46%E -3.71%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -7.17%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -8.23%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-13 12:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.49%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -7.81%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -8.23%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-13 12:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.88%EV -9.15%E -5.41%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -7.81%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -9.47%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-13 12:25 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.06%EV -9.69%E -5.77%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.12%EV -7.81%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 24.82%EV -9.22%E -2.52%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-13 12:16 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.67%EV -4.31%E -2.42%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 06:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -5.92%E -3.39%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.71%E -2.98%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-13 12:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -5.92%E -3.39%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.71%E -2.98%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-13 12:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -5.92%E -3.39%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.71%E -2.98%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-13 12:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -5.92%E -3.39%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.71%E -2.98%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-13 12:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.29%EV -9.69%E -5.77%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -5.75%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-13 12:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -10.23%E -6.12%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -10.71%E -2.98%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-13 12:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -10.23%E -6.12%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -10.71%E -2.98%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-13 12:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -10.23%E -6.12%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -10.71%E -2.98%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-13 12:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -10.23%E -6.12%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -13.19%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-13 12:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.79%EV -11.84%E -7.22%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.00%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -13.19%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-13 12:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.81%EV -12.38%E -7.59%K -19.64%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.13%EV -11.02%E -2.66%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -13.19%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-13 12:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.81%EV -12.38%E -7.59%K -19.64%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.13%EV -11.02%E -2.66%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -13.19%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-13 12:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -4.85%E -2.74%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -12.10%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.71%E -2.98%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-13 12:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.13%EV -5.39%E -3.06%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -12.10%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.71%E -2.98%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 12:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.54%E -4.38%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.10%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -11.95%E -3.37%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-13 12:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.95%EV -10.76%E -6.48%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -12.10%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -8.23%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-13 12:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -14.24%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 12:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -14.24%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 12:11 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -14.24%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 12:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -14.24%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 12:11 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -14.24%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 12:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -14.24%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 12:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -14.24%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 12:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -14.24%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 12:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -7.00%E -4.05%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -14.24%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -5.75%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-13 12:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -7.00%E -4.05%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -14.24%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -13.19%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-13 06:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -8.61%E -5.07%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -14.24%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.19%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-13 12:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.83%EV -6.46%E -3.71%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -16.38%E -4.20%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -10.71%E -2.98%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-13 12:11 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.77%EV -8.07%E -4.72%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%EV -18.53%E -4.88%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.94%EV -11.95%E -3.37%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-13 12:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.77%EV -8.07%E -4.72%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%EV -18.53%E -4.88%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.94%EV -11.95%E -3.37%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-13 12:11 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.77%EV -8.07%E -4.72%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%EV -18.53%E -4.88%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.94%EV -11.95%E -3.37%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-13 12:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.77%EV -8.07%E -4.72%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%EV -18.53%E -4.88%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.94%EV -11.95%E -3.37%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-13 12:11 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.54%EV -10.23%E -6.12%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -18.53%E -4.88%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -10.71%E -2.98%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-13 12:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.03% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76% | 1.0% | 2026-09-13 12:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.03% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76% | 1.0% | 2026-09-13 12:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.03% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76% | 1.0% | 2026-09-13 12:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.03% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76% | 1.0% | 2026-09-13 12:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.30% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.09% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61% | 1.6% | 2026-09-13 12:15 |