Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Austria Wien v Austria Lustenau

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-13 12:30 UTC

Score final : Austria Wien 2–1 Austria Lustenau

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Austria Wien (Local)

Prévision 53.76%1.86cote équitable
EV -3.24%
Avantage -1.80%
Kelly -4.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.77%53.73%53.85%56.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.631.731.731.8061.35%57.94%57.97%55.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Austria Lustenau (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.44%4.66cote équitable
EV +0.768%
Avantage +0.163%
Kelly +0.207%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 4.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.04%21.53%21.27%23.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.804.184.204.7026.32%23.92%23.81%21.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.80%4.03cote équitable
EV -0.789%
Avantage -0.197%
Kelly -0.263%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.55%24.74%24.88%25.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.683.664.0028.57%27.21%27.36%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Austria Wien (Local) : 53.76% ; Austria Lustenau (Visiteur) : 21.44% ; Match nul : 24.80%. Pour Austria Lustenau (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.66. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.70, soit une espérance positive de +0.768%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.41%EV -10.23%E -6.12%K -15.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.04%EV +0.768%E +0.163%K +0.207%G +0.002%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -0.789%E -0.197%K -0.263%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 12:15
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.77%EV -5.39%E -3.06%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.64%EV +0.124%E +0.027%K +0.034%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.59%EV -2.77%E -0.707%K -0.950%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 12:20
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.46%EV -5.39%E -3.06%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.84%EV -1.38%E -0.299%K -0.382%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.70%EV -3.77%E -0.970%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 12:25
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.18%EV -9.15%E -5.41%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -1.38%E -0.299%K -0.382%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.75%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 12:19
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -7.54%E -4.38%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -3.52%E -0.782%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -5.75%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 12:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -7.00%E -4.05%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -3.52%E -0.782%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 12:21
LowVig.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.27%EV -7.00%E -4.05%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -4.51%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 12:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.27%EV -7.00%E -4.05%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -4.51%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 12:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -8.61%E -5.07%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -3.27%E -0.838%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 12:25
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -7.54%E -4.38%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -10.71%E -2.98%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 12:25
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -7.54%E -4.38%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -10.71%E -2.98%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 12:25
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.32%EV -9.15%E -5.41%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -8.23%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 12:20
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.42%EV -6.46%E -3.71%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -7.17%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -8.23%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 12:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.49%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -7.81%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -8.23%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 12:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 53.88%EV -9.15%E -5.41%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -7.81%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -9.47%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-13 12:25
Suprabets🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.06%EV -9.69%E -5.77%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.12%EV -7.81%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 24.82%EV -9.22%E -2.52%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-13 12:16
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.67%EV -4.31%E -2.42%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 06:05
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -5.92%E -3.39%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.71%E -2.98%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 12:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -5.92%E -3.39%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.71%E -2.98%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 12:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -5.92%E -3.39%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.71%E -2.98%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 12:10
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -5.92%E -3.39%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.71%E -2.98%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 12:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.29%EV -9.69%E -5.77%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -5.75%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-13 12:20
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -10.23%E -6.12%K -15.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -10.71%E -2.98%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-13 12:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -10.23%E -6.12%K -15.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -10.71%E -2.98%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-13 12:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -10.23%E -6.12%K -15.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -10.71%E -2.98%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-13 12:25
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -10.23%E -6.12%K -15.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -13.19%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 12:15
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.79%EV -11.84%E -7.22%K -18.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.00%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -13.19%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-13 12:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 53.81%EV -12.38%E -7.59%K -19.64%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.13%EV -11.02%E -2.66%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -13.19%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-13 12:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 53.81%EV -12.38%E -7.59%K -19.64%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.13%EV -11.02%E -2.66%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -13.19%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-13 12:20
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -4.85%E -2.74%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -12.10%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.71%E -2.98%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 12:15
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.13%EV -5.39%E -3.06%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -12.10%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.71%E -2.98%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 12:15
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.54%E -4.38%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.10%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -11.95%E -3.37%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 12:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.95%EV -10.76%E -6.48%K -16.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -12.10%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -8.23%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 12:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -14.24%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 12:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -14.24%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 12:11
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -14.24%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 12:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -14.24%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 12:11
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -14.24%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 12:15
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -14.24%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 12:15
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -14.24%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 12:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -14.24%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 12:15
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -7.00%E -4.05%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -14.24%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -5.75%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 12:25
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -7.00%E -4.05%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -14.24%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -13.19%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 06:05
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -8.61%E -5.07%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -14.24%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.19%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-13 12:15
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.83%EV -6.46%E -3.71%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -16.38%E -4.20%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -10.71%E -2.98%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-13 12:11
PMU (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.77%EV -8.07%E -4.72%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%EV -18.53%E -4.88%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.94%EV -11.95%E -3.37%K -4.69%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-13 12:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.77%EV -8.07%E -4.72%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%EV -18.53%E -4.88%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.94%EV -11.95%E -3.37%K -4.69%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-13 12:11
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.77%EV -8.07%E -4.72%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%EV -18.53%E -4.88%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.94%EV -11.95%E -3.37%K -4.69%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-13 12:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.77%EV -8.07%E -4.72%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%EV -18.53%E -4.88%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.94%EV -11.95%E -3.37%K -4.69%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-13 12:11
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.54%EV -10.23%E -6.12%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -18.53%E -4.88%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -10.71%E -2.98%K -4.12%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-13 12:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.03%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-09-13 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.03%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-09-13 12:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.03%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-09-13 12:15
Matchbook◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.03%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-09-13 12:15
Smarkets◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.30%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%1.6%2026-09-13 12:15