Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Austria Lustenau v Rheindorf Altach

2026-09-19 15:00 UTC — Austrian Football Bundesliga

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Austria Lustenau (Local)

Prediction 32.36%3.09fair odd
EV -6.14%
Edge -2.12%
Kelly -3.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.85%32.36%32.52%33.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.792.842.9039.22%35.87%35.21%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rheindorf Altach (Visit)

Prediction 40.40%2.48fair odd
EV -5.05%
Edge -2.15%
Kelly -3.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.02%40.39%40.51%40.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.252.272.3547.62%44.54%43.96%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.23%3.67fair odd
EV -4.68%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -1.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.71%27.25%26.97%27.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.333.303.5032.26%30.01%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Austria Lustenau (Local): 32.36%; Rheindorf Altach (Visit): 40.40%; Draw: 27.23%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.67. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.50, with an expected value of -4.68%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -6.14%E -2.12%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 10:20
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.14%E -2.12%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -7.07%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 10:19
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -6.14%E -2.12%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.07%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 10:35
1xBet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -6.79%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.05%EV -5.46%E -2.33%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.40%EV -6.86%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 12:25
888sport🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -6.79%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -7.07%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 10:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -6.79%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -7.07%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 10:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -6.79%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -7.07%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 10:45
William Hill🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -6.79%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -7.07%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 10:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.38%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.09%E -4.04%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 10:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -11.00%E -4.00%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.09%E -4.04%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 10:09
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.00%E -4.00%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.11%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 10:20
Suprabets🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.76%EV -12.62%E -4.67%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 40.02%EV -10.71%E -4.85%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-06 11:50
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.98%EV -12.62%E -4.67%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.16%EV -13.13%E -6.11%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.86%EV -15.58%E -5.02%K -7.42%G +0.000%15.8%2026-09-06 10:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.62%EV -14.23%E -5.37%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 40.78%EV -14.35%E -6.77%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.60%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%15.7%2026-09-06 10:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.62%EV -15.85%E -6.10%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -13.13%E -6.11%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-06 10:53
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 33.48%EV -17.47%E -6.85%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.65%EV -15.16%E -7.22%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.87%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%17.1%2026-09-06 10:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.