Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Austria Lustenau v Rheindorf Altach

Inicio: 2026-09-19 15:00 UTC

Final: Austria Lustenau 2–0 Rheindorf Altach

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Austria Lustenau (Local)

Predicción 28.26%3.54momio equitativo
EV +0.309%
Ventaja +0.087%
Kelly +0.121%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.23%28.23%28.29%29.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.253.273.5533.33%30.75%30.53%28.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Rheindorf Altach (Visitante)

Predicción 44.75%2.23momio equitativo
EV -3.80%
Ventaja -1.77%
Kelly -3.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.81%44.74%44.66%45.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.962.042.052.1551.02%48.91%48.78%46.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 27.00%3.70momio equitativo
EV -2.81%
Ventaja -0.779%
Kelly -1.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.05%27.03%27.05%28.31%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.153.393.403.6031.75%29.51%29.41%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Austria Lustenau (Local): 28.26%; Rheindorf Altach (Visitante): 44.75%; Empate: 27.00%. Para Austria Lustenau (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.54. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.55, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.309%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV +0.309%E +0.087%K +0.121%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.42%EV -4.69%E -2.20%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.33%EV -4.43%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-19 14:56
BetOnline.ag🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -2.52%E -0.729%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -6.03%E -2.87%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -9.55%E -2.85%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 14:56
LowVig.ag🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -2.52%E -0.729%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -6.03%E -2.87%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -9.55%E -2.85%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 14:56
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.93%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -8.27%E -4.04%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 14:41
1xBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -3.93%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.17%EV -7.38%E -3.56%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.34%EV -7.67%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 14:41
FanDuel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -3.93%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.27%E -4.04%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-19 14:41
Bovada🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -5.34%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -6.03%E -2.87%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -6.86%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 14:55
Suprabets🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 27.40%EV -6.19%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.03%EV -9.61%E -4.76%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-19 14:37
DraftKings🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.75%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -3.80%E -1.77%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 14:25
Betr (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -6.75%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.03%E -2.87%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -2.81%E -0.779%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-19 14:01
Unibet (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -6.75%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -7.38%E -3.56%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -4.16%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 14:21
Unibet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -6.75%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -7.38%E -3.56%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -4.16%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 14:21
Casumo🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -6.75%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -7.38%E -3.56%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -4.16%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 14:21
Grosvenor🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -6.75%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -7.38%E -3.56%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -4.16%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 14:21
TABtouch🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -6.75%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -7.38%E -3.56%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -4.16%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 14:21
Unibet (NL)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -6.75%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -7.38%E -3.56%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -4.16%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 14:21
ATG (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -6.75%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -7.38%E -3.56%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -4.16%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 14:21
Svenska Spel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -6.75%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -7.38%E -3.56%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -4.16%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 14:21
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.75%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.27%E -4.04%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 14:01
BetMGM🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.75%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.27%E -4.04%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 14:35
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.75%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.03%E -2.87%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-19 14:36
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.75%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.03%E -2.87%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-19 14:35
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.75%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.03%E -2.87%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-19 14:35
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.75%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.03%E -2.87%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-19 14:35
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.75%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -10.51%E -5.25%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-19 14:55
Coolbet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -8.17%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -6.93%E -3.33%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -2.81%E -0.779%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 14:01
Unibet (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.17%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.03%E -2.87%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 14:11
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -8.17%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -10.51%E -5.25%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -13.60%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-19 14:36
Bet Right🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.58%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.27%E -4.04%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -6.86%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-19 14:01
theScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.58%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.27%E -4.04%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-19 14:11
PlayUp🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -9.58%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -8.27%E -4.04%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-19 14:56
NordicBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -9.58%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -8.27%E -4.04%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-19 14:55
Betsson🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -9.58%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -8.27%E -4.04%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-19 14:55
BetRivers🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.58%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -10.51%E -5.25%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-19 14:21
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -9.58%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -10.51%E -5.25%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-19 14:36
Neds🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -9.58%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -10.51%E -5.25%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-19 14:36
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -9.58%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -10.51%E -5.25%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-19 14:35
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -9.58%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -10.51%E -5.25%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-19 14:35
SportsBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.41%EV -9.58%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.75%EV -12.30%E -6.28%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.84%EV -14.95%E -4.75%K -6.96%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-19 14:41
Winamax (DE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -10.99%E -3.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -8.27%E -4.04%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -6.86%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-19 14:11
Codere (IT)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -10.99%E -3.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.07%EV -7.82%E -3.80%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -9.55%E -2.85%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-19 14:11
Virgin Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.25%EV -10.99%E -3.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.18%EV -11.85%E -6.02%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -9.55%E -2.85%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-19 14:21
LiveScore Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.25%EV -10.99%E -3.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.18%EV -11.85%E -6.02%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -9.55%E -2.85%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-19 14:21
PMU (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.19%EV -10.99%E -3.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.30%EV -12.30%E -6.28%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.51%EV -9.55%E -2.85%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-19 14:21
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.19%EV -10.99%E -3.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.30%EV -12.30%E -6.28%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.51%EV -9.55%E -2.85%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-19 14:21
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.41%E -4.00%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -10.51%E -5.25%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-19 14:01
Unibet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -12.41%E -4.00%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.61%EV -11.85%E -6.02%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-19 14:45
Betclic (FR)🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 28.48%EV -12.97%E -4.21%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.53%EV -11.85%E -6.02%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-19 14:32
Winamax (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -13.82%E -4.53%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.56%EV -10.51%E -5.25%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-19 14:11
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -15.23%E -5.08%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -10.51%E -5.25%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-19 14:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.11%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-09-19 14:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.11%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-09-19 14:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.11%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-09-19 14:41
Matchbook◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.11%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-09-19 14:46
Smarkets◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.4%2026-09-19 14:56