L’École des cotes

Western Sydney Wanderers v Sydney FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 09:35 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Western Sydney Wanderers (Local)

Prévision 36.38%2.75cote équitable
EV -1.78%
Avantage -0.661%
Kelly -1.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.21%36.45%36.35%37.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.552.552.7041.67%39.18%39.22%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sydney FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.94%2.64cote équitable
EV -1.36%
Avantage -0.522%
Kelly -0.848%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.86%37.88%37.90%38.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.452.472.6043.48%40.80%40.49%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.68%3.89cote équitable
EV -1.63%
Avantage -0.426%
Kelly -0.576%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.50%25.67%25.75%27.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.593.603.8332.26%27.83%27.78%26.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.70I 37.04%NM 35.83%EV -1.78%E -0.661%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.85%EV -5.53%E -2.22%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.32%EV -1.89%E -0.494%K -0.669%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-11 09:15
LowVig.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.60%E -1.36%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.33%EV -4.39%E -1.74%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.22%EV -1.63%E -0.426%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 09:19
BetOnline.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.60%E -1.36%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.33%EV -4.39%E -1.74%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.22%EV -1.63%E -0.426%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 09:20
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -3.60%E -1.36%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -8.94%E -3.73%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 09:19
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 36.28%EV -4.69%E -1.79%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02%EV -5.15%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 09:15
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.45%EV -4.69%E -1.79%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -8.19%E -3.38%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -8.82%E -2.49%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 09:00
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.45%EV -4.69%E -1.79%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -8.19%E -3.38%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -8.82%E -2.49%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 09:10
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.42%E -2.09%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -5.15%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 09:10
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.42%E -2.09%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.11%EV -5.91%E -2.38%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 09:10
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.42%E -2.09%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -5.15%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 08:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.42%E -2.09%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -5.15%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 08:45
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.42%E -2.09%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -5.15%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 09:00
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 36.05%EV -5.42%E -2.09%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -7.05%E -2.88%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -6.25%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.42%E -2.09%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.05%E -2.88%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 09:14
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.42%E -2.09%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.05%E -2.88%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 09:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.42%E -2.09%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.05%E -2.88%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 09:14
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.42%E -2.09%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.05%E -2.88%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 09:14
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -5.42%E -2.09%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -8.94%E -3.73%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 09:14
Marathon Bet2.57I 38.91%NM 36.31%EV -6.51%E -2.53%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -6.29%E -2.55%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 09:19
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.58%EV -7.24%E -2.84%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.86%EV -1.36%E -0.522%K -0.848%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.56%EV -3.69%E -0.983%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 09:10
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.24%E -2.84%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -5.15%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 09:10
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.24%E -2.84%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -5.15%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 09:05
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -7.24%E -2.84%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.44%EV -5.91%E -2.38%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -8.82%E -2.49%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 08:44
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -7.24%E -2.84%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.44%EV -5.91%E -2.38%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -8.82%E -2.49%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 08:44
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -7.24%E -2.84%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.44%EV -5.91%E -2.38%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -8.82%E -2.49%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 08:45
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -7.24%E -2.84%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.44%EV -5.91%E -2.38%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -8.82%E -2.49%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 08:45
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -7.24%E -2.84%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.44%EV -5.91%E -2.38%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -8.82%E -2.49%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 08:45
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.24%E -2.84%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -7.05%E -2.88%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 09:10
GTbets2.51I 39.84%NM 37.58%EV -8.70%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.99%EV -3.25%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.43%EV -4.71%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 00:09
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.06%E -3.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.15%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 09:19
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.06%E -3.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.15%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 00:35
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.06%E -3.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.15%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 00:39
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -9.06%E -3.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -7.05%E -2.88%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 09:20
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.74%EV -9.06%E -3.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.76%EV -10.08%E -4.25%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -3.69%E -0.983%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 04:45
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.06%E -3.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -8.94%E -3.73%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 09:10
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.06%E -3.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -8.94%E -3.73%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 09:00
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -9.06%E -3.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -12.74%E -5.54%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-11 09:09
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -9.79%E -3.95%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -8.94%E -3.73%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -11.39%E -3.30%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 08:45
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -9.79%E -3.95%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -8.94%E -3.73%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -11.39%E -3.30%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 08:44
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.85%EV -10.88%E -4.44%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.42%EV -10.84%E -4.61%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.73%EV -6.25%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 09:10
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.64%EV -12.70%E -5.29%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.23%EV -12.74%E -5.54%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-11 09:09
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.53%EV -12.70%E -5.29%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -10.84%E -4.61%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -13.96%E -4.17%K -5.94%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-11 08:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.49%EV -12.70%E -5.29%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.03%EV -12.74%E -5.54%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.48%EV -20.38%E -6.57%K -9.70%G +0.000%17.4%2026-04-11 04:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.23%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49%0.6%2026-04-11 09:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.23%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49%0.6%2026-04-11 09:20
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.23%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49%0.6%2026-04-11 09:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.17%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41%0.9%2026-04-11 09:20
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 36.63%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.06%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.31%2.6%2026-04-11 09:20