La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Western Sydney Wanderers v Sydney FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Western Sydney Wanderers (Local)
Predicción 36.38%2.75momio equitativo
EV -1.78%
Ventaja -0.661%
Kelly -1.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.21%36.45%36.35%37.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.552.552.7041.67%39.18%39.22%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Sydney FC (Visitante)
Predicción 37.94%2.64momio equitativo
EV -1.36%
Ventaja -0.522%
Kelly -0.848%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.86%37.88%37.90%38.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.452.472.6043.48%40.80%40.49%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.68%3.89momio equitativo
EV -1.63%
Ventaja -0.426%
Kelly -0.576%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.50%25.67%25.75%27.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.593.603.8332.26%27.83%27.78%26.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.83%EV -1.78%E -0.661%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.85%EV -5.53%E -2.22%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.32%EV -1.89%E -0.494%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-11 09:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.60%E -1.36%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.33%EV -4.39%E -1.74%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.22%EV -1.63%E -0.426%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-11 09:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.60%E -1.36%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.33%EV -4.39%E -1.74%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.22%EV -1.63%E -0.426%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-11 09:20 |
| Everygame | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -3.60%E -1.36%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -8.94%E -3.73%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 09:19 |
| Coral | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.28%EV -4.69%E -1.79%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02%EV -5.15%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 09:15 |
| Betsson | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.45%EV -4.69%E -1.79%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -8.19%E -3.38%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -8.82%E -2.49%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 09:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.45%EV -4.69%E -1.79%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -8.19%E -3.38%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -8.82%E -2.49%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 09:10 |
| DraftKings | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.42%E -2.09%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -5.15%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 09:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.42%E -2.09%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.11%EV -5.91%E -2.38%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-11 09:10 |
| LeoVegas | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.42%E -2.09%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -5.15%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 08:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.42%E -2.09%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -5.15%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 08:45 |
| TAB | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.42%E -2.09%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -5.15%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 09:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.05%EV -5.42%E -2.09%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -7.05%E -2.88%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -6.25%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.42%E -2.09%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.05%E -2.88%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 09:14 |
| Neds | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.42%E -2.09%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.05%E -2.88%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 09:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.42%E -2.09%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.05%E -2.88%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 09:14 |
| BetMGM | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.42%E -2.09%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.05%E -2.88%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 09:14 |
| BetUS | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -5.42%E -2.09%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -8.94%E -3.73%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-11 09:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.31%EV -6.51%E -2.53%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -6.29%E -2.55%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 09:19 |
| Coolbet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.58%EV -7.24%E -2.84%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.86%EV -1.36%E -0.522%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.56%EV -3.69%E -0.983%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 09:10 |
| SportsBet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.24%E -2.84%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -5.15%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 09:10 |
| Unibet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.24%E -2.84%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -5.15%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 09:05 |
| TABtouch | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -7.24%E -2.84%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.44%EV -5.91%E -2.38%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -8.82%E -2.49%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 08:44 |
| Grosvenor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -7.24%E -2.84%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.44%EV -5.91%E -2.38%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -8.82%E -2.49%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 08:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -7.24%E -2.84%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.44%EV -5.91%E -2.38%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -8.82%E -2.49%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 08:45 |
| Casumo | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -7.24%E -2.84%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.44%EV -5.91%E -2.38%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -8.82%E -2.49%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 08:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -7.24%E -2.84%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.44%EV -5.91%E -2.38%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -8.82%E -2.49%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 08:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.24%E -2.84%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -7.05%E -2.88%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 09:10 |
| GTbets | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.58%EV -8.70%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.99%EV -3.25%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.43%EV -4.71%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-05 00:09 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.06%E -3.62%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.15%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 09:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.06%E -3.62%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.15%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 00:35 |
| Fanatics | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.06%E -3.62%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.15%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 00:39 |
| Bet Right | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -9.06%E -3.62%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -7.05%E -2.88%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 09:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.74%EV -9.06%E -3.62%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.76%EV -10.08%E -4.25%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -3.69%E -0.983%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.06%E -3.62%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -8.94%E -3.73%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 09:10 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.06%E -3.62%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -8.94%E -3.73%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 09:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -9.06%E -3.62%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -12.74%E -5.54%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-11 09:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -9.79%E -3.95%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -8.94%E -3.73%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -11.39%E -3.30%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-11 08:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -9.79%E -3.95%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -8.94%E -3.73%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -11.39%E -3.30%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-11 08:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.85%EV -10.88%E -4.44%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.42%EV -10.84%E -4.61%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.73%EV -6.25%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-11 09:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.64%EV -12.70%E -5.29%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.23%EV -12.74%E -5.54%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-11 09:09 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.53%EV -12.70%E -5.29%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -10.84%E -4.61%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -13.96%E -4.17%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-11 08:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.49%EV -12.70%E -5.29%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.03%EV -12.74%E -5.54%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.48%EV -20.38%E -6.57%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.23% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49% | 0.6% | 2026-04-11 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.23% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49% | 0.6% | 2026-04-11 09:20 |
| Matchbook | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.23% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49% | 0.6% | 2026-04-11 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.17% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 09:20 |
| Smarkets | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.63% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.06% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.31% | 2.6% | 2026-04-11 09:20 |