Language:English
Western Sydney Wanderers v Adelaide United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Western Sydney Wanderers (Local)
Prediction 48.82%2.05fair odd
EV +0.084%
Edge +0.041%
Kelly +0.080%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.08%48.73%48.88%50.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.921.932.0556.18%52.16%51.81%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Adelaide United (Visit)
Prediction 27.55%3.63fair odd
EV -2.21%
Edge -0.622%
Kelly -0.866%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.48%27.58%27.53%29.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.363.353.5532.79%29.80%29.85%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.63%4.23fair odd
EV -2.87%
Edge -0.699%
Kelly -0.924%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.84%23.69%23.60%25.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.893.904.1130.30%25.69%25.64%24.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Western Sydney Wanderers (Local): 48.82%; Adelaide United (Visit): 27.55%; Draw: 23.63%. For Western Sydney Wanderers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.048. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.050, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.084%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.08%EV +0.084%E +0.041%K +0.080%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -10.47%E -3.22%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -10.20%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 08:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.86%EV -3.33%E -1.68%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -2.21%E -0.622%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.89%EV -4.29%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-20 08:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.59%EV -3.33%E -1.68%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -9.10%E -2.76%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -6.65%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-20 07:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.95%EV -3.33%E -1.68%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -13.23%E -4.20%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -6.65%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-20 08:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.51%EV -3.82%E -1.94%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.30%EV -3.59%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.19%EV -6.65%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-20 08:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.18%EV -3.82%E -1.94%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.33%EV -7.72%E -2.30%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.49%EV -4.53%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 08:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.29%EV -4.31%E -2.20%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.21%EV -2.21%E -0.622%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.50%EV -2.87%E -0.699%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-20 08:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.29%EV -4.31%E -2.20%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.21%EV -2.21%E -0.622%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.50%EV -2.87%E -0.699%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-20 08:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.39%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.13%EV -2.21%E -0.622%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.49%EV -3.11%E -0.758%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-20 08:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.57%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -4.96%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -6.65%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-20 08:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -6.34%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-20 08:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -6.34%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-20 08:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -6.34%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-20 08:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -9.10%E -2.76%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-20 08:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.36%EV -5.29%E -2.73%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.34%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -7.84%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-20 08:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.36%EV -5.29%E -2.73%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.34%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -7.84%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-20 08:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.20%EV -5.29%E -2.73%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.34%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -9.02%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-20 08:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.16%EV -5.29%E -2.73%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -7.72%E -2.30%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.84%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 08:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.16%EV -5.29%E -2.73%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -7.72%E -2.30%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.84%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 08:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -5.77%E -2.99%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.34%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -9.02%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-20 08:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -5.77%E -2.99%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -7.72%E -2.30%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.02%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-20 08:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -5.77%E -2.99%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -7.72%E -2.30%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.02%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-20 08:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -5.77%E -2.99%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -7.72%E -2.30%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.02%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-20 08:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -5.77%E -2.99%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -7.72%E -2.30%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.02%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-20 08:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -5.77%E -2.99%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -7.72%E -2.30%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.02%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-20 08:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -5.77%E -2.99%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -7.72%E -2.30%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.02%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-20 08:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -5.77%E -2.99%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -7.72%E -2.30%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.02%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-20 08:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.26%E -3.26%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -4.96%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -12.56%E -3.40%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-20 08:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.26%E -3.26%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -4.96%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -12.56%E -3.40%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-20 08:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.72%E -2.30%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-20 08:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -9.10%E -2.76%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.84%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-20 08:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -9.10%E -2.76%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -10.20%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-20 08:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -7.24%E -3.81%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -3.59%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.84%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-20 08:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -7.24%E -3.81%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -6.34%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 08:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.55%EV -7.24%E -3.81%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -10.47%E -3.22%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-20 08:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.76%EV -7.24%E -3.81%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -11.85%E -3.70%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -10.20%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-20 07:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.33%EV -7.73%E -4.09%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -3.59%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.03%EV -8.31%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-20 08:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.01%EV -8.22%E -4.37%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -2.21%E -0.622%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-20 08:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.01%EV -8.22%E -4.37%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -2.21%E -0.622%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-20 08:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.60%EV -8.22%E -4.37%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.85%E -3.70%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-20 08:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.19%EV -9.19%E -4.94%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -10.47%E -3.22%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -12.56%E -3.40%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-20 08:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.19%EV -9.19%E -4.94%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -10.47%E -3.22%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -12.56%E -3.40%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-20 08:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -9.68%E -5.23%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.10%E -2.76%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -7.84%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-20 08:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -9.68%E -5.23%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.10%E -2.76%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -7.84%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-20 08:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -9.68%E -5.23%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.10%E -2.76%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -7.84%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-20 08:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -9.68%E -5.23%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.10%E -2.76%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -7.84%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-20 08:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.62%EV -10.66%E -5.82%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -14.60%E -4.71%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.85%EV -22.01%E -6.67%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-03-20 08:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.18%EV -11.15%E -6.12%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -15.98%E -5.24%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.07%EV -10.20%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-20 08:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 48.87%EV -13.10%E -7.36%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.62%EV -13.23%E -4.20%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.51%EV -12.56%E -3.40%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-03-20 08:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.53% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.74% | 1.0% | 2026-03-20 08:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.71% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.1% | 2026-03-20 08:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.71% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.1% | 2026-03-20 08:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.71% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.1% | 2026-03-20 08:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.97% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.1% | 2026-03-20 08:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.25% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90% | 2.0% | 2026-03-20 08:30 |