La escuela de los momios

Western Sydney Wanderers v Adelaide United

Inicio: 2026-03-20 08:35 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Western Sydney Wanderers (Local)

Predicción 48.82%2.05momio equitativo
EV +0.084%
Ventaja +0.041%
Kelly +0.080%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.08%48.73%48.88%50.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.781.921.932.0556.18%52.16%51.81%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Adelaide United (Visitante)

Predicción 27.55%3.63momio equitativo
EV -2.21%
Ventaja -0.622%
Kelly -0.866%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.48%27.58%27.53%29.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.053.363.353.5532.79%29.80%29.85%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.63%4.23momio equitativo
EV -2.87%
Ventaja -0.699%
Kelly -0.924%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.11

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.84%23.69%23.60%25.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.893.904.1130.30%25.69%25.64%24.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.08%EV +0.084%E +0.041%K +0.080%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -10.47%E -3.22%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -10.20%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 08:30
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 48.86%EV -3.33%E -1.68%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -2.21%E -0.622%K -0.866%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.89%EV -4.29%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-20 08:20
Codere (IT)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.59%EV -3.33%E -1.68%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -9.10%E -2.76%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -6.65%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 07:45
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 46.95%EV -3.33%E -1.68%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -13.23%E -4.20%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -6.65%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 08:29
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.51%EV -3.82%E -1.94%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.30%EV -3.59%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.19%EV -6.65%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 08:25
GTbets1.97I 50.76%NM 48.18%EV -3.82%E -1.94%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.33%EV -7.72%E -2.30%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.49%EV -4.53%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 08:30
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 49.29%EV -4.31%E -2.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.21%EV -2.21%E -0.622%K -0.866%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.50%EV -2.87%E -0.699%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-20 08:24
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 49.29%EV -4.31%E -2.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.21%EV -2.21%E -0.622%K -0.866%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.50%EV -2.87%E -0.699%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-20 08:30
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.39%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.13%EV -2.21%E -0.622%K -0.866%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.49%EV -3.11%E -0.758%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 08:29
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.57%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -4.96%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -6.65%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 08:25
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -6.34%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 08:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -6.34%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 08:29
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -6.34%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 08:30
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -9.10%E -2.76%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 08:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.36%EV -5.29%E -2.73%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.34%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -7.84%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 08:25
LeoVegas1.94I 51.55%NM 48.36%EV -5.29%E -2.73%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.34%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -7.84%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 08:25
Unibet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.20%EV -5.29%E -2.73%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.34%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -9.02%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 08:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.16%EV -5.29%E -2.73%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -7.72%E -2.30%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.84%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 08:30
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 48.16%EV -5.29%E -2.73%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -7.72%E -2.30%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.84%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 08:25
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -5.77%E -2.99%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.34%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -9.02%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 08:29
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -5.77%E -2.99%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -7.72%E -2.30%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.02%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 08:25
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -5.77%E -2.99%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -7.72%E -2.30%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.02%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 08:25
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -5.77%E -2.99%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -7.72%E -2.30%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.02%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 08:25
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -5.77%E -2.99%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -7.72%E -2.30%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.02%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 08:24
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -5.77%E -2.99%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -7.72%E -2.30%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.02%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 08:24
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -5.77%E -2.99%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -7.72%E -2.30%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.02%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 08:25
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -5.77%E -2.99%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -7.72%E -2.30%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.02%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 08:25
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.26%E -3.26%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -4.96%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -12.56%E -3.40%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-20 08:30
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.26%E -3.26%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -4.96%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -12.56%E -3.40%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-20 08:30
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.72%E -2.30%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 08:30
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -9.10%E -2.76%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.84%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-20 08:25
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -9.10%E -2.76%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -10.20%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-20 08:25
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -7.24%E -3.81%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -3.59%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.84%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 08:30
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -7.24%E -3.81%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -6.34%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 08:24
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.55%EV -7.24%E -3.81%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -10.47%E -3.22%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-20 08:29
PMU (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.76%EV -7.24%E -3.81%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -11.85%E -3.70%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -10.20%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-20 07:49
Marathon Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.33%EV -7.73%E -4.09%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -3.59%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.03%EV -8.31%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-20 08:29
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 50.01%EV -8.22%E -4.37%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -2.21%E -0.622%K -0.866%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 08:29
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 50.01%EV -8.22%E -4.37%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -2.21%E -0.622%K -0.866%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 08:29
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.60%EV -8.22%E -4.37%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.85%E -3.70%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-20 08:30
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.19%EV -9.19%E -4.94%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -10.47%E -3.22%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -12.56%E -3.40%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-20 08:24
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.19%EV -9.19%E -4.94%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -10.47%E -3.22%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -12.56%E -3.40%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-20 08:25
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -9.68%E -5.23%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.10%E -2.76%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -7.84%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-20 08:30
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -9.68%E -5.23%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.10%E -2.76%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -7.84%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-20 08:30
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -9.68%E -5.23%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.10%E -2.76%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -7.84%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-20 08:30
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -9.68%E -5.23%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.10%E -2.76%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -7.84%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-20 08:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.62%EV -10.66%E -5.82%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -14.60%E -4.71%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.85%EV -22.01%E -6.67%K -9.57%G +0.000%17.2%2026-03-20 08:25
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.18%EV -11.15%E -6.12%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -15.98%E -5.24%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.07%EV -10.20%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-20 08:29
NetBet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 48.87%EV -13.10%E -7.36%K -16.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.62%EV -13.23%E -4.20%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.51%EV -12.56%E -3.40%K -4.65%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-20 08:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.53%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.74%1.0%2026-03-20 08:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.71%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-03-20 08:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.71%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-03-20 08:30
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 49.71%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-03-20 08:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.97%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-03-20 08:25
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.25%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90%2.0%2026-03-20 08:30