L’École des cotes

Sydney FC v Newcastle Jets FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 09:40 UTC

Score final : Sydney FC 1–1 Newcastle Jets FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sydney FC (Local)

Prévision 40.44%2.47cote équitable
EV -3.35%
Avantage -1.40%
Kelly -2.41%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.39

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.13%40.42%40.54%41.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.292.302.3946.51%43.76%43.48%41.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Newcastle Jets FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.49%2.99cote équitable
EV -2.53%
Avantage -0.870%
Kelly -1.32%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.37%33.50%33.43%34.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.752.752.9139.22%36.39%36.36%34.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.07%3.84cote équitable
EV +1.66%
Avantage +0.425%
Kelly +0.571%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.39%26.08%26.02%27.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.643.653.9032.26%27.50%27.40%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -5.78%E -2.48%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.25%EV -6.22%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.59%EV +1.66%E +0.425%K +0.571%G +0.009%4.3%2026-05-08 22:04
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.56%E -3.54%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV +0.353%E +0.092%K +0.124%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 22:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.56%E -3.54%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV +0.353%E +0.092%K +0.124%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 22:04
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.91%EV -7.80%E -3.42%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -9.56%E -3.54%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -0.950%E -0.250%K -0.339%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 22:03
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 40.91%EV -7.80%E -3.42%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -9.56%E -3.54%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -0.950%E -0.250%K -0.339%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 22:03
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.91%EV -7.80%E -3.42%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -9.56%E -3.54%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -0.950%E -0.250%K -0.339%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 22:03
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.91%EV -7.80%E -3.42%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -9.56%E -3.54%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -0.950%E -0.250%K -0.339%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 22:04
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 40.91%EV -7.80%E -3.42%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -9.56%E -3.54%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -0.950%E -0.250%K -0.339%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 22:05
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.91%EV -7.80%E -3.42%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -9.56%E -3.54%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -0.950%E -0.250%K -0.339%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 22:04
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.91%EV -7.80%E -3.42%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -9.56%E -3.54%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -0.950%E -0.250%K -0.339%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 22:04
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 40.91%EV -7.80%E -3.42%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -9.56%E -3.54%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -0.950%E -0.250%K -0.339%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 22:04
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.55%EV -4.97%E -2.11%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -6.22%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -2.25%E -0.601%K -0.819%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 01:24
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -6.22%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -2.25%E -0.601%K -0.819%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 01:24
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -7.89%E -2.87%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -2.25%E -0.601%K -0.819%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 01:23
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -9.01%E -4.00%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.89%E -2.87%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -2.25%E -0.601%K -0.819%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 21:35
LowVig.ag2.37I 42.19%NM 40.79%EV -4.16%E -1.75%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.22%EV -2.53%E -0.870%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.99%EV -3.04%E -0.816%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-08 22:09
BetOnline.ag2.37I 42.19%NM 40.79%EV -4.16%E -1.75%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.22%EV -2.53%E -0.870%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.99%EV -3.04%E -0.816%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-08 22:09
Pinnacle2.39I 41.84%NM 40.48%EV -3.35%E -1.40%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.36%EV -2.87%E -0.988%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -3.56%E -0.961%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-08 22:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.22%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -3.56%E -0.961%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 12:04
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.22%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -3.56%E -0.961%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-04 08:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.22%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -3.56%E -0.961%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 12:04
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.22%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -3.56%E -0.961%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 12:04
GTbets2.34I 42.74%NM 40.57%EV -5.37%E -2.30%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.43%EV -4.88%E -1.72%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -4.86%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 21:40
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.27%EV -4.97%E -2.11%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.80%EV -6.22%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -4.86%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 22:14
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -11.03%E -5.01%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -11.24%E -4.24%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -4.86%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-08 14:34
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.83%EV -11.03%E -5.01%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.55%EV -12.91%E -4.97%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -4.86%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-08 22:04
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.83%EV -11.03%E -5.01%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.55%EV -12.91%E -4.97%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -4.86%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-08 22:04
Bovada2.32I 43.10%NM 40.58%EV -6.18%E -2.66%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.27%EV -5.21%E -1.84%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 01:20
BetUS2.32I 43.10%NM 40.58%EV -6.18%E -2.66%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.27%EV -5.21%E -1.84%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 01:24
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.22%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 09:45
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.89%E -2.87%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-04 08:10
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.89%E -2.87%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 14:04
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -9.01%E -4.00%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -7.89%E -2.87%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-07 21:09
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -9.01%E -4.00%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.56%E -3.54%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 01:24
PMU (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.98%EV -13.05%E -6.07%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -14.59%E -5.72%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-08 22:03
Marathon Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.53%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.29%EV -6.22%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.18%EV -7.21%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 15:34
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -4.97%E -2.11%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.55%EV -6.22%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -7.47%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 01:24
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -11.03%E -5.01%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.47%EV -9.56%E -3.54%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -7.47%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-08 21:44
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -2.87%E -0.988%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 01:24
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.96%EV -13.05%E -6.07%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.87%EV -12.91%E -4.97%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-08 14:30
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -6.18%E -2.66%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -5.55%E -1.97%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 01:24
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -6.18%E -2.66%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -5.55%E -1.97%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 01:24
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.89%E -2.87%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 14:04
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.89%E -2.87%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 14:05
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.89%E -2.87%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 14:04
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.89%E -2.87%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 14:04
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 40.13%EV -12.25%E -5.64%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.49%EV -12.91%E -4.97%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.39%EV -13.98%E -4.24%K -6.08%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-08 15:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.13%EV -11.03%E -5.01%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.11%EV -12.91%E -4.97%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.77%EV -19.20%E -6.19%K -9.14%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-09 01:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.40%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.12%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%0.6%2026-05-09 01:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.40%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.12%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%0.6%2026-05-09 01:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.40%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.12%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%0.6%2026-05-09 01:24
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.40%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.12%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%0.6%2026-05-09 01:24
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 41.62%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.19%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.19%1.8%2026-05-09 01:24
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.19%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.35%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%2.0%2026-05-09 00:04