La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Sydney FC v Newcastle Jets FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sydney FC (Local)
Predicción 40.44%2.47momio equitativo
EV -3.35%
Ventaja -1.40%
Kelly -2.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.39
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.13%40.42%40.54%41.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.292.302.3946.51%43.76%43.48%41.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Newcastle Jets FC (Visitante)
Predicción 33.49%2.99momio equitativo
EV -2.53%
Ventaja -0.870%
Kelly -1.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.91
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.37%33.50%33.43%34.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.752.752.9139.22%36.39%36.36%34.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.07%3.84momio equitativo
EV +1.66%
Ventaja +0.425%
Kelly +0.571%
Crecimiento +0.009%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.39%26.08%26.02%27.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.643.653.9032.26%27.50%27.40%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -5.78%E -2.48%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.25%EV -6.22%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.59%EV +1.66%E +0.425%K +0.571%G +0.009% | 4.3% | 2026-05-08 22:04 |
| LeoVegas | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.56%E -3.54%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV +0.353%E +0.092%K +0.124%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-08 22:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.56%E -3.54%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV +0.353%E +0.092%K +0.124%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-08 22:04 |
| Grosvenor | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.91%EV -7.80%E -3.42%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -9.56%E -3.54%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -0.950%E -0.250%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 22:03 |
| Casumo | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.91%EV -7.80%E -3.42%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -9.56%E -3.54%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -0.950%E -0.250%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 22:03 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.91%EV -7.80%E -3.42%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -9.56%E -3.54%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -0.950%E -0.250%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 22:03 |
| TABtouch | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.91%EV -7.80%E -3.42%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -9.56%E -3.54%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -0.950%E -0.250%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 22:04 |
| betPARX | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.91%EV -7.80%E -3.42%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -9.56%E -3.54%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -0.950%E -0.250%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 22:05 |
| Unibet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.91%EV -7.80%E -3.42%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -9.56%E -3.54%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -0.950%E -0.250%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 22:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.91%EV -7.80%E -3.42%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -9.56%E -3.54%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -0.950%E -0.250%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 22:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.91%EV -7.80%E -3.42%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -9.56%E -3.54%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -0.950%E -0.250%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 22:04 |
| Coolbet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.55%EV -4.97%E -2.11%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -6.22%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -2.25%E -0.601%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -6.22%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -2.25%E -0.601%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -7.89%E -2.87%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -2.25%E -0.601%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 01:23 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -9.01%E -4.00%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.89%E -2.87%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -2.25%E -0.601%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 21:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.79%EV -4.16%E -1.75%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.22%EV -2.53%E -0.870%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.99%EV -3.04%E -0.816%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-08 22:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.79%EV -4.16%E -1.75%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.22%EV -2.53%E -0.870%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.99%EV -3.04%E -0.816%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-08 22:09 |
| Pinnacle | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.48%EV -3.35%E -1.40%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.36%EV -2.87%E -0.988%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -3.56%E -0.961%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-08 22:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.22%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -3.56%E -0.961%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 12:04 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.22%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -3.56%E -0.961%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-04 08:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.22%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -3.56%E -0.961%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 12:04 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.22%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -3.56%E -0.961%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 12:04 |
| GTbets | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.57%EV -5.37%E -2.30%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.43%EV -4.88%E -1.72%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -4.86%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 21:40 |
| DraftKings | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.27%EV -4.97%E -2.11%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.80%EV -6.22%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -4.86%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 22:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -11.03%E -5.01%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -11.24%E -4.24%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -4.86%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-08 14:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.83%EV -11.03%E -5.01%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.55%EV -12.91%E -4.97%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -4.86%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-08 22:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.83%EV -11.03%E -5.01%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.55%EV -12.91%E -4.97%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -4.86%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-08 22:04 |
| Bovada | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.58%EV -6.18%E -2.66%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.27%EV -5.21%E -1.84%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 01:20 |
| BetUS | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.58%EV -6.18%E -2.66%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.27%EV -5.21%E -1.84%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.22%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 09:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.89%E -2.87%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-04 08:10 |
| Everygame | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.89%E -2.87%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 14:04 |
| betfred_uk | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -9.01%E -4.00%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -7.89%E -2.87%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-07 21:09 |
| Bet Right | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -9.01%E -4.00%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.56%E -3.54%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.98%EV -13.05%E -6.07%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -14.59%E -5.72%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-08 22:03 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.53%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.29%EV -6.22%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.18%EV -7.21%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 15:34 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -4.97%E -2.11%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.55%EV -6.22%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -7.47%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -11.03%E -5.01%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.47%EV -9.56%E -3.54%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -7.47%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-08 21:44 |
| TAB | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -2.87%E -0.988%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.96%EV -13.05%E -6.07%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.87%EV -12.91%E -4.97%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-08 14:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -6.18%E -2.66%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -5.55%E -1.97%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| Betsson | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -6.18%E -2.66%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -5.55%E -1.97%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.89%E -2.87%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-08 14:04 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.89%E -2.87%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-08 14:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.89%E -2.87%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-08 14:04 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.89%E -2.87%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-08 14:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.13%EV -12.25%E -5.64%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.49%EV -12.91%E -4.97%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.39%EV -13.98%E -4.24%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-08 15:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.13%EV -11.03%E -5.01%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.11%EV -12.91%E -4.97%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.77%EV -19.20%E -6.19%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.40% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.12% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48% | 0.6% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.40% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.12% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48% | 0.6% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.40% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.12% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48% | 0.6% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| Matchbook | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.40% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.12% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48% | 0.6% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| Smarkets | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.62% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.19% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.19% | 1.8% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| Kalshi | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.19% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.35% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46% | 2.0% | 2026-05-09 00:04 |