A Escola das Odds

Sydney FC v Melbourne Victory

Início: 2026-03-07 08:35 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Sydney FC (Local)

Previsão 38.15%2.62odd justa
EV -3.49%
Vantagem -1.38%
Kelly -2.28%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.53

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.03%38.15%38.15%39.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.272.422.452.5344.05%41.25%40.90%39.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Melbourne Victory (Visitante)

Previsão 36.18%2.76odd justa
EV -0.515%
Vantagem -0.187%
Kelly -0.294%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.67%36.12%36.19%37.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.402.592.602.7541.67%38.65%38.46%36.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 25.68%3.89odd justa
EV -0.882%
Vantagem -0.229%
Kelly -0.308%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.86

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.50%25.73%25.66%27.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.613.603.8632.26%27.72%27.78%25.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.18%EV -3.49%E -1.38%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.70%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.22%EV -1.65%E -0.431%K -0.584%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 08:00
BetOnline.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.18%EV -3.49%E -1.38%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.70%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.22%EV -1.65%E -0.431%K -0.584%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 08:00
Pinnacle2.52I 39.68%NM 38.41%EV -3.87%E -1.54%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.52%EV -4.13%E -1.56%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.07%EV -0.882%E -0.229%K -0.308%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-07 08:05
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02%EV -4.64%E -1.85%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.28%EV -5.22%E -1.99%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 08:00
GTbets2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -4.64%E -1.85%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.42%EV -6.30%E -2.43%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -6.27%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 08:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -4.64%E -1.85%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.94%E -2.29%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 07:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -4.64%E -1.85%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.94%E -2.29%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 08:00
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -4.64%E -1.85%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.94%E -2.29%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 08:00
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -4.64%E -1.85%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.94%E -2.29%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 08:00
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -4.64%E -1.85%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.75%E -3.04%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 08:00
Codere (IT)2.49I 40.16%NM 37.74%EV -5.02%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.15%EV -5.94%E -2.29%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 08:00
Bovada2.46I 40.65%NM 38.27%EV -6.16%E -2.51%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.63%EV -7.03%E -2.73%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -3.71%E -0.989%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 07:46
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.03%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.77%EV -0.515%E -0.187%K -0.294%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.20%EV -6.27%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 05:29
BetUS2.45I 40.82%NM 38.42%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.48%EV -6.66%E -2.58%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -3.71%E -0.989%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 07:59
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -4.13%E -1.56%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 08:00
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -4.13%E -1.56%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 08:00
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.94%E -2.29%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 08:00
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.94%E -2.29%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 05:59
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.50%EV -7.75%E -3.04%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -6.27%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 07:59
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -9.56%E -3.82%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -3.71%E -0.989%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 08:05
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.75%E -3.04%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 08:00
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.56%E -3.82%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 04:14
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.56%E -3.82%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 04:15
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.56%E -3.82%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 04:14
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.56%E -3.82%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 04:14
Marathon Bet2.44I 40.98%NM 38.22%EV -6.93%E -2.84%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.43%EV -7.39%E -2.89%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.34%EV -5.50%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 08:00
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.36%EV -7.31%E -3.01%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.78%EV -0.515%E -0.187%K -0.294%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 07:59
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -7.69%E -3.18%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.19%EV -6.66%E -2.58%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 07:59
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -7.69%E -3.18%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.19%EV -6.66%E -2.58%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 08:00
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -2.32%E -0.861%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -6.27%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 08:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -2.32%E -0.861%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -6.27%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 08:04
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -5.94%E -2.29%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -3.71%E -0.989%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 08:00
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -5.94%E -2.29%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 07:59
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.56%E -3.82%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 06:00
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.56%E -3.82%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 08:00
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -9.21%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -2.32%E -0.861%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 08:00
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -9.21%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -2.32%E -0.861%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 08:00
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -9.21%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -4.13%E -1.56%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -6.27%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 08:05
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -9.21%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -4.13%E -1.56%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 08:05
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -9.21%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -4.13%E -1.56%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 08:04
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -9.21%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -4.13%E -1.56%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 08:05
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -9.21%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -4.13%E -1.56%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 08:04
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -9.21%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -4.13%E -1.56%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 08:05
Betr (AU)2.37I 42.19%NM 38.76%EV -9.60%E -4.05%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.74%EV -9.56%E -3.82%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -3.71%E -0.989%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 08:05
Parions Sport (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.15%EV -10.36%E -4.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.86%EV -9.56%E -3.82%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.99%EV -11.41%E -3.31%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-07 06:00
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -12.27%E -5.33%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.25%EV -7.75%E -3.04%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-07 08:05
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -12.27%E -5.33%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.25%EV -7.75%E -3.04%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-07 08:05
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.10%EV -12.27%E -5.33%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.51%EV -13.18%E -5.49%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.40%EV -11.41%E -3.31%K -4.66%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-07 06:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.03%EV -12.27%E -5.33%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.49%EV -13.18%E -5.49%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.48%EV -20.40%E -6.58%K -9.71%G +0.000%17.4%2026-03-07 08:00
NetBet (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 38.38%EV -13.41%E -5.91%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 36.00%EV -12.45%E -5.15%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.62%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-07 07:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.54%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.29%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17%0.6%2026-03-07 08:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.44%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.46%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%0.8%2026-03-07 08:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.44%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.46%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%0.8%2026-03-07 08:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.44%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.46%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%0.8%2026-03-07 08:05
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 38.52%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.52%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.96%1.4%2026-03-07 08:05
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.26%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.25%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-03-07 08:00