La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Sydney FC v Melbourne Victory
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sydney FC (Local)
Predicción 38.15%2.62momio equitativo
EV -3.49%
Ventaja -1.38%
Kelly -2.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.03%38.15%38.15%39.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.272.422.452.5344.05%41.25%40.90%39.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Melbourne Victory (Visitante)
Predicción 36.18%2.76momio equitativo
EV -0.515%
Ventaja -0.187%
Kelly -0.294%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.67%36.12%36.19%37.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.592.602.7541.67%38.65%38.46%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.68%3.89momio equitativo
EV -0.882%
Ventaja -0.229%
Kelly -0.308%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.86
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.50%25.73%25.66%27.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.613.603.8632.26%27.72%27.78%25.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.18%EV -3.49%E -1.38%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.70%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.22%EV -1.65%E -0.431%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-07 08:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.18%EV -3.49%E -1.38%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.70%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.22%EV -1.65%E -0.431%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-07 08:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.41%EV -3.87%E -1.54%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.52%EV -4.13%E -1.56%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 25.07%EV -0.882%E -0.229%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-07 08:05 |
| SportsBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02%EV -4.64%E -1.85%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.28%EV -5.22%E -1.99%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 08:00 |
| GTbets | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -4.64%E -1.85%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.42%EV -6.30%E -2.43%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -6.27%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 08:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -4.64%E -1.85%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.94%E -2.29%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 07:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -4.64%E -1.85%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.94%E -2.29%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 08:00 |
| Neds | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -4.64%E -1.85%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.94%E -2.29%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 08:00 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -4.64%E -1.85%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.94%E -2.29%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 08:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -4.64%E -1.85%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.75%E -3.04%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 08:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.74%EV -5.02%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.15%EV -5.94%E -2.29%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 08:00 |
| Bovada | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.27%EV -6.16%E -2.51%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.63%EV -7.03%E -2.73%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -3.71%E -0.989%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 07:46 |
| Coolbet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.03%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.77%EV -0.515%E -0.187%K -0.294%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.20%EV -6.27%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 05:29 |
| BetUS | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.42%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.48%EV -6.66%E -2.58%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -3.71%E -0.989%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 07:59 |
| Fanatics | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -4.13%E -1.56%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 08:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -4.13%E -1.56%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 08:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.94%E -2.29%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 08:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.94%E -2.29%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 05:59 |
| Everygame | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.50%EV -7.75%E -3.04%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -6.27%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 07:59 |
| Bet Right | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -9.56%E -3.82%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -3.71%E -0.989%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 08:05 |
| BetMGM | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.75%E -3.04%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 08:00 |
| William Hill | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.56%E -3.82%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-07 04:14 |
| 888sport | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.56%E -3.82%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.56%E -3.82%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-07 04:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.56%E -3.82%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-07 04:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.22%EV -6.93%E -2.84%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.43%EV -7.39%E -2.89%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.34%EV -5.50%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 08:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.36%EV -7.31%E -3.01%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.78%EV -0.515%E -0.187%K -0.294%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 07:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -7.69%E -3.18%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.19%EV -6.66%E -2.58%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 07:59 |
| Betsson | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -7.69%E -3.18%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.19%EV -6.66%E -2.58%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 08:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -2.32%E -0.861%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -6.27%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 08:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -2.32%E -0.861%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -6.27%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 08:04 |
| PlayUp | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -5.94%E -2.29%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -3.71%E -0.989%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 08:00 |
| TAB | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -5.94%E -2.29%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 07:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.56%E -3.82%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 06:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.56%E -3.82%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-07 08:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -9.21%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -2.32%E -0.861%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 08:00 |
| betPARX | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -9.21%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -2.32%E -0.861%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 08:00 |
| Unibet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -9.21%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -4.13%E -1.56%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -6.27%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 08:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -9.21%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -4.13%E -1.56%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 08:05 |
| Casumo | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -9.21%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -4.13%E -1.56%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 08:04 |
| TABtouch | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -9.21%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -4.13%E -1.56%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 08:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -9.21%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -4.13%E -1.56%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 08:04 |
| Grosvenor | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -9.21%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -4.13%E -1.56%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 08:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.76%EV -9.60%E -4.05%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.74%EV -9.56%E -3.82%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -3.71%E -0.989%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 08:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.15%EV -10.36%E -4.41%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.86%EV -9.56%E -3.82%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.99%EV -11.41%E -3.31%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-07 06:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -12.27%E -5.33%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.25%EV -7.75%E -3.04%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-07 08:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -12.27%E -5.33%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.25%EV -7.75%E -3.04%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-07 08:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.10%EV -12.27%E -5.33%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.51%EV -13.18%E -5.49%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.40%EV -11.41%E -3.31%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-07 06:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.03%EV -12.27%E -5.33%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.49%EV -13.18%E -5.49%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.48%EV -20.40%E -6.58%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-03-07 08:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.27I 44.05%NM 38.38%EV -13.41%E -5.91%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 36.00%EV -12.45%E -5.15%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.62%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-07 07:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.54% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.29% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 08:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.44% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.46% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 08:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.44% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.46% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 08:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.44% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.46% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 08:05 |
| Smarkets | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.52% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.52% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.96% | 1.4% | 2026-03-07 08:05 |
| Kalshi | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.26% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.25% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 2.1% | 2026-03-07 08:00 |