Language:English
Perth Glory v Brisbane Roar
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Perth Glory (Local)
Prediction 35.90%2.79fair odd
EV -3.08%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -1.81%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.84%35.83%35.97%36.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.592.602.7042.55%38.65%38.46%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Brisbane Roar (Visit)
Prediction 37.91%2.64fair odd
EV -3.32%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -2.14%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.51%37.93%37.88%39.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.462.452.5544.44%40.68%40.82%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.19%3.82fair odd
EV -3.09%
Edge -0.835%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.27%26.24%26.15%29.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.493.503.7034.72%28.62%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Perth Glory (Local): 35.90%; Brisbane Roar (Visit): 37.91%; Draw: 26.19%. For Perth Glory (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.79. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.70, with an expected value of -3.08%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.34%EV -3.08%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.16%EV -5.22%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 18:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -3.08%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -7.12%E -2.90%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-20 17:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -3.08%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -9.01%E -3.75%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -3.09%E -0.835%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-20 14:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.08%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -9.01%E -3.75%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 11:48 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.08%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -9.01%E -3.75%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 14:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.08%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -9.01%E -3.75%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 14:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.08%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -9.01%E -3.75%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 14:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.94%EV -3.80%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.53%EV -7.87%E -3.24%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.53%EV -7.54%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-20 17:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -7.12%E -2.90%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-20 17:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -7.12%E -2.90%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-20 17:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -9.01%E -3.75%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-20 17:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.37%EV -5.95%E -2.27%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.52%EV -3.70%E -1.46%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.40%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-20 16:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.37%EV -5.95%E -2.27%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.52%EV -3.70%E -1.46%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.40%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-20 16:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.34%EV -5.95%E -2.27%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.64%EV -4.08%E -1.61%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.02%EV -4.14%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 13:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -5.95%E -2.27%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.73%EV -10.15%E -4.28%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-19 12:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -5.22%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 00:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -5.98%E -2.41%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 23:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 08:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 08:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 08:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 08:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.12%E -2.90%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 11:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.12%E -2.90%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 11:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -7.12%E -2.90%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.22%EV -7.02%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-20 17:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.12%E -2.90%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-20 17:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.12%E -2.90%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-20 17:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.12%E -2.90%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-20 17:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.12%E -2.90%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-20 17:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -9.01%E -3.75%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-20 21:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -9.01%E -3.75%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 17:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.29%EV -7.03%E -2.71%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.60%EV -5.22%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 14:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.29%EV -7.03%E -2.71%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.60%EV -5.22%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 13:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.02%EV -7.03%E -2.71%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.32%EV -5.22%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 13:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -7.39%E -2.86%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.60%EV -5.98%E -2.41%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.02%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-20 17:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -7.39%E -2.86%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.60%EV -5.98%E -2.41%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.02%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-20 17:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -8.46%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 08:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -8.46%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 08:13 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -8.46%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 08:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -8.46%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 08:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -8.46%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 08:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -8.46%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 08:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -8.46%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 08:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -8.46%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.12%E -2.90%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-24 03:18 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -12.80%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-23 11:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -12.80%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -24.57%E -8.53%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-04-20 14:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.18%EV -10.98%E -4.43%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.63%EV -7.12%E -2.90%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.19%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-23 08:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.18%EV -10.98%E -4.43%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.63%EV -7.12%E -2.90%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.19%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-23 08:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -12.05%E -4.92%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -10.91%E -4.64%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.52%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-22 14:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.23%EV -12.77%E -5.26%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.68%EV -9.01%E -3.75%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.09%EV -14.88%E -4.58%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-23 08:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 36.02%EV -13.13%E -5.43%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.57%EV -12.04%E -5.19%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.41%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-23 13:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.55%EV -15.64%E -6.66%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.18%EV -14.70%E -6.53%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.27%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-04-22 14:17 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.30% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29% | 2.8% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.23% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.36% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41% | 3.8% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.23% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.36% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41% | 3.8% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.13% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.54% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33% | 4.1% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.89% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.52% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 23:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.18% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.17% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.65% | 5.1% | 2026-04-24 01:30 |