La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Perth Glory v Brisbane Roar
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Perth Glory (Local)
Predicción 35.90%2.79momio equitativo
EV -3.08%
Ventaja -1.14%
Kelly -1.81%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.84%35.83%35.97%36.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.592.602.7042.55%38.65%38.46%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Brisbane Roar (Visitante)
Predicción 37.91%2.64momio equitativo
EV -3.32%
Ventaja -1.30%
Kelly -2.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.51%37.93%37.88%39.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.462.452.5544.44%40.68%40.82%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.19%3.82momio equitativo
EV -3.09%
Ventaja -0.835%
Kelly -1.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.27%26.24%26.15%29.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.493.503.7034.72%28.62%28.57%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.34%EV -3.08%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.16%EV -5.22%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 18:00 |
| Coral | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -3.08%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -7.12%E -2.90%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-20 17:25 |
| SportsBet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -3.08%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -9.01%E -3.75%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -3.09%E -0.835%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-20 14:49 |
| Paddy Power | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.08%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -9.01%E -3.75%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 11:48 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.08%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -9.01%E -3.75%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 14:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.08%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -9.01%E -3.75%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 14:54 |
| Neds | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.08%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -9.01%E -3.75%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 14:55 |
| GTbets | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.94%EV -3.80%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.53%EV -7.87%E -3.24%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.53%EV -7.54%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-20 17:25 |
| Fanatics | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -7.12%E -2.90%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-20 17:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -7.12%E -2.90%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-20 17:30 |
| BetMGM | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -9.01%E -3.75%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-20 17:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.37%EV -5.95%E -2.27%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.52%EV -3.70%E -1.46%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.40%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-20 16:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.37%EV -5.95%E -2.27%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.52%EV -3.70%E -1.46%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.40%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-20 16:34 |
| Pinnacle | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.34%EV -5.95%E -2.27%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.64%EV -4.08%E -1.61%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.02%EV -4.14%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 13:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -5.95%E -2.27%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.73%EV -10.15%E -4.28%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-19 12:00 |
| TAB | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -5.22%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 00:24 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -5.98%E -2.41%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 23:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 08:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 08:19 |
| LeoVegas | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 08:19 |
| Unibet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 08:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.12%E -2.90%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 11:49 |
| DraftKings | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.12%E -2.90%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 11:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -7.12%E -2.90%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.22%EV -7.02%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-20 17:24 |
| 888sport | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.12%E -2.90%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-20 17:44 |
| William Hill | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.12%E -2.90%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-20 17:44 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.12%E -2.90%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-20 17:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.12%E -2.90%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-20 17:45 |
| betfred_uk | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -9.01%E -3.75%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-20 21:55 |
| Bet Right | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -9.01%E -3.75%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 17:59 |
| Bovada | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.29%EV -7.03%E -2.71%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.60%EV -5.22%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 14:05 |
| BetUS | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.29%EV -7.03%E -2.71%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.60%EV -5.22%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 13:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.02%EV -7.03%E -2.71%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.32%EV -5.22%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 13:50 |
| Betsson | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -7.39%E -2.86%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.60%EV -5.98%E -2.41%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.02%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-20 17:25 |
| NordicBet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -7.39%E -2.86%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.60%EV -5.98%E -2.41%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.02%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-20 17:24 |
| betPARX | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -8.46%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 08:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -8.46%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 08:13 |
| Casumo | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -8.46%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 08:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -8.46%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 08:24 |
| Grosvenor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -8.46%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 08:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -8.46%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 08:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -8.46%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 08:30 |
| Everygame | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -8.46%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.12%E -2.90%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-24 03:18 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -12.80%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-23 11:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -12.80%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -24.57%E -8.53%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-04-20 14:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.18%EV -10.98%E -4.43%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.63%EV -7.12%E -2.90%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.19%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-23 08:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.18%EV -10.98%E -4.43%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.63%EV -7.12%E -2.90%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.19%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-23 08:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -12.05%E -4.92%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -10.91%E -4.64%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.52%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-22 14:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.23%EV -12.77%E -5.26%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.68%EV -9.01%E -3.75%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.09%EV -14.88%E -4.58%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-23 08:19 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 36.02%EV -13.13%E -5.43%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.57%EV -12.04%E -5.19%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.41%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-23 13:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.55%EV -15.64%E -6.66%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.18%EV -14.70%E -6.53%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.27%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-04-22 14:17 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.30% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29% | 2.8% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.23% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.36% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41% | 3.8% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.23% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.36% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41% | 3.8% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.13% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.54% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33% | 4.1% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.89% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.52% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 23:30 |
| Kalshi | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.18% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.17% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.65% | 5.1% | 2026-04-24 01:30 |