Language:English
Newcastle Jets FC v Western Sydney Wanderers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Newcastle Jets FC (Local)
Prediction 43.94%2.28fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -0.905%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.85%43.82%43.99%44.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.992.132.142.2350.25%46.91%46.73%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Western Sydney Wanderers (Visit)
Prediction 32.78%3.05fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -0.549%
Kelly -0.823%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.44%32.86%32.80%35.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.832.853.0038.17%35.37%35.09%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.28%4.30fair odd
EV -2.24%
Edge -0.533%
Kelly -0.699%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.35%23.32%23.21%26.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.964.004.2030.77%25.25%25.00%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Newcastle Jets FC (Local): 43.94%; Western Sydney Wanderers (Visit): 32.78%; Draw: 23.28%. For Western Sydney Wanderers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.05. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.00, with an expected value of -1.65%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.99%EV -2.02%E -0.905%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.63%EV -6.56%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.38%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 05:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -8.20%E -2.93%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 04:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -8.20%E -2.93%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 04:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -8.20%E -2.93%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 04:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -8.20%E -2.93%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 04:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -11.48%E -4.25%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 05:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.85%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -14.10%E -5.38%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 05:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.34%EV -4.21%E -1.93%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.65%EV -2.96%E -0.999%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.01%EV -2.24%E -0.533%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-07 05:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.34%EV -4.21%E -1.93%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.65%EV -2.96%E -0.999%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.01%EV -2.24%E -0.533%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-07 05:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.54%EV -4.21%E -1.93%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%EV -4.92%E -1.70%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 05:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.55%EV -4.65%E -2.14%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.44%EV -2.30%E -0.772%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.02%EV -2.24%E -0.533%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 05:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.52%EV -5.09%E -2.36%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.98%EV -6.56%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 05:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.52%EV -5.09%E -2.36%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.98%EV -6.56%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 05:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.14%EV -5.53%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.72%EV -4.92%E -1.70%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 05:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.14%EV -5.53%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.72%EV -4.92%E -1.70%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 05:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.09%EV -5.53%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.60%EV -1.65%E -0.549%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -9.22%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 05:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88%EV -5.53%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -6.56%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 05:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88%EV -5.53%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -4.92%E -1.70%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 05:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.73%EV -5.53%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.76%EV -5.91%E -2.06%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 05:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.63%EV -5.53%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.92%EV -6.56%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 05:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.63%EV -5.53%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.92%EV -6.56%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 05:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.50%EV -5.53%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.82%EV -6.56%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 05:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -5.53%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -9.84%E -3.58%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 04:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.10%EV -5.97%E -2.79%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -4.92%E -1.70%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.36%EV -5.96%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 05:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.87%EV -5.97%E -2.79%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.56%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.18%EV -5.73%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 05:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.87%EV -5.97%E -2.79%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.56%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.18%EV -5.73%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 05:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.62%EV -5.97%E -2.79%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.56%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 05:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.62%EV -5.97%E -2.79%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.56%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 05:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.62%EV -5.97%E -2.79%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.56%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 05:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.62%EV -5.97%E -2.79%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.56%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 05:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.62%EV -5.97%E -2.79%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.56%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 05:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.62%EV -5.97%E -2.79%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.56%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 05:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.62%EV -5.97%E -2.79%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.56%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 05:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.59%EV -5.97%E -2.79%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -6.56%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.68%EV -8.29%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 05:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.00%EV -6.85%E -3.23%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -5.58%E -1.94%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 05:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.00%EV -6.85%E -3.23%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -5.58%E -1.94%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 05:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.36%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -5.58%E -1.94%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 05:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.20%E -2.93%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -11.55%E -3.04%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-06 18:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.20%E -2.93%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -11.55%E -3.04%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-06 18:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.20%E -2.93%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -11.55%E -3.04%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-06 18:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.20%E -2.93%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -11.55%E -3.04%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-06 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.65%EV -9.49%E -4.61%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -9.84%E -3.58%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.55%E -3.04%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-07 05:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.65%EV -9.49%E -4.61%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -9.84%E -3.58%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.55%E -3.04%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-07 05:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -9.93%E -4.84%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.43%EV -8.20%E -2.93%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -9.22%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 05:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -9.93%E -4.84%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.92%EV -9.84%E -3.58%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.92%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-07 05:29 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -12.12%E -6.06%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.83%EV -13.12%E -4.95%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -2.24%E -0.533%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-07 05:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.84%EV -12.12%E -6.06%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.09%EV -13.12%E -4.95%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.07%EV -11.55%E -3.04%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-07 05:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.44%EV -12.12%E -6.06%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.44%EV -11.48%E -4.25%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.12%EV -24.35%E -7.49%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-03-07 05:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 43.69%EV -12.56%E -6.31%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.81%EV -13.12%E -4.95%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.50%EV -13.88%E -3.75%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-03-07 05:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.57% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10% | 0.7% | 2026-03-07 05:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 05:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 1.4% | 2026-03-07 05:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.54% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.02% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.43% | 1.6% | 2026-03-07 05:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.75% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39% | 1.8% | 2026-03-07 05:34 |