La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Newcastle Jets FC v Western Sydney Wanderers
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Newcastle Jets FC (Local)
Predicción 43.94%2.28momio equitativo
EV -2.02%
Ventaja -0.905%
Kelly -1.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.85%43.82%43.99%44.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.992.132.142.2350.25%46.91%46.73%44.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Western Sydney Wanderers (Visitante)
Predicción 32.78%3.05momio equitativo
EV -1.65%
Ventaja -0.549%
Kelly -0.823%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.44%32.86%32.80%35.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.622.832.853.0038.17%35.37%35.09%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.28%4.30momio equitativo
EV -2.24%
Ventaja -0.533%
Kelly -0.699%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.35%23.32%23.21%26.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.964.004.2030.77%25.25%25.00%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.99%EV -2.02%E -0.905%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.63%EV -6.56%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.38%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 05:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -8.20%E -2.93%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 04:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -8.20%E -2.93%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 04:10 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -8.20%E -2.93%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 04:09 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -8.20%E -2.93%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 04:09 |
| Bet Right | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -11.48%E -4.25%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 05:34 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.85%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -14.10%E -5.38%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 05:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.34%EV -4.21%E -1.93%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.65%EV -2.96%E -0.999%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.01%EV -2.24%E -0.533%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-07 05:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.34%EV -4.21%E -1.93%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.65%EV -2.96%E -0.999%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.01%EV -2.24%E -0.533%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-07 05:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.54%EV -4.21%E -1.93%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%EV -4.92%E -1.70%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 05:29 |
| Pinnacle | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.55%EV -4.65%E -2.14%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.44%EV -2.30%E -0.772%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.02%EV -2.24%E -0.533%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 05:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.52%EV -5.09%E -2.36%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.98%EV -6.56%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 05:30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.52%EV -5.09%E -2.36%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.98%EV -6.56%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 05:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.14%EV -5.53%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.72%EV -4.92%E -1.70%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 05:29 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.14%EV -5.53%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.72%EV -4.92%E -1.70%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 05:29 |
| TAB | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.09%EV -5.53%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.60%EV -1.65%E -0.549%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -9.22%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 05:29 |
| DraftKings | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88%EV -5.53%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -6.56%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 05:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88%EV -5.53%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -4.92%E -1.70%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 05:35 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.73%EV -5.53%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.76%EV -5.91%E -2.06%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 05:10 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.63%EV -5.53%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.92%EV -6.56%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 05:30 |
| Everygame | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.63%EV -5.53%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.92%EV -6.56%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 05:30 |
| Unibet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.50%EV -5.53%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.82%EV -6.56%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 05:35 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -5.53%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -9.84%E -3.58%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 04:09 |
| GTbets | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.10%EV -5.97%E -2.79%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -4.92%E -1.70%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.36%EV -5.96%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 05:35 |
| Bovada | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.87%EV -5.97%E -2.79%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.56%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.18%EV -5.73%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 05:35 |
| BetUS | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.87%EV -5.97%E -2.79%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.56%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.18%EV -5.73%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 05:35 |
| Grosvenor | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.62%EV -5.97%E -2.79%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.56%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 05:29 |
| Casumo | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.62%EV -5.97%E -2.79%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.56%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 05:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.62%EV -5.97%E -2.79%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.56%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 05:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.62%EV -5.97%E -2.79%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.56%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 05:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.62%EV -5.97%E -2.79%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.56%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 05:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.62%EV -5.97%E -2.79%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.56%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 05:29 |
| betPARX | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.62%EV -5.97%E -2.79%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.56%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 05:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.59%EV -5.97%E -2.79%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -6.56%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.68%EV -8.29%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 05:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.00%EV -6.85%E -3.23%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -5.58%E -1.94%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 05:30 |
| Betsson | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.00%EV -6.85%E -3.23%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -5.58%E -1.94%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 05:29 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.36%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -5.58%E -1.94%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 05:10 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.20%E -2.93%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -11.55%E -3.04%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-06 18:40 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.20%E -2.93%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -11.55%E -3.04%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-06 18:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.20%E -2.93%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -11.55%E -3.04%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-06 18:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.20%E -2.93%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -11.55%E -3.04%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-06 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.65%EV -9.49%E -4.61%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -9.84%E -3.58%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.55%E -3.04%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-07 05:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.65%EV -9.49%E -4.61%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -9.84%E -3.58%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.55%E -3.04%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-07 05:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -9.93%E -4.84%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.43%EV -8.20%E -2.93%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -9.22%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 05:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -9.93%E -4.84%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.92%EV -9.84%E -3.58%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.92%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-07 05:29 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -12.12%E -6.06%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.83%EV -13.12%E -4.95%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -2.24%E -0.533%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-07 05:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.84%EV -12.12%E -6.06%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.09%EV -13.12%E -4.95%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.07%EV -11.55%E -3.04%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-07 05:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.44%EV -12.12%E -6.06%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.44%EV -11.48%E -4.25%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.12%EV -24.35%E -7.49%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-03-07 05:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 43.69%EV -12.56%E -6.31%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.81%EV -13.12%E -4.95%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.50%EV -13.88%E -3.75%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-03-07 05:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.57% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10% | 0.7% | 2026-03-07 05:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 05:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 1.4% | 2026-03-07 05:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.54% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.02% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.43% | 1.6% | 2026-03-07 05:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.75% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39% | 1.8% | 2026-03-07 05:34 |